SHARP Tonight — Monday, November 2
15 games · 521 rostered players · 71 out · 264 we price
built 17:31 ET
OKC @ CLE7:00 PM ET · CLE 4.5 · O/U 229.518 priced · 7 out
OKC 35%65% CLE
51%CLE covers -4.5
50%over 229.5
30%blowout 15+
5%overtime
115–119most likely final
Top plays · 38 plays on the Props tab
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
Under 29.5 Points core
52%oursmodel 72%
46%market
Donovan Mitchell CLE
Under 4.5 Assists core
53%oursmodel 65%
47%market
Jared McCain OKC
Under 2.5 Threes core
54%oursmodel 69%
51%market
Peyton Watson CLE
Under 1.5 Threes core
58%oursmodel 72%
54%market
First baskettop pickCLE Evan Mobley 15% +525 betmgmtop pickOKC Ajay Mitchell 13% +970 draftkings· full board on the Props tab
OKC away
Out: Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic → Williams +6.7 min · usage ×1.35, Barnhizer +6.7 min · usage ×1.35, Williams +6.7 min · usage ×1.31, Peavy +6.6 min · usage ×1.29
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S | 33.6±5.3 | -1.8×0.92 | 15–36 | 1–7 | 2–9 | 8% |
| Jaylin Williams | 30±6.3 | +6.7×1.35 | 3–15 | 3–12 | 1–5 | 12% |
| Jared McCain S | 29.9±5.9 | +1.8×0.91 | 6–21 | 1–6 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Ajay Mitchell S | 29.9±5.8 | ·×0.96 | 8–26 | 1–7 | 2–8 | <5% |
| Aday Mara | 28.5±6.3 | +4.1×1.10 | 5–19 | 4–13 | 0–4 | 25% |
| Bennett Stirtz | 28.3±6.3 | +4.5×1.32 | 7–24 | 1–5 | 1–6 | <5% |
| Kenrich Williams S | 26.7±6.7 | +6.7×1.31 | 6–22 | 3–11 | 0–4 | 16% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein S | 26.1±5.9 | -2.2 | 4–17 | 5–15 | 0–5 | 30% |
| Josh Dix | 25.1±7.3 | +5.6×1.19 | 4–19 | 1–5 | 0–5 | <5% |
CLE home
Out: Jaylon Tyson → Jr. +0.8 min · usage ×1.03, Merrill +0.6 min · usage ×1.03, Proctor +0.7 min, Thomas +0.6 min
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden S | 32.4±5.5 | · | 8–26 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 11% |
| Donovan Mitchell S | 31±5.6 | · | 12–32 | 2–8 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Evan Mobley S | 30.4±5.6 | -0.5 | 9–27 | 4–12 | 1–6 | 25% |
| Jarrett Allen S | 27.2±6 | · | 6–22 | 4–13 | 0–3 | 27% |
| Peyton Watson S | 26.7±6.1 | · | 5–19 | 1–7 | 1–5 | <5% |
| Sam Merrill | 22.2±6.5 | +0.6×1.03 | 3–16 | 0–4 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Meleek Thomas | 21.3±7.2 | +0.6 | 3–18 | 0–5 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Mario Hezonja | 18.9±6.8 | · | 2–15 | 1–8 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Tyrese Proctor | 14.1±7.9 | +0.7 | 1–12 | 0–5 | 0–5 | <5% |
DET @ CHA7:30 PM ET · DET 5.5 · O/U 209.517 priced · 4 out
DET 66%34% CHA
51%DET covers -5.5
49%over 209.5
32%blowout 15+
5%overtime
109–103most likely final
Top plays · 37 plays on the Props tab
Cade Cunningham DET
Under 24.5 Points core
56%oursmodel 80%
50%market
Cade Cunningham DET
Under 8.5 Assists core
59%oursmodel 76%
50%market
Ausar Thompson DET
Under 9.5 Points core
50%oursmodel 67%
46%market
Naz Reid CHA
Under 15.5 Points core
52%oursmodel 66%
48%market
First baskettop pickCHA Brandon Miller 15% +600 fandueltop pickDET John Collins 15% +800 betrivers· full board on the Props tab
DET away
Out: Isaiah Joe, Jalen Duren → Huerter usage ×1.25, Jenkins +0.8 min · usage ×1.11, Reed +1.1 min · usage ×1.07, Green usage ×1.06
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham S | 31.7±5.4 | -2.3×0.91 | 10–29 | 2–8 | 3–11 | 18% |
| Paul Reed S | 27.3±6.1 | +1.1×1.07 | 7–25 | 3–11 | 0–4 | 18% |
| Duncan Robinson S | 27.1±5.8 | -2.4 | 6–22 | 0–4 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Ausar Thompson S | 26.9±6.5 | -1.2 | 3–14 | 3–11 | 1–7 | 9% |
| John Collins S | 26.7±6 | ·×1.04 | 4–18 | 3–11 | 0–2 | 11% |
| Daniss Jenkins | 25.4±6.2 | +0.8×1.11 | 5–19 | 1–6 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Kevin Huerter | 21.3±6.5 | ·×1.25 | 2–14 | 0–5 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Javonte Green | 19.5±6.7 | ·×1.06 | 2–12 | 0–5 | 0–2 | <5% |
| Elijah Harkless S | 17.7±8.6 | · | 1–13 | 0–4 | 0–5 | <5% |
CHA home
Out: Grant Williams, Kon Knueppel → Kalkbrenner +1 min · usage ×1.35, Salaun +1.6 min · usage ×1.17, O'Neale +0.9 min · usage ×1.16, James usage ×1.22
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller S | 33.2±5.3 | -1.5×0.94 | 11–31 | 2–9 | 1–5 | 9% |
| Dennis Schroder S | 30.2±5.6 | -0.6×1.06 | 4–18 | 1–6 | 2–9 | 5% |
| Naz Reid S | 29.8±5.6 | -1.3×0.96 | 6–22 | 4–12 | 0–4 | 22% |
| Moussa Diabate S | 29.8±5.7 | -0.8×1.26 | 4–17 | 5–14 | 0–4 | 26% |
| Grayson Allen | 28.3±6 | +0.8 | 7–24 | 1–6 | 1–6 | <5% |
| Sion James S | 24.7±6.3 | ·×1.22 | 2–11 | 1–6 | 1–5 | <5% |
| Royce O'Neale | 23.7±6.4 | +0.9×1.16 | 3–14 | 1–8 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Coby White | 22.4±9.7 | +0.6×0.90 | 4–24 | 1–6 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 19.7±6.8 | +1×1.35 | 2–13 | 1–8 | 0–3 | <5% |
ATL @ IND7:30 PM ET · ATL 10.5 · O/U 229.520 priced · 8 out
ATL 78%22% IND
50%ATL covers -10.5
50%over 229.5
40%blowout 15+
5%overtime
123–113most likely final
Top plays · 32 plays on the Props tab
Jarace Walker IND
Over 1.5 Threes core
64%oursmodel 86%
59%market
Jalen Johnson ATL
Under 21.5 Points core
57%oursmodel 78%
52%market
Aaron Wiggins ATL
Under 12.5 Points core
53%oursmodel 73%
48%market
Quenton Jackson IND
Over 1.5 Threes core
52%oursmodel 71%
47%market
First baskettop pickIND Kelly Oubre Jr. 11% +850 mybookieagtop pickATL Onyeka Okongwu 12% +900 fanduel· full board on the Props tab
ATL away
Out: Jock Landale, Mouhamed Gueye, Henri Veesaar → Gilbert +0.7 min · usage ×1.02, Dort usage ×1.02, Flemings +0.5 min, Newell +0.7 min
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson S | 30.9±5.5 | -0.8 | 8–26 | 4–12 | 3–10 | 35% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker S | 29.8±5.7 | -0.7×0.98 | 8–26 | 1–5 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Onyeka Okongwu S | 28.6±5.8 | -0.6 | 5–20 | 3–11 | 0–5 | 16% |
| Dyson Daniels S | 28.2±5.9 | -0.5×1.06 | 4–16 | 2–9 | 1–7 | 5% |
| CJ McCollum S | 26.6±6 | · | 6–22 | 0–4 | 1–6 | <5% |
| Luguentz Dort | 23.8±6.3 | ·×1.02 | 2–14 | 1–5 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Kingston Flemings | 21.7±6.5 | +0.5 | 3–16 | 1–5 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Aaron Wiggins | 20.7±6.6 | ·×0.98 | 3–17 | 1–6 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Jalen Wilson | 19.5±9.9 | · | 2–16 | 0–6 | 0–2 | <5% |
IND home
Out: T.J. McConnell, Ivica Zubac, Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy → Smith +4.7 min · usage ×1.30, Jackson +5.7 min · usage ×1.17, Slawson +3.7 min · usage ×1.35, Brown +5.7 min · usage ×1.09
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam S | 34.7±5.2 | -2.1×0.93 | 12–32 | 4–11 | 2–7 | 23% |
| Andrew Nembhard S | 34.5±5.2 | -1.6×1.06 | 11–31 | 1–5 | 4–13 | 32% |
| Aaron Nesmith S | 32.7±5.6 | +1.4×1.02 | 8–25 | 1–6 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. S | 31.3±5.7 | +1.4×1.03 | 6–22 | 2–8 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Jarace Walker | 30.6±6 | +2.9×1.19 | 7–23 | 3–11 | 1–6 | 19% |
| Quenton Jackson | 30.3±6.2 | +5.7×1.17 | 7–25 | 1–7 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Kobe Brown | 25.3±7.3 | +5.7×1.09 | 4–17 | 1–8 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Obi Toppin | 25.1±6.9 | ·×1.13 | 7–26 | 2–10 | 0–4 | 10% |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 24.8±6.4 | +2×1.22 | 2–13 | 2–9 | 0–3 | <5% |
BKN @ NY7:30 PM ET · NY 14.5 · O/U 218.517 priced · 3 out
BKN 15%85% NY
50%NY covers -14.5
50%over 218.5
52%blowout 15+
2%overtime
105–117most likely final
Top plays · 42 plays on the Props tab
Karl-Anthony Towns NY
Under 20.5 Points core
54%oursmodel 69%
50%market
Mikal Bridges NY
Under 2.5 Assists core
48%oursmodel 59%
42%market
Mikal Bridges NY
Under 10.5 Points core
52%oursmodel 66%
49%market
Josh Hart NY
Under 10.5 Points core
52%oursmodel 65%
49%market
First baskettop pickNY Jalen Brunson 21% +450 betmgmtop pickBKN Michael Porter Jr. 10% +550 fanduel· full board on the Props tab
BKN away
Out: Tyler Bilodeau, Egor Demin → Powell +0.7 min · usage ×1.23, Mann +0.5 min · usage ×1.13, Ellis +0.5 min · usage ×1.09, Johnson usage ×1.08
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle S | 32.6±5.4 | -0.7×0.97 | 9–27 | 3–11 | 1–7 | 18% |
| Michael Porter Jr. S | 32.3±5.5 | · | 11–31 | 3–11 | 0–4 | 21% |
| Nolan Traore S | 26±6.1 | ·×0.96 | 5–19 | 0–4 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Chaney Johnson S | 25.7±6.2 | ·×1.08 | 3–15 | 1–7 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 24.4±6.9 | +0.5×0.95 | 4–18 | 1–5 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Noah Clowney | 23.9±6.3 | ·×1.05 | 3–15 | 1–8 | 0–2 | <5% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe S | 23.6±6.3 | · | 3–17 | 4–13 | 0–4 | 19% |
| Keon Ellis | 21.7±6.5 | +0.5×1.09 | 1–10 | 0–4 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Moritz Wagner | 18.9±6.8 | ·×0.97 | 3–18 | 2–9 | 0–3 | 5% |
NY home
Out: Jose Alvarado → Hart usage ×1.05, Bridges usage ×1.03, Shamet usage ×1.02
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson S | 33.6±5.4 | ·×0.98 | 14–36 | 1–5 | 2–9 | 9% |
| OG Anunoby S | 32±5.4 | · | 8–25 | 2–9 | 0–4 | 6% |
| Josh Hart S | 30.8±5.6 | ·×1.05 | 4–16 | 4–12 | 1–7 | 12% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns S | 30.3±5.6 | · | 9–27 | 7–17 | 1–6 | 62% |
| Mikal Bridges S | 28.2±5.9 | ·×1.03 | 3–16 | 1–5 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Landry Shamet | 20.7±6.6 | ·×1.02 | 2–13 | 0–3 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Miles McBride | 19.6±6.7 | · | 2–12 | 0–4 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Andre Drummond | 14.5±7.1 | · | 1–11 | 2–13 | 0–3 | 7% |
| Tyler Kolek | 13.4±7.9 | · | 1–11 | 0–4 | 1–8 | <5% |
WSH @ ORL7:30 PM ET · ORL 3.5 · O/U 224.518 priced · 8 out
WSH 37%63% ORL
52%ORL covers -3.5
50%over 224.5
29%blowout 15+
5%overtime
111–117most likely final
Top plays · 32 plays on the Props tab
Franz Wagner ORL
Under 23.5 Points core
54%oursmodel 77%
48%market
Desmond Bane ORL
Under 3.5 Assists core
51%oursmodel 65%
43%market
Franz Wagner ORL
Under 1.5 Threes core
60%oursmodel 73%
57%market
Trae Young WSH
Over 2.5 Rebounds core
59%oursmodel 71%
56%market
First baskettop pickORL Wendell Carter Jr. 15% +800 betmgmtop pickWSH Anthony Davis 12% +575 betmgm· full board on the Props tab
WSH away
Out: Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins, Tristan Vukcevic → Coulibaly usage ×1.25, Carrington +0.5 min · usage ×1.16, Middleton +1 min · usage ×1.07, Johnson +0.5 min · usage ×1.07
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young S | 34.2±5.2 | -2 | 11–31 | 1–7 | 5–14 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis S | 34±5.3 | -1.1×0.97 | 12–31 | 6–15 | 0–5 | 52% |
| Kyshawn George S | 30.7±5.4 | -1.9 | 7–24 | 2–7 | 1–7 | <5% |
| AJ Dybantsa S | 30.4±7.2 | -0.5 | 6–23 | 2–9 | 0–5 | 9% |
| Alex Sarr S | 27.9±5.8 | -1.1×1.10 | 6–21 | 3–10 | 0–5 | 12% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 26.8±6 | ·×1.25 | 5–20 | 1–7 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Bub Carrington | 24.4±6.3 | +0.5×1.16 | 4–17 | 0–5 | 1–6 | <5% |
| Tre Johnson | 21.9±7.2 | +0.5×1.07 | 4–18 | 0–5 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Deandre Ayton | 20.6±6.7 | +0.7×1.04 | 2–14 | 2–10 | 0–2 | 6% |
ORL home
Out: Jonathan Isaac, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero, Izaiyah Nelson, Noah Penda → Carter +4.5 min · usage ×1.35, Cain +4.6 min · usage ×1.15, Morales +5.2 min · usage ×1.04, Vucevic +4 min · usage ×1.06
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane S | 36.1±5 | -3×1.12 | 12–32 | 1–7 | 1–5 | <5% |
| Franz Wagner S | 36±5.1 | -1.7×0.95 | 11–30 | 3–10 | 3–11 | 28% |
| Tristan da Silva | 32.3±5.8 | +2.9×1.09 | 8–25 | 2–8 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Wendell Carter Jr. S | 32.1±5.2 | -3.6×1.35 | 7–24 | 4–12 | 0–3 | 25% |
| Anthony Black S | 30.8±6 | -1.6×1.07 | 7–24 | 2–8 | 1–6 | <5% |
| Jase Richardson S | 23.9±6.4 | +0.6×1.22 | 3–15 | 1–5 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Jamal Cain | 23.5±6.8 | +4.6×1.15 | 3–17 | 1–6 | 0–2 | <5% |
| Jevon Carter | 21.2±8.9 | +4.5×1.35 | 2–14 | 0–4 | 0–6 | <5% |
| Nikola Vucevic | 19.8±7 | +4×1.06 | 2–14 | 2–10 | 0–5 | 5% |
CHI @ PHI7:30 PM ET · PHI 9.5 · O/U 238.516 priced · 3 out
CHI 23%77% PHI
50%PHI covers -9.5
50%over 238.5
38%blowout 15+
4%overtime
119–127most likely final
Top plays · 43 plays on the Props tab
Caleb Wilson CHI
Under 19.5 Points core
55%oursmodel 69%
52%market
Caleb Wilson CHI
Under 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast core
55%oursmodel 66%
52%market
Joel Embiid PHI
Under 1.5 Threes core
68%oursmodel 80%
66%market
Anfernee Simons PHI
Over 10.5 Points bench over
53%oursmodel 64%
51%market
First baskettop pickPHI Jaylen Brown 15% +550 betmgmtop pickCHI Jalen Smith 10% +1000 fanduel· full board on the Props tab
CHI away
Out: Nic Claxton → Awaka usage ×1.05, Okoro usage ×1.04, Williams usage ×1.04
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson S | 32.7±5.4 | -0.8 | 8–26 | 3–10 | 1–5 | 11% |
| Norman Powell S | 29.3±5.7 | -0.6 | 9–29 | 1–5 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Josh Giddey S | 28.1±5.9 | · | 5–19 | 2–10 | 4–13 | 27% |
| Matas Buzelis S | 26.5±6.1 | ·×0.97 | 6–23 | 2–8 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Jalen Smith S | 24.9±6.2 | · | 4–18 | 4–12 | 0–3 | 19% |
| Tre Jones | 21.3±6.6 | ·×0.97 | 4–18 | 1–6 | 1–6 | <5% |
| Isaac Okoro | 20.7±6.6 | ·×1.04 | 2–12 | 0–4 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Patrick Williams | 17.3±10 | ·×1.04 | 1–13 | 0–6 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Leonard Miller | 16±7 | ·×0.97 | 2–14 | 1–7 | 0–2 | <5% |
PHI home
Out: Dominick Barlow, Ariel Hukporti → Wade usage ×1.10, Walker +0.5 min, Caldwell-Pope usage ×1.02, Rupert usage ×1.02
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey S | 34.9±5.2 | -1.1×1.03 | 17–39 | 1–7 | 2–8 | 6% |
| Jaylen Brown S | 34.3±5.3 | -0.6 | 13–33 | 3–10 | 1–7 | 14% |
| VJ Edgecombe S | 33.2±5.4 | -0.5×1.04 | 7–22 | 3–11 | 1–6 | 16% |
| LeBron James S | 33.1±5.9 | · | 10–28 | 3–11 | 3–11 | 30% |
| Joel Embiid S | 32.4±6 | -0.5 | 11–32 | 4–13 | 2–8 | 37% |
| Dean Wade S | 25.8±6.8 | ·×1.10 | 1–10 | 1–7 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Anfernee Simons | 24.5±6.3 | · | 6–22 | 0–4 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Rayan Rupert S | 24.1±9.2 | ·×1.02 | 2–13 | 1–8 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 20.9±6.6 | ·×1.02 | 2–12 | 0–5 | 0–4 | <5% |
SAC @ DAL8:00 PM ET · DAL 8.5 · O/U 231.521 priced · 8 out
SAC 26%74% DAL
50%DAL covers -8.5
50%over 231.5
37%blowout 15+
5%overtime
115–123most likely final
Top plays · 24 plays on the Props tab
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC
Under 23.5 Points core
53%oursmodel 75%
47%market
Cooper Flagg DAL
Under 1.5 Threes core
53%oursmodel 70%
48%market
Cooper Flagg DAL
Under 27.5 Points core
55%oursmodel 73%
51%market
Zach LaVine SAC
Under 21.5 Points core
56%oursmodel 73%
52%market
First baskettop pickDAL P.J. Washington 13% +800 fandueltop pickSAC De'Andre Hunter 13% +1100 fanduel· full board on the Props tab
SAC away
Out: Ben Simmons, Dylan Cardwell, Keegan Murray, Maxime Raynaud → Sharp +2.2 min · usage ×1.34, Mogbo +3.1 min · usage ×1.22, Black +1.8 min · usage ×1.31, Karaban +3.8 min · usage ×1.08
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. S | 35.1±5.1 | -3.8×0.89 | 10–29 | 2–7 | 2–9 | 9% |
| Domantas Sabonis S | 34.8±5.2 | -2.4×1.19 | 10–28 | 8–19 | 3–10 | 78% |
| Precious Achiuwa S | 32±5.7 | +1.5×1.11 | 7–24 | 4–12 | 0–3 | 25% |
| De'Andre Hunter S | 30.4±5.5 | -1.6×1.05 | 8–24 | 2–8 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Zach LaVine S | 30.1±5.5 | -2.1×0.95 | 9–27 | 0–5 | 1–5 | <5% |
| Emanuel Sharp | 24.6±6.4 | +2.2×1.34 | 4–18 | 0–4 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Leaky Black | 23.2±8.4 | +1.8×1.31 | 3–16 | 1–7 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Nique Clifford | 22.6±7.5 | +4.2 | 2–13 | 1–6 | 1–5 | <5% |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 21.3±7.5 | +3.1×1.22 | 1–11 | 1–8 | 0–4 | <5% |
DAL home
Out: Santi Aldama, Dereck Lively II, Tarik Biberovic, Sergio de Larrea → Risacher +1.5 min · usage ×1.10, Cisse +2.4 min, Jr. +2.6 min, Marshall +1.7 min
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg S | 34.4±5.8 | -1.1×0.93 | 13–34 | 3–11 | 3–10 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington S | 33.6±5.4 | ·×1.12 | 8–25 | 4–12 | 0–3 | 25% |
| Kyrie Irving S | 32.3±5.9 | -1.2×0.94 | 12–33 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall S | 30.1±6.4 | +1.7 | 7–25 | 1–7 | 2–8 | 6% |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 27.4±6.1 | +1.5×1.10 | 5–18 | 2–9 | 0–3 | 6% |
| Max Christie S | 27.2±6.1 | +0.6×1.08 | 4–17 | 1–6 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Daniel Gafford S | 26.4±6 | -1×1.11 | 5–21 | 4–13 | 0–4 | 28% |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 20.9±6.8 | +2.6×0.98 | 3–15 | 1–8 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Caleb Martin | 20±8.7 | +1.6 | 1–12 | 0–6 | 0–3 | <5% |
NO @ MEM8:00 PM ET · MEM 5.5 · O/U 232.518 priced · 2 out
NO 33%67% MEM
51%MEM covers -5.5
50%over 232.5
31%blowout 15+
5%overtime
115–119most likely final
Top plays · 31 plays on the Props tab
Cameron Boozer MEM
Under 5.5 Assists core
63%oursmodel 77%
56%market
Jeremiah Fears NO
Under 15.5 Points core
52%oursmodel 64%
49%market
Ty Jerome MEM
Under 21.5 Points core
52%oursmodel 63%
49%market
Ty Jerome MEM
Under 6.5 Assists core
61%oursmodel 70%
56%market
First baskettop pickMEM Ty Jerome 20% +476 draftkingstop pickNO Dejounte Murray 10% +1200 draftkings· full board on the Props tab
NO away
Out: Jordan Poole, Yves Missi → Jordan usage ×1.11, McGowens +0.6 min · usage ×1.06, Murray +0.5 min, Jr. +0.5 min
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III S | 32.7±5.4 | ·×0.98 | 8–26 | 2–8 | 1–6 | 5% |
| Dejounte Murray S | 32.4±6.1 | +0.5 | 10–29 | 3–10 | 3–11 | 24% |
| Zion Williamson S | 30.7±5.6 | -0.7×1.05 | 11–31 | 2–8 | 1–5 | 5% |
| Jeremiah Fears S | 27.7±6 | · | 6–23 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 7% |
| Saddiq Bey | 27.4±6.1 | +0.5×0.96 | 7–24 | 2–8 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Herbert Jones S | 26.5±6.1 | · | 3–15 | 1–6 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Derik Queen | 23.5±6.4 | +0.7×0.97 | 3–17 | 3–11 | 0–5 | 12% |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 21.9±6.5 | +0.6×0.98 | 4–18 | 1–6 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Karlo Matkovic S | 19.8±7.4 | ·×0.94 | 2–14 | 2–9 | 0–2 | <5% |
MEM home
Full rotation available
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer S | 29±5.8 | · | 7–24 | 4–12 | 1–7 | 24% |
| Ty Jerome S | 25.7±6.8 | · | 9–31 | 1–5 | 2–9 | 8% |
| Cedric Coward S | 25.6±6.8 | · | 5–21 | 3–11 | 0–5 | 14% |
| Jaylen Wells S | 24.9±6.2 | · | 4–18 | 1–5 | 0–2 | <5% |
| Jerami Grant | 23.3±6.4 | · | 4–18 | 0–5 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Cam Spencer | 21.6±6.5 | · | 3–16 | 1–6 | 2–9 | 6% |
| Zach Edey S | 21.4±7.2 | · | 3–16 | 3–13 | 0–2 | 18% |
| Javon Small S | 20.2±8.3 | · | 3–18 | 1–6 | 1–7 | <5% |
| GG Jackson | 19.3±6.7 | · | 4–20 | 1–8 | 0–3 | <5% |
MIL @ MIN8:00 PM ET · MIN 10.5 · O/U 230.518 priced · 2 out
MIL 21%79% MIN
50%MIN covers -10.5
50%over 230.5
40%blowout 15+
4%overtime
113–123most likely final
Top plays · 45 plays on the Props tab
LaMelo Ball MIN
Under 20.5 Points core
56%oursmodel 79%
50%market
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN
Under 12.5 Points core
51%oursmodel 68%
47%market
LaMelo Ball MIN
Under 3.5 Threes core
53%oursmodel 69%
48%market
Myles Turner MIL
Under 9.5 Points core
53%oursmodel 68%
49%market
First baskettop pickMIN LaMelo Ball 16% +550 betmgmtop pickMIL Kyle Kuzma 10% +1200 betrivers· full board on the Props tab
MIL away
Full rotation available
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro S | 29±5.8 | · | 10–30 | 1–7 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Ryan Rollins S | 26.7±6.1 | · | 6–22 | 1–7 | 2–9 | 7% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. S | 25.9±6.1 | · | 6–23 | 2–9 | 1–7 | 8% |
| Kyle Kuzma S | 24.8±6.2 | · | 5–19 | 2–9 | 0–5 | 5% |
| Myles Turner S | 24.5±6.3 | · | 3–14 | 2–8 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Pete Nance | 21.6±9.7 | · | 1–13 | 1–8 | 0–3 | <5% |
| AJ Green | 20.8±6.6 | · | 2–12 | 0–5 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Kel'el Ware | 20.2±6.6 | · | 4–19 | 4–14 | 0–3 | 27% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 19.1±6.7 | · | 2–12 | 0–5 | 1–6 | <5% |
MIN home
Out: Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards → Beringer usage ×1.34, Clark +0.9 min · usage ×1.28, Gobert usage ×1.35, Lyles +0.9 min · usage ×1.19
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels S | 34.2±5.3 | -0.8×1.14 | 10–29 | 2–9 | 1–6 | 7% |
| Ayo Dosunmu S | 32.4±5.5 | ·×1.11 | 10–29 | 2–9 | 1–7 | 8% |
| Rudy Gobert S | 29.9±5.7 | -0.6×1.35 | 4–16 | 6–16 | 0–4 | 29% |
| Jonathan Kuminga S | 29.6±5.6 | -1.8×1.21 | 8–25 | 2–8 | 0–4 | <5% |
| LaMelo Ball S | 27.8±6 | ·×0.87 | 7–24 | 1–7 | 3–10 | 15% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 21.8±6.6 | +1.7 | 4–18 | 1–6 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Joan Beringer | 21.5±6.5 | ·×1.34 | 4–19 | 2–11 | 0–2 | 12% |
| Trey Lyles | 20.3±6.7 | +0.9×1.19 | 2–14 | 1–7 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Bones Hyland | 18.4±7 | +1.7×0.93 | 3–16 | 0–4 | 1–7 | <5% |
BOS @ HOU8:30 PM ET · HOU 4.5 · O/U 215.516 priced · 2 out
BOS 35%65% HOU
51%HOU covers -4.5
50%over 215.5
30%blowout 15+
4%overtime
107–111most likely final
Top plays · 33 plays on the Props tab
Jayson Tatum BOS
Under 26.5 Points core
49%oursmodel 64%
45%market
Marcus Smart HOU
Over 1.5 Threes core
40%oursmodel 54%
36%market
Jayson Tatum BOS
Under 2.5 Threes core
54%oursmodel 66%
51%market
Mitchell Robinson BOS
Over 6.5 Points bench over
49%oursmodel 60%
46%market
First baskettop pickHOU Alperen Sengun 16% +650 betmgmtop pickBOS Paul George 15%· full board on the Props tab
BOS away
Out: Devin Carter → Scheierman usage ×1.12, Hauser usage ×1.12, Gonzalez usage ×1.05, Robinson usage ×1.08
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum S | 35.1±5.2 | -0.8×0.95 | 15–36 | 4–12 | 3–11 | 37% |
| Derrick White S | 33.1±5.4 | ·×1.06 | 6–21 | 1–6 | 2–8 | <5% |
| Paul George S | 32.4±5.4 | -0.6 | 9–27 | 2–9 | 2–8 | 9% |
| Payton Pritchard | 29.2±5.8 | · | 7–23 | 1–6 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Neemias Queta | 24.3±6.3 | ·×1.03 | 4–17 | 3–12 | 0–3 | 15% |
| Sam Hauser | 21.5±6.5 | ·×1.12 | 3–15 | 1–6 | 0–2 | <5% |
| Mitchell Robinson S | 21.1±7.2 | ·×1.08 | 2–14 | 2–11 | 0–2 | 8% |
| Baylor Scheierman | 20.8±6.6 | ·×1.12 | 1–12 | 1–7 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Jordan Walsh S | 17.2±6.9 | ·×1.05 | 1–9 | 1–7 | 0–3 | <5% |
HOU home
Out: Steven Adams · no rotation minutes to hand out
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. S | 34.3±5.3 | · | 9–28 | 3–10 | 1–5 | 12% |
| Amen Thompson S | 33±5.4 | -1×0.96 | 7–23 | 2–9 | 1–7 | 8% |
| Kevin Durant S | 32.5±5.4 | · | 12–32 | 2–8 | 1–7 | 6% |
| Alperen Sengun S | 32.3±5.9 | -1.7 | 10–28 | 4–13 | 2–9 | 37% |
| Fred VanVleet S | 32.2±5.9 | -0.9×0.97 | 6–21 | 1–7 | 2–8 | 5% |
| Marcus Smart S | 29±6.4 | ·×0.96 | 4–18 | 1–6 | 1–6 | <5% |
| Reed Sheppard | 25.1±6.8 | · | 4–18 | 0–4 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Tari Eason | 22.5±6.3 | -1.7×0.97 | 3–15 | 2–9 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 16.7±7 | ·×0.97 | 2–13 | 0–4 | 0–4 | <5% |
UTAH @ SA8:30 PM ET · SA 16.5 · O/U 227.516 priced · 5 out
UTAH 11%89% SA
50%SA covers -16.5
50%over 227.5
58%blowout 15+
2%overtime
109–125most likely final
Top plays · 40 plays on the Props tab
Stephon Castle SA
Under 16.5 Points core
56%oursmodel 75%
52%market
Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
Over 1.5 Threes core bench over
48%oursmodel 66%
44%market
Keyonte George UTAH
Under 5.5 Assists core
51%oursmodel 61%
45%market
Keyonte George UTAH
Under 20.5 Points core
51%oursmodel 63%
49%market
First baskettop pickSA Victor Wembanyama 22% +333 betmgmtop pickUTAH Ace Bailey 10% +1200 betrivers· full board on the Props tab
UTAH away
Out: Jusuf Nurkic, Jaren Jackson Jr., Trey Alexander → Okogie +0.6 min · usage ×1.32, Green +0.6 min · usage ×1.25, Bamba +0.9 min · usage ×1.10, Mykhailiuk +0.7 min · usage ×1.08
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Bailey S | 31.5±5.4 | -1.5×1.08 | 8–26 | 3–10 | 0–4 | 11% |
| Darryn Peterson S | 30.8±5.5 | -1.1 | 7–23 | 1–7 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Keyonte George S | 29.6±5.5 | -2.1×0.94 | 10–29 | 1–6 | 2–9 | 6% |
| Lauri Markkanen S | 29.5±6.4 | ·×0.95 | 9–27 | 2–9 | 0–3 | 9% |
| Jaxson Hayes S | 24.2±6.9 | ·×1.11 | 3–15 | 2–10 | 0–4 | 7% |
| Isaiah Collier | 24.1±6.4 | +0.9×0.95 | 4–17 | 1–7 | 2–10 | 9% |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 22.1±6.6 | +1×0.98 | 6–24 | 1–6 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 20.4±6.7 | +0.7×1.08 | 2–13 | 0–5 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Josh Okogie | 18.8±7.5 | +0.6×1.32 | 1–9 | 1–6 | 0–3 | <5% |
SA home
Out: Jayden Quaintance, Tobias Harris → Kornet +0.7 min · usage ×1.23, Barnes +1.3 min · usage ×1.13, Champagnie +0.7 min · usage ×1.15, Johnson +0.9 min · usage ×1.09
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama S | 32.3±5.4 | ·×0.91 | 14–36 | 6–15 | 1–6 | 54% |
| Devin Vassell S | 30.8±5.5 | -1.6×1.10 | 6–21 | 2–8 | 1–6 | <5% |
| De'Aaron Fox S | 30.7±5.5 | -1.6×1.04 | 8–24 | 1–7 | 3–10 | 12% |
| Dylan Harper S | 30±5.5 | -1.7 | 8–25 | 2–9 | 1–7 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle S | 27.9±5.8 | -1 | 6–21 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 9% |
| Julian Champagnie | 27.7±6 | +0.7×1.15 | 5–20 | 2–8 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Keldon Johnson | 22.5±6.5 | +0.9×1.09 | 3–16 | 2–9 | 0–2 | <5% |
| Luke Kornet | 16.2±7 | +0.7×1.23 | 0–8 | 2–10 | 0–2 | <5% |
| Harrison Barnes | 14.4±7.9 | +1.3×1.13 | 0–9 | 0–3 | 0–1 | <5% |
POR @ DEN9:00 PM ET · DEN 4.5 · O/U 231.517 priced · 5 out
POR 35%65% DEN
51%DEN covers -4.5
50%over 231.5
30%blowout 15+
4%overtime
117–121most likely final
Top plays · 42 plays on the Props tab
Nikola Jokic DEN
Under 1.5 Threes core
54%oursmodel 77%
49%market
Scoot Henderson POR
Under 3.5 Assists core
67%oursmodel 83%
58%market
Nikola Jokic DEN
Under 24.5 Points core
54%oursmodel 71%
50%market
Damian Lillard POR
Under 20.5 Points core
52%oursmodel 68%
48%market
First baskettop pickDEN Jamal Murray 17% +500 fandueltop pickPOR Scoot Henderson 14% +800 draftkings· full board on the Props tab
POR away
Out: Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe → Cissoko +1.7 min · usage ×1.28, Krejci +1 min · usage ×1.06, Holiday +0.7 min · usage ×1.05, Clingan usage ×1.16
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija S | 31.2±6 | -1.5×0.97 | 12–32 | 3–10 | 2–9 | 19% |
| Damian Lillard S | 31.1±6.2 | ·×0.93 | 9–27 | 1–7 | 2–8 | 6% |
| Toumani Camara S | 29.3±6.2 | -1.4 | 6–21 | 1–7 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Jrue Holiday | 27.4±6.7 | +0.7×1.05 | 6–23 | 1–7 | 2–8 | 5% |
| Scoot Henderson | 25.9±6.8 | · | 5–20 | 0–5 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Donovan Clingan S | 23.6±6.9 | ·×1.16 | 3–17 | 4–15 | 0–4 | 26% |
| Sidy Cissoko | 20.4±7.5 | +1.7×1.28 | 1–12 | 1–7 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Robert Williams III | 18.3±7.5 | ·×1.06 | 2–15 | 2–12 | 0–3 | 13% |
| Vit Krejci | 17.4±7.7 | +1×1.06 | 1–11 | 0–5 | 0–4 | <5% |
DEN home
Out: Alpha Diallo, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones → Hopkins +1.3 min · usage ×1.15, Jones +2.4 min · usage ×1.02, III +2 min · usage ×1.06, Brazile +1.3 min · usage ×1.09
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray S | 36.4±5.6 | -2 | 15–37 | 2–8 | 3–10 | 15% |
| Christian Braun S | 33.7±5.7 | -2.5×1.05 | 7–24 | 1–7 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Nikola Jokic S | 33.2±5.6 | -4.5×0.97 | 11–31 | 6–16 | 5–14 | 72% |
| Aaron Gordon S | 31.2±6.1 | ·×1.02 | 7–23 | 3–10 | 1–6 | 10% |
| Cameron Johnson S | 29.9±7.3 | ·×1.05 | 6–22 | 1–7 | 0–5 | <5% |
| DeMar DeRozan | 28.1±6.6 | +0.7 | 6–23 | 0–5 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Trevon Brazile | 25.7±6.9 | +1.3×1.09 | 5–19 | 2–10 | 0–3 | 8% |
| Bryce Hopkins | 21.5±7.3 | +1.3×1.15 | 3–17 | 1–7 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Marvin Bagley III | 18.7±7.7 | +2×1.06 | 2–15 | 2–10 | 0–2 | 8% |
PHX @ GS10:00 PM ET · GS 2.5 · O/U 227.520 priced · 5 out
PHX 41%59% GS
52%GS covers -2.5
51%over 227.5
29%blowout 15+
6%overtime
113–115most likely final
Top plays · 36 plays on the Props tab
Khaman Maluach PHX
Under 7.5 Points core
51%oursmodel 63%
48%market
Georges Niang GS
Over 8.5 Points bench over
52%oursmodel 64%
49%market
Jordan Goodwin PHX
Over 1.5 Threes core bench over
49%oursmodel 60%
46%market
Georges Niang GS
Over 1.5 Threes core bench over
52%oursmodel 63%
49%market
First baskettop pickGS Draymond Green 11% +1300 betmgmtop pickPHX Jalen Green 13% +650 betmgm· full board on the Props tab
PHX away
Out: Mark Williams → Dunn usage ×1.09, Maluach usage ×1.06, Gillespie usage ×1.04, Brooks usage ×1.02
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker S | 35.5±5.7 | -0.7 | 13–34 | 1–6 | 2–9 | 10% |
| Miles Bridges S | 32.4±5.9 | -0.9 | 9–28 | 3–11 | 1–5 | 17% |
| Dillon Brooks S | 29.4±6.3 | ·×1.02 | 9–29 | 1–7 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Jalen Green S | 28.8±6.4 | -0.5 | 7–25 | 1–6 | 1–5 | <5% |
| Collin Gillespie | 27.6±6.6 | ·×1.04 | 4–18 | 1–6 | 2–8 | <5% |
| Oso Ighodaro | 23.8±8.2 | · | 2–13 | 2–10 | 1–6 | 5% |
| Jordan Goodwin | 22.3±7.1 | · | 3–16 | 1–8 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Luke Kennard | 19.4±7.4 | · | 2–15 | 0–5 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Khaman Maluach S | 18.6±7.5 | ·×1.06 | 2–13 | 2–11 | 0–2 | 6% |
GS home
Out: Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III → Richard +3.3 min · usage ×1.35, Leons +4 min, Melton usage ×1.30, Horford +1.5 min · usage ×1.11
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg S | 35.8±5.2 | -0.7×0.96 | 11–30 | 4–11 | 1–7 | 22% |
| Brandin Podziemski S | 35.4±5.6 | -2.2×1.07 | 10–29 | 3–10 | 2–8 | 15% |
| Stephen Curry S | 33.3±5.9 | -1.2×0.87 | 15–38 | 1–7 | 2–8 | 6% |
| Draymond Green S | 32.8±5.9 | -1.6×1.35 | 3–13 | 2–9 | 4–12 | 12% |
| De'Anthony Melton | 27.5±6 | ·×1.30 | 9–27 | 2–9 | 1–6 | 6% |
| Georges Niang S | 26.5±6.2 | +1.5 | 4–18 | 1–6 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Al Horford | 25.8±6.3 | +1.5×1.11 | 4–16 | 2–9 | 0–4 | 5% |
| Will Richard | 25.5±6.4 | +3.3×1.35 | 3–15 | 1–5 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Brandon Williams | 24.9±6.3 | +1.1×0.90 | 6–22 | 1–7 | 1–6 | <5% |
TOR @ LAC10:00 PM ET · TOR 4.5 · O/U 219.517 priced · 7 out
TOR 63%37% LAC
51%TOR covers -4.5
50%over 219.5
30%blowout 15+
6%overtime
115–109most likely final
Top plays · 29 plays on the Props tab
Darius Garland LAC
Under 22.5 Points core
54%oursmodel 74%
48%market
Scottie Barnes TOR
Under 0.5 Threes core
38%oursmodel 56%
34%market
Keaton Wagler LAC
Under 15.5 Points core
55%oursmodel 70%
52%market
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR
Under 10.5 Points core
51%oursmodel 64%
48%market
First baskettop pickLAC Rui Hachimura 11%top pickTOR RJ Barrett 13% +600 fanduel· full board on the Props tab
TOR away
Out: Nate Bittle, Kawhi Leonard → Smith +0.6 min · usage ×1.12, Graves +1.6 min, Shead usage ×1.11, Walter usage ×1.18
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes S | 34.4±5.2 | -1.4×0.92 | 12–31 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 20% |
| RJ Barrett S | 33.3±5.3 | -0.7 | 11–30 | 3–10 | 1–7 | 13% |
| Immanuel Quickley S | 32±5.4 | -1.1×1.07 | 8–25 | 1–7 | 3–10 | 12% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter S | 30.7±5.6 | -0.5×1.18 | 6–21 | 1–7 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Jamal Shead | 25.3±6.2 | ·×1.11 | 2–14 | 0–4 | 2–9 | <5% |
| Jakob Poeltl S | 23.3±7 | ·×1.08 | 3–15 | 3–11 | 0–3 | 10% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 22.8±6.5 | +0.8 | 3–16 | 2–9 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Malachi Smith | 20.1±9.6 | +0.6×1.12 | 2–17 | 0–5 | 0–5 | <5% |
| Jamison Battle | 17.4±7 | +1.1 | 2–15 | 0–5 | 0–2 | <5% |
LAC home
Out: Brandon Ingram, Max Strus, Jordan Miller, Yanic Konan Niederhauser, Bradley Beal → Miller +3.3 min · usage ×1.27, Pickett +4 min · usage ×1.05, Sanders +2.1 min · usage ×1.20, Dick +3.8 min
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland S | 34.7±5.2 | -1.1×0.87 | 10–29 | 0–4 | 3–11 | 20% |
| Rui Hachimura S | 33±5.8 | -1.9 | 7–24 | 2–8 | 0–2 | 5% |
| Kris Dunn S | 32.8±5.4 | ·×1.35 | 5–18 | 1–7 | 2–9 | 7% |
| Derrick Jones Jr. S | 30.4±5.4 | -2×1.20 | 6–21 | 2–8 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Keaton Wagler | 30.2±6 | +2.7×0.86 | 6–21 | 2–8 | 1–7 | <5% |
| Kobe Sanders | 29.6±6 | +2.1×1.20 | 6–22 | 1–6 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Brook Lopez | 28±6.1 | +1.9×0.93 | 5–20 | 2–9 | 0–3 | 6% |
| Isaiah Jackson S | 25.7±6.2 | ·×1.07 | 4–17 | 3–12 | 0–5 | 16% |
| Gradey Dick | 18.5±7.1 | +3.8×0.95 | 2–14 | 1–6 | 0–2 | <5% |
MIA @ LAL10:00 PM ET · LAL 2.5 · O/U 236.515 priced · 2 out
MIA 40%60% LAL
52%LAL covers -2.5
50%over 236.5
28%blowout 15+
6%overtime
119–121most likely final
Top plays · 32 plays on the Props tab
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
Under 29.5 Points core
51%oursmodel 66%
47%market
Klay Thompson MIA
Over 8.5 Points
56%oursmodel 68%
53%market
Walker Kessler LAL
Over 1.5 Assists core
42%oursmodel 51%
37%market
Bam Adebayo MIA
Under 1.5 Threes core
65%oursmodel 76%
63%market
First baskettop pickLAL Luka Doncic 18% +500 betmgmtop pickMIA Bam Adebayo 16% +610 draftkings· full board on the Props tab
MIA away
Full rotation available
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell S | 32.5±5.4 | · | 7–22 | 1–5 | 3–11 | 18% |
| Bam Adebayo S | 31.7±5.5 | · | 9–28 | 5–13 | 1–6 | 36% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo S | 30.3±5.7 | · | 15–38 | 6–17 | 2–10 | 69% |
| Andrew Wiggins S | 28.8±5.8 | · | 6–21 | 1–6 | 0–4 | <5% |
| Pelle Larsson | 26.3±6.1 | · | 5–19 | 1–6 | 1–6 | <5% |
| Klay Thompson S | 22.4±6.4 | · | 5–20 | 0–3 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Bobby Portis | 20.5±6.6 | · | 3–18 | 2–10 | 0–3 | 9% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 17.6±6.9 | · | 2–13 | 0–4 | 0–2 | <5% |
| Tre Donaldson | 14.3±10.6 | · | 1–15 | 0–5 | 0–5 | <5% |
LAL home
Out: Ziaire Williams, Adou Thiero → Vanderbilt +0.5 min · usage ×1.07, LaRavia usage ×1.08, Lovering usage ×1.09, Grimes usage ×1.06
| Rotation | Min | Δ | Pts | Reb | Ast | DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves S | 36.1±5.1 | -1.3 | 12–32 | 1–7 | 2–9 | 8% |
| Luka Doncic S | 35.3±5.2 | -1.2×0.95 | 23–49 | 4–12 | 4–12 | 46% |
| Walker Kessler S | 30.9±5.5 | -0.8×1.07 | 7–23 | 7–17 | 0–4 | 55% |
| Lawson Lovering S | 28.1±8.9 | ·×1.09 | 5–22 | 4–14 | 0–4 | 30% |
| Quentin Grimes | 26.7±6.1 | ·×1.06 | 4–16 | 1–6 | 1–5 | <5% |
| Jake LaRavia S | 25.5±6.2 | ·×1.08 | 2–13 | 1–7 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Matisse Thybulle S | 24.9±6.2 | ·×1.07 | 3–15 | 0–5 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 23.1±6.4 | ·×1.03 | 4–17 | 2–9 | 0–3 | <5% |
| Collin Sexton | 20.2±6.7 | ·×0.96 | 5–21 | 0–5 | 0–5 | <5% |
Minutes are the model's expectation after the teammates-out redistribution (Δ is what that redistribution handed the player tonight; ×usage is his usage multiplier when teammates are out). Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of our distribution, conditional on the player playing. Top plays are the game's best shown plays by edge (held plays stay on the Props tab). DD is the chance of a double-double (any two of points, rebounds, assists at 10+). S = projected starter. Greyed rows are under the 18-minute pricing gate. We never publish a projected stat line: the chance at the posted line is the product, and it lives on the Props tab and the player cards.
Game sims
Each game simulated 40,000 times from the market's own spread and total — the shape (likely scores, alternate numbers, blowout and overtime risk), not a claim to beat the book on the winner.
15 games
Season92 gamesfavourite won 68%Brier 0.195blowouts 15+ said 34% · were 35%home covered 45% · over 46%
Totals have run under the market so far this season. Across the 92 games graded, the final total landed 3.5 points below the posted line on average, and overs have hit 46% against the 50% these sims expected. The sim takes the book's own total as its centre and models only the spread of outcomes around it, so when the market itself is high, every over number on this page is high with it. The spread of totals we model is right; the centre is the market's. Treat the over side here as the weaker one until this closes.
Backtested on 2025-26 out of sample: win probability within 3 points in every band (Brier 0.196), alternate-spread cover rates within 1.2 points, overtime and blowout rates within 0.7. Rule 24 from the NFL sheet applies: a 50–55% favourite is a toss-up, never a call.
OKC @ CLE
7:00 PM ET · CLE -4.5 · O/U 229.5
most likely OKC 115 – CLE 119
40K
SIMS
SIMS
OKC
35%
112 pts · 98–126
VS
CLE
65%
117 pts · 103–131
WinnerCLE lean · 65%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 220–229 · 22% of sims
180line · 229.5260+
How the game shapes
SpreadCLE -4.5 covers 51% · OKC +4.5 covers 49% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
CLE alt spreadsCLE -12 27% · CLE -9.5 35% · CLE -7 41%
Alt totalso219.5 70% · o224.5 59% · o234.5 38% · o239.5 27%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 30% · 20+ 18% · within 5 29% · overtime 5% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
DET @ CHA
7:30 PM ET · DET -5.5 · O/U 209.5
most likely DET 109 – CHA 103
40K
SIMS
SIMS
DET
66%
107 pts · 93–121
VS
CHA
34%
102 pts · 88–116
WinnerDET lean · 66%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 200–209 · 23% of sims
160line · 209.5240+
How the game shapes
SpreadDET -5.5 covers 51% · CHA +5.5 covers 49% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
DET alt spreadsDET -8 43% · DET -10.5 34% · DET -13 30%
Alt totalso199.5 70% · o204.5 60% · o214.5 37% · o219.5 26%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 32% · 20+ 19% · within 5 28% · overtime 5% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
ATL @ IND
7:30 PM ET · ATL -10.5 · O/U 229.5
most likely ATL 123 – IND 113
40K
SIMS
SIMS
ATL
78%
120 pts · 106–134
VS
IND
22%
109 pts · 95–124
WinnerATL strong · 78%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 220–229 · 22% of sims
180line · 229.5260+
How the game shapes
SpreadATL -10.5 covers 50% · IND +10.5 covers 50% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
ATL alt spreadsATL -13 42% · ATL -15.5 34% · ATL -18 29%
Alt totalso219.5 70% · o224.5 60% · o234.5 38% · o239.5 27%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 40% · 20+ 26% · within 5 21% · overtime 5% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
BKN @ NY
7:30 PM ET · NY -14.5 · O/U 218.5
most likely BKN 105 – NY 117
40K
SIMS
SIMS
BKN
15%
102 pts · 88–116
VS
NY
85%
116 pts · 102–130
WinnerNY strong · 85%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 210–219 · 23% of sims
170line · 218.5250+
How the game shapes
SpreadNY -14.5 covers 50% · BKN +14.5 covers 50% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
NY alt spreadsNY -22 27% · NY -19.5 34% · NY -17 40%
Alt totalso208.5 70% · o213.5 60% · o223.5 37% · o228.5 26%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 52% · 20+ 35% · within 5 17% · overtime 2% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
WSH @ ORL
7:30 PM ET · ORL -3.5 · O/U 224.5
most likely WSH 111 – ORL 117
40K
SIMS
SIMS
WSH
37%
110 pts · 96–124
VS
ORL
63%
114 pts · 100–128
WinnerORL lean · 63%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 220–229 · 23% of sims
180line · 224.5260+
How the game shapes
SpreadORL -3.5 covers 52% · WSH +3.5 covers 48% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
ORL alt spreadsORL -11 27% · ORL -8.5 35% · ORL -6 41%
Alt totalso214.5 70% · o219.5 60% · o229.5 38% · o234.5 27%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 29% · 20+ 16% · within 5 30% · overtime 5% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
CHI @ PHI
7:30 PM ET · PHI -9.5 · O/U 238.5
most likely CHI 119 – PHI 127
40K
SIMS
SIMS
CHI
23%
114 pts · 100–129
VS
PHI
77%
124 pts · 110–138
WinnerPHI strong · 77%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 230–239 · 22% of sims
190line · 238.5270+
How the game shapes
SpreadPHI -9.5 covers 50% · CHI +9.5 covers 50% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
PHI alt spreadsPHI -17 27% · PHI -14.5 34% · PHI -12 40%
Alt totalso228.5 69% · o233.5 59% · o243.5 39% · o248.5 27%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 38% · 20+ 24% · within 5 21% · overtime 4% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
SAC @ DAL
8:00 PM ET · DAL -8.5 · O/U 231.5
most likely SAC 115 – DAL 123
40K
SIMS
SIMS
SAC
26%
111 pts · 97–125
VS
DAL
74%
120 pts · 106–134
WinnerDAL lean · 74%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 230–239 · 22% of sims
190line · 231.5270+
How the game shapes
SpreadDAL -8.5 covers 50% · SAC +8.5 covers 50% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
DAL alt spreadsDAL -16 27% · DAL -13.5 34% · DAL -11 40%
Alt totalso221.5 69% · o226.5 59% · o236.5 39% · o241.5 27%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 37% · 20+ 23% · within 5 23% · overtime 5% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
NO @ MEM
8:00 PM ET · MEM -5.5 · O/U 232.5
most likely NO 115 – MEM 119
40K
SIMS
SIMS
NO
33%
113 pts · 99–127
VS
MEM
67%
119 pts · 105–133
WinnerMEM lean · 67%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 230–239 · 22% of sims
190line · 232.5270+
How the game shapes
SpreadMEM -5.5 covers 51% · NO +5.5 covers 49% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
MEM alt spreadsMEM -13 27% · MEM -10.5 34% · MEM -8 41%
Alt totalso222.5 69% · o227.5 59% · o237.5 39% · o242.5 27%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 31% · 20+ 19% · within 5 27% · overtime 5% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
MIL @ MIN
8:00 PM ET · MIN -10.5 · O/U 230.5
most likely MIL 113 – MIN 123
40K
SIMS
SIMS
MIL
21%
110 pts · 95–124
VS
MIN
79%
120 pts · 106–134
WinnerMIN strong · 79%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 220–229 · 22% of sims
180line · 230.5260+
How the game shapes
SpreadMIN -10.5 covers 50% · MIL +10.5 covers 50% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
MIN alt spreadsMIN -18 27% · MIN -15.5 34% · MIN -13 40%
Alt totalso220.5 69% · o225.5 59% · o235.5 38% · o240.5 27%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 40% · 20+ 26% · within 5 21% · overtime 4% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
BOS @ HOU
8:30 PM ET · HOU -4.5 · O/U 215.5
most likely BOS 107 – HOU 111
40K
SIMS
SIMS
BOS
35%
105 pts · 91–119
VS
HOU
65%
110 pts · 96–124
WinnerHOU lean · 65%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 210–219 · 24% of sims
170line · 215.5250+
How the game shapes
SpreadHOU -4.5 covers 51% · BOS +4.5 covers 49% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
HOU alt spreadsHOU -12 27% · HOU -9.5 34% · HOU -7 40%
Alt totalso205.5 70% · o210.5 60% · o220.5 38% · o225.5 26%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 30% · 20+ 17% · within 5 30% · overtime 4% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
UTAH @ SA
8:30 PM ET · SA -16.5 · O/U 227.5
most likely UTAH 109 – SA 125
40K
SIMS
SIMS
UTAH
11%
105 pts · 91–119
VS
SA
89%
122 pts · 108–135
WinnerSA strong · 89%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 220–229 · 23% of sims
180line · 227.5260+
How the game shapes
SpreadSA -16.5 covers 50% · UTAH +16.5 covers 50% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
SA alt spreadsSA -24 27% · SA -21.5 34% · SA -19 40%
Alt totalso217.5 69% · o222.5 59% · o232.5 38% · o237.5 26%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 58% · 20+ 40% · within 5 14% · overtime 2% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
POR @ DEN
9:00 PM ET · DEN -4.5 · O/U 231.5
most likely POR 117 – DEN 121
40K
SIMS
SIMS
POR
35%
113 pts · 99–127
VS
DEN
65%
118 pts · 104–132
WinnerDEN lean · 65%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 230–239 · 22% of sims
190line · 231.5270+
How the game shapes
SpreadDEN -4.5 covers 51% · POR +4.5 covers 49% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
DEN alt spreadsDEN -12 27% · DEN -9.5 34% · DEN -7 41%
Alt totalso221.5 69% · o226.5 60% · o236.5 39% · o241.5 27%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 30% · 20+ 18% · within 5 29% · overtime 4% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
PHX @ GS
10:00 PM ET · GS -2.5 · O/U 227.5
most likely PHX 113 – GS 115
40K
SIMS
SIMS
PHX
41%
112 pts · 98–127
VS
GS
59%
115 pts · 101–129
WinnerGS lean · 59%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 220–229 · 23% of sims
180line · 227.5260+
How the game shapes
SpreadGS -2.5 covers 52% · PHX +2.5 covers 48% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
GS alt spreadsGS -10 27% · GS -7.5 35% · GS -5 41%
Alt totalso217.5 70% · o222.5 61% · o232.5 39% · o237.5 28%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 29% · 20+ 16% · within 5 30% · overtime 6% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
TOR @ LAC
10:00 PM ET · TOR -4.5 · O/U 219.5
most likely TOR 115 – LAC 109
40K
SIMS
SIMS
TOR
63%
112 pts · 98–126
VS
LAC
37%
107 pts · 93–121
WinnerTOR lean · 63%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 210–219 · 23% of sims
170line · 219.5250+
How the game shapes
SpreadTOR -4.5 covers 51% · LAC +4.5 covers 49% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
TOR alt spreadsTOR -7 43% · TOR -9.5 34% · TOR -12 29%
Alt totalso209.5 71% · o214.5 60% · o224.5 38% · o229.5 27%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 30% · 20+ 18% · within 5 30% · overtime 6% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
MIA @ LAL
10:00 PM ET · LAL -2.5 · O/U 236.5
most likely MIA 119 – LAL 121
40K
SIMS
SIMS
MIA
40%
117 pts · 102–131
VS
LAL
60%
119 pts · 105–133
WinnerLAL lean · 60%
Totalno lean the line is the mean by construction
TOTAL POINTS DISTRIBUTION
peak 230–239 · 23% of sims
190line · 236.5270+
How the game shapes
SpreadLAL -2.5 covers 52% · MIA +2.5 covers 48% — market-anchored; a cover % is never a call
LAL alt spreadsLAL -10 27% · LAL -7.5 34% · LAL -5 41%
Alt totalso226.5 70% · o231.5 60% · o241.5 39% · o246.5 28%
Game shapeblowout 15+ 28% · 20+ 16% · within 5 30% · overtime 6% — a blowout is where starters sit; it is already in tonight's minutes
Props — Fri Oct 30
457 plays across 10 games · 4479 priced · graded 238–210 +21.42u
odds 2026-10-30T22:02
CHA @ WSH7:10 PM ET6 plays · 1 core · 7 held
1
Sion James CHA — Over 5.5 Points
WON · actual 6 · +1.10u tracking edge +13pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 60%2
Ryan Kalkbrenner CHA — Over 5.5 Points
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u tracking bench over edge +13pp · 4 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Moussa Diabate CHA — Over 8.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +0.88u tracking edge +11pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Kyshawn George WSH — Over 12.5 Points
LOST · actual 12 · -1.00u tracking edge +10pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Grayson Allen CHA — Over 15.5 Points
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u tracking edge +8pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 54%6
Anthony Davis WSH — Under 20.5 Points
LOST · actual 25 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%7 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Naz Reid CHA — Under 16.5 Points
WON · actual 12 · +1.15u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +36pp · 8 books · market 44%
51%
hit · ours
model 79%8
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 27.5 Points
WON · actual 19 · +0.93u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +33pp · 7 books · market 50%
57%
hit · ours
model 83%9
Bilal Coulibaly WSH — Over 8.5 Points
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 3 books · market 51%
56%
hit · ours
model 75%10
Deandre Ayton WSH — Over 4.5 Points
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 4 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 70%11
Tre Johnson WSH — Over 8.5 Points
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 69%12
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 14.5 Points
WON · actual 8 · +1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 7 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 65%13
Alex Sarr WSH — Over 10.5 Points
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 63%CHI @ BOS7:40 PM ET7 plays · 4 core · 4 held
1
Caleb Wilson CHI — Under 17.5 Points
LOST · actual 23 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Leonard Miller CHI — Under 8.5 Points
WON · actual 2 · +0.91u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 58%3
Tre Jones CHI — Over 8.5 Points
WON · actual 12 · +0.98u tracking bench over edge +8pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%4
Norman Powell CHI — Under 19.5 Points
WON · actual 16 · +0.91u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%5
Jordan Walsh BOS — Over 4.5 Points
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u tracking bench over edge +6pp · 6 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Neemias Queta BOS — Under 8.5 Points
LOST · actual 13 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%7
Jalen Smith CHI — Over 10.5 Points
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u tracking edge +4pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Derrick White BOS — Under 15.5 Points
WON · actual 9 · +0.97u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 7 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 70%9
Payton Pritchard BOS — Under 15.5 Points
LOST · actual 30 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 67%10
Paul George BOS — Under 20.5 Points
WON · actual 18 · +0.95u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 68%11
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 27.5 Points
WON · actual 26 · +1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 66%DET @ BKN7:40 PM ET9 plays · 8 core · 2 held
1
Cade Cunningham DET — Under 23.5 Points
WON · actual 20 · +0.93u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Nolan Traore BKN — Under 9.5 Points
WON · actual 9 · +1.20u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 58%3
Julius Randle BKN — Under 19.5 Points
WON · actual 15 · +0.85u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 64%4
Daniss Jenkins DET — Over 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u tracking edge +11pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%5
Mikel Brown Jr. BKN — Under 11.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +0.93u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Keon Ellis BKN — Under 6.5 Points
WON · actual 6 · +0.88u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%7
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Under 8.5 Points
WON · actual 3 · +0.92u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 58%8
Michael Porter Jr. BKN — Under 21.5 Points
WON · actual 13 · +0.89u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%9
Duncan Robinson DET — Under 13.5 Points
LOST · actual 17 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 51%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
John Collins DET — Under 14.5 Points
WON · actual 4 · +0.91u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 8 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 74%11
Ausar Thompson DET — Under 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 7 books · market 45%
50%
hit · ours
model 68%NY @ PHI7:40 PM ET6 plays · 5 core · 2 held
1
Joel Embiid PHI — Under 24.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +0.94u core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 24.5 Points
LOST · actual 27 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 58%3
Josh Hart NY — Under 10.5 Points
WON · actual 7 · +0.95u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%4
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Under 13.5 Points
WON · actual 13 · +0.76u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Jalen Brunson NY — Under 27.5 Points
WON · actual 24 · +0.82u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 59%6
OG Anunoby NY — Over 16.5 Points
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u tracking edge +3pp · 7 books · market 51%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Mikal Bridges NY — Under 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 12 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 66%8
Karl-Anthony Towns NY — Under 19.5 Points
LOST · actual 22 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 65%ORL @ TOR7:40 PM ET8 plays · 6 core · 4 held
1
Anthony Black ORL — Under 13.5 Points
LOST · actual 17 · -1.00u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 62%2
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Over 10.5 Points
WON · actual 20 · +0.89u tracking bench over edge +15pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 66%3
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 20.5 Points
LOST · actual 28 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 65%4
Jase Richardson ORL — Under 7.5 Points
WON · actual 4 · +1.00u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 15 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%6
Tristan da Silva ORL — Over 11.5 Points
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u tracking edge +8pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%7
Jakob Poeltl TOR — Under 7.5 Points
LOST · actual 12 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 61%8
Jamal Shead TOR — Under 6.5 Points
WON · actual 2 · +1.20u core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 22.5 Points
LOST · actual 26 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 7 books · market 51%
56%
hit · ours
model 77%10
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 21.5 Points
LOST · actual 41 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 7 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 74%11
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Under 17.5 Points
WON · actual 17 · +0.91u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 70%12
RJ Barrett TOR — Under 22.5 Points
WON · actual 9 · +0.95u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 8 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 65%HOU @ DAL8:10 PM ET8 plays · 4 core · 4 held
1
Alperen Sengun HOU — Under 20.5 Points
VOID · LOW BACK SORENESS core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Tari Eason HOU — Under 11.5 Points
WON · actual 11 · +0.87u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 65%3
Fred VanVleet HOU — Over 11.5 Points
WON · actual 16 · +0.88u tracking edge +12pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 64%4
Max Christie DAL — Over 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u tracking edge +11pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 57%5
Amen Thompson HOU — Under 18.5 Points
WON · actual 15 · +0.85u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Zaccharie Risacher DAL — Over 8.5 Points
WON · actual 12 · +0.92u tracking bench over edge +8pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%7
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU — Over 14.5 Points
WON · actual 22 · +0.77u tracking edge +4pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 58%8
Kyrie Irving DAL — Under 19.5 Points
LOST · actual 35 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 57%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Daniel Gafford DAL — Over 7.5 Points
WON · actual 18 · +0.85u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 7 books · market 52%
57%
hit · ours
model 73%10
Naji Marshall DAL — Over 11.5 Points
VOID · COACH'S DECISION held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 8 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 69%11
Cooper Flagg DAL — Under 23.5 Points
LOST · actual 33 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 7 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 66%12
P.J. Washington DAL — Over 13.5 Points
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 45%
49%
hit · ours
model 61%IND @ MIA8:10 PM ET11 plays · 5 core · 1 held
1
Bam Adebayo MIA — Under 18.5 Points
LOST · actual 27 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND — Over 10.5 Points
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u tracking edge +10pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Davion Mitchell MIA — Over 11.5 Points
WON · actual 15 · +0.89u tracking edge +9pp · 8 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%4
Jay Huff IND — Over 8.5 Points
WON · actual 13 · +1.02u tracking bench over edge +8pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%5
Pelle Larsson MIA — Under 10.5 Points
LOST · actual 18 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 53%6
Andrew Nembhard IND — Over 17.5 Points
WON · actual 22 · +0.98u tracking edge +7pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 55%7
Aaron Nesmith IND — Over 12.5 Points
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u tracking edge +7pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 61%8
Bobby Portis MIA — Under 11.5 Points
WON · actual 8 · +0.91u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%9
Tim Hardaway Jr. MIA — Under 8.5 Points
WON · actual 2 · +0.89u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%10
Klay Thompson MIA — Over 7.5 Points
WON · actual 25 · +0.83u tracking bench over edge +4pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%11
Andrew Wiggins MIA — Under 12.5 Points
WON · actual 12 · +0.98u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 52%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
12
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA — Under 31.5 Points
WON · actual 31 · +0.95u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 7 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 76%LAC @ MIN8:10 PM ET5 plays · 3 core · 6 held
1
Rudy Gobert MIN — Under 9.5 Points
WON · actual 9 · +1.00u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Isaiah Jackson LAC — Over 8.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +1.01u tracking bench over edge +8pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 56%3
Keaton Wagler LAC — Over 12.5 Points
LOST · actual 12 · -1.00u tracking edge +8pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Ayo Dosunmu MIN — Under 15.5 Points
WON · actual 15 · +1.05u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 54%5
Jaden McDaniels MIN — Under 17.5 Points
LOST · actual 23 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%6 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 20.5 Points
LOST · actual 24 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 7 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 74%7
Darius Garland LAC — Under 22.5 Points
LOST · actual 24 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 7 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 72%8
Kobe Sanders LAC — Over 7.5 Points
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 5 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 71%9
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 13.5 Points
WON · actual 11 · +1.20u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 7 books · market 45%
49%
hit · ours
model 65%10
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC — Over 10.5 Points
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 8 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 68%11
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 8.5 Points
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 7 books · market 46%
50%
hit · ours
model 62%DEN @ PHX10:10 PM ET9 plays · 4 core · 3 held
1
Khaman Maluach PHX — Under 7.5 Points
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%2
DeMar DeRozan DEN — Over 13.5 Points
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u tracking edge +10pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%3
Jalen Green PHX — Over 15.5 Points
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u tracking edge +10pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Collin Gillespie PHX — Under 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 16 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Devin Booker PHX — Under 23.5 Points
WON · actual 20 · +0.89u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%6
Christian Braun DEN — Over 11.5 Points
WON · actual 31 · +0.91u tracking edge +5pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%7
Aaron Gordon DEN — Under 14.5 Points
LOST · actual 15 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 8 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%8
Jamal Murray DEN — Over 22.5 Points
WON · actual 39 · +0.90u tracking edge +3pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 54%9
Jordan Goodwin PHX — Over 7.5 Points
WON · actual 11 · +1.20u tracking bench over edge +3pp · 6 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 48%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
Trevon Brazile DEN — Over 7.5 Points
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +36pp · 6 books · market 50%
57%
hit · ours
model 85%11
Nikola Jokic DEN — Under 25.5 Points
WON · actual 18 · +0.87u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +25pp · 7 books · market 51%
56%
hit · ours
model 76%12
Dillon Brooks PHX — Over 16.5 Points
WON · actual 22 · +0.97u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 65%LAL @ GS10:10 PM ET7 plays · 5 core · 5 held
1
Walker Kessler LAL — Under 13.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +1.10u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 23.5 Points
WON · actual 21 · +0.81u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Under 19.5 Points
WON · actual 6 · +0.85u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Stephen Curry GS — Under 25.5 Points
LOST · actual 31 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 8 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Luka Doncic LAL — Under 33.5 Points
LOST · actual 37 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 50%6
Matisse Thybulle LAL — Over 6.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +0.85u tracking bench over edge +5pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%7
Quentin Grimes LAL — Over 8.5 Points
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u tracking edge +5pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 58%5 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Al Horford GS — Over 5.5 Points
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +30pp · 7 books · market 47%
53%
hit · ours
model 77%9
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 9.5 Points
WON · actual 16 · +0.96u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 67%10
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 15.5 Points
WON · actual 21 · +1.10u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 65%11
Georges Niang GS — Over 7.5 Points
WON · actual 11 · +0.93u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 6 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 66%12
Draymond Green GS — Over 6.5 Points
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 61%CHA @ WSH7:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 1 held
1
Grayson Allen CHA — Over 2.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.78u core edge +14pp · 5 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 67%2
Ryan Kalkbrenner CHA — Over 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core bench over edge +12pp · 3 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 56%3
Anthony Davis WSH — Under 10.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 13 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 66%4
Tre Johnson WSH — Over 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core bench over edge +6pp · 5 books · market 40%
41%
hit · ours
model 46%5
Sion James CHA — Over 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +1.15u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%6
Moussa Diabate CHA — Under 10.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 12 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 59%7
Alex Sarr WSH — Over 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 8 · +0.95u core bench over edge +3pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Deandre Ayton WSH — Over 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 5 books · market 43%
47%
hit · ours
model 63%CHI @ BOS7:40 PM ET12 plays · 12 core
1
Norman Powell CHI — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +0.66u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 58%
60%
hit · ours
model 70%2
Payton Pritchard BOS — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 52%3
Tre Jones CHI — Over 2.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +1.36u core bench over edge +8pp · 4 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 48%4
Caleb Wilson CHI — Under 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +1.06u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%5
Leonard Miller CHI — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +0.76u core edge +7pp · 5 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Neemias Queta BOS — Over 6.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core bench over edge +7pp · 7 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 50%7
Matas Buzelis CHI — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 49%8
Jalen Smith CHI — Under 6.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 12 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 48%9
Jordan Walsh BOS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core bench over edge +4pp · 6 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 59%10
Mitchell Robinson BOS — Under 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +1.14u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 45%
45%
hit · ours
model 48%11
Josh Giddey CHI — Under 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +0.71u core edge +3pp · 8 books · market 56%
56%
hit · ours
model 59%12
Paul George BOS — Under 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 56%
57%
hit · ours
model 59%DET @ BKN7:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 1 held
1
John Collins DET — Under 6.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 59%2
Duncan Robinson DET — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 53%
56%
hit · ours
model 66%3
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Under 6.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 53%4
Keon Ellis BKN — Under 2.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +0.71u core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 65%5
Cade Cunningham DET — Under 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +0.80u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 62%6
Julius Randle BKN — Over 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 8 · +1.05u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 55%7
Daniss Jenkins DET — Over 2.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.70u core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 56%
57%
hit · ours
model 60%8
Michael Porter Jr. BKN — Over 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +1.06u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 52%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Paul Reed DET — Under 8.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +1.10u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 8 books · market 46%
50%
hit · ours
model 66%NY @ PHI7:40 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Mikal Bridges NY — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 57%2
LeBron James PHI — Under 6.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +0.68u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 58%
60%
hit · ours
model 68%4
Jalen Brunson NY — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 42%
43%
hit · ours
model 49%5
OG Anunoby NY — Over 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%6
Karl-Anthony Towns NY — Under 12.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 12 · +0.76u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 55%
55%
hit · ours
model 58%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Dean Wade PHI — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +1.35u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 4 books · market 41%
44%
hit · ours
model 56%ORL @ TOR7:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 2 held
1
Jakob Poeltl TOR — Under 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 57%2
Jamal Shead TOR — Under 1.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 1 · +1.60u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 38%
40%
hit · ours
model 46%3
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +1.05u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 54%4
Tristan da Silva ORL — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 0 · +1.16u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 52%5
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Under 7.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +1.12u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 52%6
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +0.71u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 56%
57%
hit · ours
model 62%8
Anthony Black ORL — Under 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 7.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +0.81u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 8 books · market 54%
57%
hit · ours
model 70%10
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Under 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 63%HOU @ DAL8:10 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 2 held
1
Amen Thompson HOU — Under 7.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +1.05u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%2
P.J. Washington DAL — Over 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 10 · +1.05u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 56%3
Fred VanVleet HOU — Over 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +1.28u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 51%4
Max Christie DAL — Over 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 49%5
Cooper Flagg DAL — Under 6.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 8 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Kevin Durant HOU — Over 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 54%7
Naji Marshall DAL — Over 3.5 Rebounds
VOID · COACH'S DECISION core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%8
Alperen Sengun HOU — Under 8.5 Rebounds
VOID · LOW BACK SORENESS core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 53%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Daniel Gafford DAL — Over 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +0.89u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 68%10
Zaccharie Risacher DAL — Over 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 6 · +1.16u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 6 books · market 44%
48%
hit · ours
model 60%IND @ MIA8:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 2 held
1
Bam Adebayo MIA — Under 9.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 9 · +0.95u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA — Under 11.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 18 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 8 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Andrew Wiggins MIA — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +0.74u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 67%4
Bobby Portis MIA — Under 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +1.11u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 53%5
Andrew Nembhard IND — Under 2.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +1.32u core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 41%
42%
hit · ours
model 47%6
Jay Huff IND — Over 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core bench over edge +3pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Davion Mitchell MIA — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 5 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 69%8
Aaron Nesmith IND — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.89u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 69%LAC @ MIN8:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 2 held
1
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 1 · +0.95u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Rui Hachimura LAC — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 44%
45%
hit · ours
model 52%3
Ayo Dosunmu MIN — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Darius Garland LAC — Under 2.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +1.02u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 57%5
Keaton Wagler LAC — Over 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 6 · +0.70u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 57%
58%
hit · ours
model 64%6
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC — Over 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 53%7
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.71u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 57%
58%
hit · ours
model 61%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +0.87u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 7 books · market 53%
57%
hit · ours
model 75%9
Rudy Gobert MIN — Under 11.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 13 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 8 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 67%DEN @ PHX10:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 2 held
1
Nikola Jokic DEN — Under 11.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +1.25u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 57%2
Dillon Brooks PHX — Over 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Aaron Gordon DEN — Over 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 8 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 60%4
Devin Booker PHX — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +0.68u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 57%
59%
hit · ours
model 67%5
Christian Braun DEN — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.89u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%6
Jordan Goodwin PHX — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 58%
58%
hit · ours
model 62%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Trevon Brazile DEN — Over 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 5 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 63%8
Khaman Maluach PHX — Under 7.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 6 · +1.15u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 45%
49%
hit · ours
model 64%LAL @ GS10:10 PM ET9 plays · 9 core · 2 held
1
Luka Doncic LAL — Under 7.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +0.78u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Stephen Curry GS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +1.30u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 51%3
Matisse Thybulle LAL — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 65%4
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Over 7.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 55%5
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL — Over 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +1.05u core bench over edge +8pp · 6 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 55%6
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +0.70u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 64%7
Draymond Green GS — Over 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 53%8
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 44%
45%
hit · ours
model 48%9
Walker Kessler LAL — Under 10.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 13 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 59%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
Al Horford GS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 71%11
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +1.50u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 6 books · market 39%
43%
hit · ours
model 59%CHA @ WSH7:10 PM ET8 plays · 8 core
1
Naz Reid CHA — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +0.71u core edge +20pp · 6 books · market 58%
65%
hit · ours
model 78%2
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +0.70u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 57%
62%
hit · ours
model 71%3
Kyshawn George WSH — Over 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 62%4
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 8 books · market 55%
59%
hit · ours
model 66%5
Alex Sarr WSH — Over 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core bench over edge +7pp · 6 books · market 36%
39%
hit · ours
model 43%6
Trae Young WSH — Under 9.5 Assists
WON · actual 9 · +0.96u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Moussa Diabate CHA — Over 1.5 Assists
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 59%
61%
hit · ours
model 64%8
Sion James CHA — Over 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +1.75u core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 37%
39%
hit · ours
model 41%CHI @ BOS7:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core
1
Josh Giddey CHI — Over 7.5 Assists
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 58%2
Payton Pritchard BOS — Under 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +0.85u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 61%3
Derrick White BOS — Under 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +0.74u core edge +8pp · 8 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Tre Jones CHI — Under 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 60%5
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 6.5 Assists
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 51%6
Caleb Wilson CHI — Over 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +1.23u core edge +6pp · 5 books · market 44%
45%
hit · ours
model 49%7
Norman Powell CHI — Under 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 5 books · market 63%
64%
hit · ours
model 68%8
Paul George BOS — Under 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%DET @ BKN7:40 PM ET6 plays · 6 core
1
Cade Cunningham DET — Under 9.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +0.80u core edge +23pp · 7 books · market 53%
61%
hit · ours
model 76%2
Julius Randle BKN — Under 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +1.20u core edge +20pp · 8 books · market 42%
49%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +0.65u core edge +16pp · 6 books · market 58%
63%
hit · ours
model 74%4
Paul Reed DET — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +0.71u core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 56%
61%
hit · ours
model 71%5
Nolan Traore BKN — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +0.92u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Mikel Brown Jr. BKN — Under 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 54%NY @ PHI7:40 PM ET7 plays · 7 core
1
Landry Shamet NY — Over 1.5 Assists
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 4 books · market 44%
48%
hit · ours
model 55%2
Mikal Bridges NY — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +0.89u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 62%3
LeBron James PHI — Under 6.5 Assists
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%4
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +0.69u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 57%
60%
hit · ours
model 65%5
Jalen Brunson NY — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 8 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 50%6
Josh Hart NY — Under 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +0.66u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 58%
59%
hit · ours
model 62%7
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Over 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 5 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 57%ORL @ TOR7:40 PM ET12 plays · 12 core
1
Anthony Black ORL — Under 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u core edge +28pp · 6 books · market 46%
56%
hit · ours
model 74%2
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u core edge +25pp · 7 books · market 41%
50%
hit · ours
model 66%3
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +23pp · 6 books · market 50%
58%
hit · ours
model 73%4
Jakob Poeltl TOR — Under 1.5 Assists
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +23pp · 4 books · market 48%
56%
hit · ours
model 71%5
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +17pp · 6 books · market 45%
51%
hit · ours
model 62%6
Tristan da Silva ORL — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 0 · +1.40u core edge +16pp · 4 books · market 39%
45%
hit · ours
model 55%7
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +0.61u core edge +13pp · 4 books · market 59%
63%
hit · ours
model 72%8
Jamal Shead TOR — Under 4.5 Assists
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 45%
48%
hit · ours
model 54%9
Jase Richardson ORL — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +0.57u core edge +8pp · 4 books · market 61%
64%
hit · ours
model 69%10
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +1.05u core edge +7pp · 4 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 55%11
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 5 · +1.10u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 50%12
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR — Over 1.5 Assists
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 4 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 54%HOU @ DAL8:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Fred VanVleet HOU — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 8 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 62%2
Tari Eason HOU — Under 1.5 Assists
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 5 books · market 56%
60%
hit · ours
model 69%3
Cooper Flagg DAL — Over 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 6 · +1.06u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Amen Thompson HOU — Under 4.5 Assists
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 45%
49%
hit · ours
model 56%5
Kevin Durant HOU — Over 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 62%6
Alperen Sengun HOU — Under 5.5 Assists
VOID · LOW BACK SORENESS core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Naji Marshall DAL — Over 3.5 Assists
VOID · COACH'S DECISION held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 6 books · market 45%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%IND @ MIA8:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core
1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u core edge +18pp · 8 books · market 43%
49%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Andrew Nembhard IND — Under 8.5 Assists
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 44%
48%
hit · ours
model 56%3
Pascal Siakam IND — Under 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 41%
43%
hit · ours
model 47%4
Davion Mitchell MIA — Under 6.5 Assists
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 52%5
Bam Adebayo MIA — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +0.90u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%6
Andrew Wiggins MIA — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +1.25u core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 44%
45%
hit · ours
model 48%LAC @ MIN8:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 1 held
1
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 7 · +1.05u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 47%
52%
hit · ours
model 61%2
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 7.5 Assists
WON · actual 7 · +0.82u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 53%
56%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 0 · +0.83u core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Ayo Dosunmu MIN — Under 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +0.77u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 60%5
Darius Garland LAC — Under 7.5 Assists
WON · actual 5 · +0.77u core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 59%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Keaton Wagler LAC — Over 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 6 books · market 37%
45%
hit · ours
model 59%DEN @ PHX10:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Jordan Goodwin PHX — Under 1.5 Assists
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 41%
45%
hit · ours
model 54%2
Nikola Jokic DEN — Under 9.5 Assists
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 8 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%3
Devin Booker PHX — Under 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 5 · +1.02u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 53%4
Jamal Murray DEN — Under 6.5 Assists
WON · actual 5 · +0.82u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 58%5
Jalen Green PHX — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +1.60u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 39%
41%
hit · ours
model 44%6
Collin Gillespie PHX — Under 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 56%
57%
hit · ours
model 59%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
DeMar DeRozan DEN — Over 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 5 · +0.78u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 6 books · market 55%
62%
hit · ours
model 74%LAL @ GS10:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 1 held
1
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 5 · +0.96u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%2
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 6 · +1.05u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%3
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 0 · +1.06u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 53%4
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +1.50u core bench over edge +6pp · 6 books · market 39%
41%
hit · ours
model 45%5
Quentin Grimes LAL — Over 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 44%
45%
hit · ours
model 48%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Draymond Green GS — Over 6.5 Assists
WON · actual 9 · +1.55u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 40%
46%
hit · ours
model 56%CHA @ WSH7:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 3 held
1
Trae Young WSH — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.74u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 67%2
Bilal Coulibaly WSH — Over 0.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 3 books · market 59%
61%
hit · ours
model 68%3
Kyshawn George WSH — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%4
Sion James CHA — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 37%
39%
hit · ours
model 46%5
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.69u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 58%
59%
hit · ours
model 65%6
Tre Johnson WSH — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core bench over edge +4pp · 6 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 3.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.05u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 8 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 70%8
Naz Reid CHA — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +0.83u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 52%
56%
hit · ours
model 71%9
Grayson Allen CHA — Over 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +7pp · 6 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 59%CHI @ BOS7:40 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 3 held
1
Payton Pritchard BOS — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 58%2
Norman Powell CHI — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +1.01u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 57%3
Caleb Wilson CHI — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 55%4
Paul George BOS — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.50u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 39%
41%
hit · ours
model 49%5
Josh Giddey CHI — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.68u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 37%
38%
hit · ours
model 41%6
Matas Buzelis CHI — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +0.63u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 59%
60%
hit · ours
model 63%7
Jalen Smith CHI — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 52%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Derrick White BOS — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.87u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 68%9
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.32u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 42%
45%
hit · ours
model 58%10
Leonard Miller CHI — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.47u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 5 books · market 65%
68%
hit · ours
model 80%DET @ BKN7:40 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Daniss Jenkins DET — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.80u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 36%
38%
hit · ours
model 46%2
Mikel Brown Jr. BKN — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +1.30u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 52%3
Keon Ellis BKN — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 63%
65%
hit · ours
model 70%4
John Collins DET — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.57u core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 61%
61%
hit · ours
model 65%5
Cade Cunningham DET — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 59%
59%
hit · ours
model 62%6
Michael Porter Jr. BKN — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.50u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 40%
41%
hit · ours
model 44%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Julius Randle BKN — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 58%
62%
hit · ours
model 78%NY @ PHI7:40 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope PHI — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.65u core edge +10pp · 5 books · market 58%
60%
hit · ours
model 68%3
Landry Shamet NY — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 63%4
OG Anunoby NY — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.68u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 57%
58%
hit · ours
model 65%5
Josh Hart NY — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.11u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 51%6
LeBron James PHI — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 63%
63%
hit · ours
model 67%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Joel Embiid PHI — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.61u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 6 books · market 60%
64%
hit · ours
model 78%ORL @ TOR7:40 PM ET4 plays · 4 core · 4 held
1
RJ Barrett TOR — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 57%2
Jase Richardson ORL — Over 0.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core bench over edge +6pp · 4 books · market 58%
59%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 48%4
Anthony Black ORL — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
5
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.50u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 7 books · market 64%
69%
hit · ours
model 87%6
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 7 books · market 59%
63%
hit · ours
model 80%7
Tristan da Silva ORL — Over 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +9pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 52%8
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.06u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +6pp · 7 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 52%HOU @ DAL8:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 2 held
1
Cooper Flagg DAL — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.75u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 68%2
Kyrie Irving DAL — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 61%3
Max Christie DAL — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 66%4
Tari Eason HOU — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.45u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 66%
68%
hit · ours
model 75%5
Naji Marshall DAL — Over 0.5 Threes
VOID · COACH'S DECISION core edge +7pp · 4 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 63%6
Kevin Durant HOU — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 58%
60%
hit · ours
model 65%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Fred VanVleet HOU — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.28u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +10pp · 7 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 52%8
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.28u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +5pp · 8 books · market 42%
43%
hit · ours
model 47%IND @ MIA8:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 2 held
1
Bam Adebayo MIA — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.67u core edge +13pp · 8 books · market 60%
62%
hit · ours
model 73%2
Tim Hardaway Jr. MIA — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +1.02u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 59%3
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA — Under 0.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 5 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Pascal Siakam IND — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.83u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Andrew Wiggins MIA — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +0.90u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%6
Bobby Portis MIA — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.00u core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Aaron Nesmith IND — Over 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +14pp · 7 books · market 35%
38%
hit · ours
model 49%8
Klay Thompson MIA — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 7 · +1.85u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +6pp · 7 books · market 38%
39%
hit · ours
model 44%LAC @ MIN8:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 3 held
1
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 32%
35%
hit · ours
model 45%2
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 3.5 Threes
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Darius Garland LAC — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 8 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Jaden McDaniels MIN — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 57%5
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 44%
45%
hit · ours
model 51%6
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%7
Keaton Wagler LAC — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 53%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.62u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +25pp · 7 books · market 38%
43%
hit · ours
model 63%9
Kobe Sanders LAC — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 3 books · market 36%
40%
hit · ours
model 55%10
Rui Hachimura LAC — Over 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 7 books · market 37%
40%
hit · ours
model 53%DEN @ PHX10:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 3 held
1
DeMar DeRozan DEN — Under 0.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.96u core edge +11pp · 4 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Jordan Goodwin PHX — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.30u core bench over edge +7pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 50%3
Dillon Brooks PHX — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 4 · +0.62u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 59%
61%
hit · ours
model 67%4
Collin Gillespie PHX — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 59%
60%
hit · ours
model 65%5
Jalen Green PHX — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +1.65u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 38%
39%
hit · ours
model 43%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Nikola Jokic DEN — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +1.05u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +27pp · 7 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 75%7
Devin Booker PHX — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 66%8
Jamal Murray DEN — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 7 · +0.77u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +9pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 65%LAL @ GS10:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 4 held
1
Draymond Green GS — Over 0.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 5 books · market 57%
60%
hit · ours
model 70%2
Quentin Grimes LAL — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.55u core edge +12pp · 5 books · market 61%
64%
hit · ours
model 74%3
Matisse Thybulle LAL — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core bench over edge +10pp · 7 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 51%4
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.46u core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 65%
66%
hit · ours
model 71%5
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.58u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 60%
61%
hit · ours
model 64%6
Stephen Curry GS — Under 3.5 Threes
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 52%7
Georges Niang GS — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.00u core bench over edge +3pp · 6 books · market 48%
48%
hit · ours
model 51%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 4 · +1.55u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 7 books · market 38%
42%
hit · ours
model 59%9
Al Horford GS — Over 0.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.50u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 4 books · market 64%
68%
hit · ours
model 82%10
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 4 · +1.75u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +5pp · 7 books · market 35%
36%
hit · ours
model 41%11
Luka Doncic LAL — Over 4.5 Threes
WON · actual 6 · +1.38u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +5pp · 7 books · market 42%
43%
hit · ours
model 47%CHA @ WSH7:10 PM ET5 plays · 2 core · 6 held
1
Moussa Diabate CHA — Over 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 23 · +0.88u tracking edge +14pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Grayson Allen CHA — Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u tracking edge +11pp · 6 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%3
Kyshawn George WSH — Over 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 18 · -1.00u tracking edge +11pp · 6 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 64%4
Anthony Davis WSH — Under 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 39 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 58%5
Trae Young WSH — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 37 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 50%6 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 36.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 28 · +0.90u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +31pp · 6 books · market 50%
56%
hit · ours
model 81%7
Naz Reid CHA — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 24 · +0.92u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +30pp · 5 books · market 50%
56%
hit · ours
model 80%8
Tre Johnson WSH — Over 12.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 3 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 68%9
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 18 · +0.82u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 6 books · market 52%
56%
hit · ours
model 69%10
Sion James CHA — Over 11.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 15 · +0.88u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 67%11
Alex Sarr WSH — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 67%CHI @ BOS7:40 PM ET4 plays · 2 core · 4 held
1
Caleb Wilson CHI — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 32 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 5 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 62%2
Norman Powell CHI — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 21 · +1.00u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 58%3
Tre Jones CHI — Over 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 20 · +0.98u tracking bench over edge +7pp · 5 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 55%4
Josh Giddey CHI — Over 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 22 · -1.00u tracking edge +5pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
5
Payton Pritchard BOS — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 36 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 6 books · market 52%
57%
hit · ours
model 73%6
Derrick White BOS — Under 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 15 · +0.85u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 70%7
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 43.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 40 · +0.93u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 6 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 66%8
Paul George BOS — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 32 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 6 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 67%DET @ BKN7:40 PM ET7 plays · 6 core · 3 held
1
Nolan Traore BKN — Under 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 13 · +0.82u core edge +13pp · 3 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Julius Randle BKN — Under 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 26 · +1.05u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%3
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Under 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 11 · +1.10u core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Paul Reed DET — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 17 · +1.00u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Daniss Jenkins DET — Over 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 14 · -1.00u tracking edge +9pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Mikel Brown Jr. BKN — Under 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 14 · +1.15u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 54%7
Duncan Robinson DET — Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 23 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
John Collins DET — Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 13 · +0.83u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +25pp · 3 books · market 52%
57%
hit · ours
model 77%9
Cade Cunningham DET — Under 38.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 29 · +0.95u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 6 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 71%10
Ausar Thompson DET — Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 25 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 6 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 63%NY @ PHI7:40 PM ET8 plays · 7 core · 1 held
1
Karl-Anthony Towns NY — Under 34.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 37 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%2
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 34.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 35 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 5 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Joel Embiid PHI — Under 37.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 24 · +1.00u core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Jalen Brunson NY — Under 36.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 35 · +0.90u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 60%5
LeBron James PHI — Under 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 37 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 5 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 57%6
Josh Hart NY — Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 16 · +0.91u core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%7
OG Anunoby NY — Over 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 16 · -1.00u tracking edge +4pp · 6 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 52%8
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 23 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Mikal Bridges NY — Under 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 19 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 6 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 70%ORL @ TOR7:40 PM ET6 plays · 5 core · 5 held
1
RJ Barrett TOR — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 17 · +1.05u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%2
Jase Richardson ORL — Under 12.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 12 · +0.82u core edge +12pp · 5 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Jakob Poeltl TOR — Under 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 26 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 4 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%4
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 21 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 5 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Jamal Shead TOR — Under 13.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 11 · +1.25u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 53%6
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 28 · +0.95u tracking bench over edge +8pp · 5 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 57%5 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 34.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 42 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +29pp · 6 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 76%8
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 35.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 51 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +27pp · 6 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 76%9
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 31 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 7 books · market 51%
56%
hit · ours
model 74%10
Anthony Black ORL — Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 33 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 6 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 69%11
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 36 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 6 books · market 54%
57%
hit · ours
model 72%HOU @ DAL8:10 PM ET8 plays · 4 core · 3 held
1
Amen Thompson HOU — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 24 · +0.91u core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Max Christie DAL — Over 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u tracking edge +14pp · 5 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 60%3
Cooper Flagg DAL — Under 36.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 48 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 65%4
Tari Eason HOU — Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 26 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 5 books · market 53%
56%
hit · ours
model 66%5
Alperen Sengun HOU — Under 34.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
VOID · LOW BACK SORENESS core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Fred VanVleet HOU — Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 27 · +1.02u tracking edge +7pp · 6 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%7
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU — Over 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 27 · +0.85u tracking edge +5pp · 4 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%8
Kevin Durant HOU — Over 32.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 34 · +0.85u tracking edge +5pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Daniel Gafford DAL — Over 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 27 · +0.98u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +25pp · 5 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 73%10
Naji Marshall DAL — Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
VOID · COACH'S DECISION held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 6 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 72%11
P.J. Washington DAL — Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 14 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 5 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 63%IND @ MIA8:10 PM ET2 plays · 2 core · 2 held
1
Andrew Wiggins MIA — Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 15 · +0.83u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%2
Pascal Siakam IND — Under 36.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 22 · +0.80u core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
3
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA — Under 49.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 59 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +27pp · 6 books · market 49%
55%
hit · ours
model 77%4
Bam Adebayo MIA — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 39 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 6 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 64%LAC @ MIN8:10 PM ET5 plays · 4 core · 5 held
1
Keaton Wagler LAC — Over 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 21 · +1.07u tracking edge +14pp · 6 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Rudy Gobert MIN — Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 26 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 3 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 65%3
Ayo Dosunmu MIN — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 24 · +1.10u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%4
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 6 · +0.87u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Rui Hachimura LAC — Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 17 · +0.85u core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 54%5 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 35 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +27pp · 6 books · market 46%
52%
hit · ours
model 73%7
Darius Garland LAC — Under 32.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 31 · +1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 6 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 71%8
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 17 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 6 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 67%9
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 16 · +0.92u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 4 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 69%10
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC — Over 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 12 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 4 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 68%DEN @ PHX10:10 PM ET3 plays · 2 core · 3 held
1
Devin Booker PHX — Under 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 27 · +0.95u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%2
Collin Gillespie PHX — Under 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 29 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 5 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 60%3
Jalen Green PHX — Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u tracking edge +7pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
4
Nikola Jokic DEN — Under 46.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 35 · +1.05u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 6 books · market 47%
53%
hit · ours
model 74%5
DeMar DeRozan DEN — Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 67%6
Dillon Brooks PHX — Over 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 25 · +1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 3 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 63%LAL @ GS10:10 PM ET6 plays · 5 core · 4 held
1
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 32.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 30 · +1.05u core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Walker Kessler LAL — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 25 · +0.88u core edge +12pp · 5 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Under 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 7 · +1.05u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%4
Luka Doncic LAL — Under 49.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 49 · +0.92u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%5
Quentin Grimes LAL — Over 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u tracking edge +5pp · 5 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%6
Stephen Curry GS — Under 32.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 41 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Al Horford GS — Over 11.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +29pp · 5 books · market 47%
53%
hit · ours
model 76%8
Draymond Green GS — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 15 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 6 books · market 51%
56%
hit · ours
model 75%9
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 24 · +1.10u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 6 books · market 45%
50%
hit · ours
model 69%10
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 32 · +1.05u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 6 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 65%CHI @ BOS7:40 PM ET1 play
1
Josh Giddey CHI — Double-double — Yes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u tracking edge +3pp · 5 books · market 28%
30%
hit · ours
model 31%LAL @ GS10:10 PM ET1 play
1
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Double-double — Yes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u tracking edge +3pp · 5 books · market 27%
29%
hit · ours
model 30%Props — Sat Oct 31
303 plays across 7 games · 2934 priced · graded 178–117 +56.20u
odds 2026-10-31T17:22
POR @ UTAH3:10 PM ET9 plays · 8 core · 2 held
1
Scoot Henderson POR — Under 13.5 Points
LOST · actual 14 · -1.00u core edge +30pp · 8 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 78%2
Damian Lillard POR — Under 22.5 Points
WON · actual 22 · +1.10u core edge +28pp · 7 books · market 47%
52%
hit · ours
model 75%3
Lauri Markkanen UTAH — Under 21.5 Points
WON · actual 13 · +0.91u core edge +23pp · 7 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 73%4
Deni Avdija POR — Under 24.5 Points
WON · actual 24 · +0.91u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 66%5
Jaxson Hayes UTAH — Over 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u tracking edge +14pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Darryn Peterson UTAH — Under 14.5 Points
LOST · actual 16 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%7
Keyonte George UTAH — Under 23.5 Points
WON · actual 8 · +0.83u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%8
Toumani Camara POR — Under 12.5 Points
LOST · actual 14 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 55%9
Donovan Clingan POR — Under 10.5 Points
WON · actual 4 · +1.10u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 49%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
Ace Bailey UTAH — Over 15.5 Points
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 7 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 64%11
Robert Williams III POR — Over 6.5 Points
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 5 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 64%PHI @ CHA6:10 PM ET6 plays · 4 core · 3 held
1
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Under 17.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +0.85u core edge +27pp · 4 books · market 51%
57%
hit · ours
model 78%2
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 28.5 Points
LOST · actual 38 · -1.00u core edge +22pp · 4 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 71%3
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 14.5 Points
WON · actual 4 · +0.95u core edge +18pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 68%4
Jaylen Brown PHI — Under 23.5 Points
WON · actual 16 · +0.89u core edge +10pp · 4 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 60%5
Anfernee Simons PHI — Over 11.5 Points
WON · actual 19 · +0.89u tracking edge +9pp · 3 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%6
Sion James CHA — Over 5.5 Points
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u tracking bench over edge +8pp · 6 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 61%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 26.5 Points
WON · actual 24 · +0.95u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +32pp · 8 books · market 49%
56%
hit · ours
model 82%8
Naz Reid CHA — Under 17.5 Points
WON · actual 14 · +1.05u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +30pp · 7 books · market 49%
55%
hit · ours
model 79%9
Moussa Diabate CHA — Over 8.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +0.91u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 67%ATL @ NO7:10 PM ET14 plays · 11 core
1
Jalen Johnson ATL — Under 22.5 Points
WON · actual 13 · +0.85u core edge +22pp · 7 books · market 51%
56%
hit · ours
model 73%2
Aaron Wiggins ATL — Under 11.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +1.05u core edge +18pp · 7 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 65%3
Herbert Jones NO — Over 6.5 Points
WON · actual 11 · +1.04u tracking edge +14pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Dyson Daniels ATL — Under 10.5 Points
WON · actual 8 · +1.05u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%5
CJ McCollum ATL — Under 15.5 Points
WON · actual 14 · +1.10u core edge +13pp · 8 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Derik Queen NO — Under 10.5 Points
WON · actual 8 · +1.05u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%7
Karlo Matkovic NO — Under 7.5 Points
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 58%8
Luguentz Dort ATL — Under 7.5 Points
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 62%9
Jeremiah Fears NO — Under 12.5 Points
LOST · actual 20 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 55%10
Zion Williamson NO — Under 22.5 Points
WON · actual 15 · +0.80u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 60%11
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL — Under 19.5 Points
WON · actual 12 · +0.88u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%12
Kingston Flemings ATL — Under 7.5 Points
LOST · actual 12 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%13
Saddiq Bey NO — Over 12.5 Points
WON · actual 25 · +0.96u tracking edge +4pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%14
Dejounte Murray NO — Over 16.5 Points
VOID · not on the box score tracking edge +3pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 55%CLE @ MIL8:10 PM ET12 plays · 12 core
1
Myles Turner MIL — Under 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u core edge +23pp · 7 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 71%2
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL — Under 6.5 Points
WON · actual 5 · +1.15u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 56%3
Ryan Rollins MIL — Under 15.5 Points
WON · actual 9 · +0.79u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 65%4
Tyler Herro MIL — Under 21.5 Points
WON · actual 15 · +0.91u core edge +11pp · 8 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Peyton Watson CLE — Under 13.5 Points
WON · actual 5 · +0.91u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Kyle Kuzma MIL — Under 10.5 Points
LOST · actual 14 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 53%7
Kel'el Ware MIL — Under 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 19 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 57%8
James Harden CLE — Under 18.5 Points
WON · actual 13 · +0.96u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%9
Evan Mobley CLE — Under 17.5 Points
LOST · actual 27 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 57%10
Jarrett Allen CLE — Under 13.5 Points
LOST · actual 25 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 56%11
Donovan Mitchell CLE — Under 24.5 Points
WON · actual 15 · +0.96u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 56%12
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL — Under 15.5 Points
WON · actual 8 · +0.93u core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%MIN @ SA8:10 PM ET13 plays · 8 core
1
Julian Champagnie SA — Over 9.5 Points
WON · actual 12 · +0.93u tracking bench over edge +14pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 64%2
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 19.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +0.94u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Stephon Castle SA — Under 16.5 Points
WON · actual 0 · +0.95u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%4
Devin Vassell SA — Over 11.5 Points
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u tracking edge +9pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Jaden McDaniels MIN — Over 15.5 Points
WON · actual 19 · +0.79u tracking edge +9pp · 7 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 63%6
Victor Wembanyama SA — Under 24.5 Points
LOST · actual 43 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 12.5 Points
WON · actual 2 · +0.88u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%8
Dylan Harper SA — Under 15.5 Points
LOST · actual 25 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%9
Bones Hyland MIN — Over 8.5 Points
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u tracking bench over edge +5pp · 5 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 53%10
De'Aaron Fox SA — Under 14.5 Points
LOST · actual 22 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%11
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 13.5 Points
LOST · actual 19 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 52%12
Ayo Dosunmu MIN — Over 14.5 Points
WON · actual 27 · +0.85u tracking edge +3pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 57%13
Keldon Johnson SA — Under 9.5 Points
WON · actual 2 · +0.83u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 53%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%SAC @ MEM8:10 PM ET7 plays · 6 core · 2 held
1
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC — Under 22.5 Points
LOST · actual 38 · -1.00u core edge +28pp · 7 books · market 48%
54%
hit · ours
model 76%2
Ty Jerome MEM — Under 22.5 Points
VOID · not on the box score core edge +21pp · 7 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 72%3
Cameron Boozer MEM — Under 16.5 Points
LOST · actual 27 · -1.00u core edge +15pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 67%4
Cedric Coward MEM — Under 14.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +0.95u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Domantas Sabonis SAC — Over 15.5 Points
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u tracking edge +11pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 62%6
Zach LaVine SAC — Under 21.5 Points
WON · actual 11 · +0.89u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 60%7
Jaylen Wells MEM — Under 12.5 Points
WON · actual 4 · +0.91u core edge +5pp · 8 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Precious Achiuwa SAC — Over 12.5 Points
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 7 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 73%9
De'Andre Hunter SAC — Over 12.5 Points
WON · actual 19 · +0.95u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 65%OKC @ HOU8:40 PM ET6 plays · 3 core · 1 held
1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC — Under 28.5 Points
WON · actual 26 · +1.00u core edge +25pp · 8 books · market 47%
52%
hit · ours
model 72%2
Jared McCain OKC — Under 14.5 Points
WON · actual 10 · +0.96u core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 66%3
Ajay Mitchell OKC — Under 18.5 Points
WON · actual 6 · +0.97u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 65%4
Aday Mara OKC — Over 7.5 Points
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u tracking bench over edge +10pp · 6 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU — Over 14.5 Points
WON · actual 30 · +0.87u tracking edge +9pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Kevin Durant HOU — Over 22.5 Points
LOST · actual 14 · -1.00u tracking edge +8pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Kenrich Williams OKC — Over 6.5 Points
WON · actual 11 · +0.87u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 7 books · market 52%
56%
hit · ours
model 73%POR @ UTAH3:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 2 held
1
Lauri Markkanen UTAH — Under 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 6 · +0.68u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 57%
59%
hit · ours
model 69%2
Robert Williams III POR — Over 7.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core bench over edge +11pp · 5 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 54%3
Keyonte George UTAH — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +1.26u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 54%4
Deni Avdija POR — Under 7.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +0.83u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Scoot Henderson POR — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 56%6
Ace Bailey UTAH — Over 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +0.82u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 62%7
Jaxson Hayes UTAH — Over 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +0.82u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 56%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Toumani Camara POR — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 7 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 70%9
Donovan Clingan POR — Under 10.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 9 · +1.15u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 7 books · market 45%
48%
hit · ours
model 60%PHI @ CHA6:10 PM ET4 plays · 4 core
1
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +0.76u core edge +11pp · 4 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 66%2
Sion James CHA — Over 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core bench over edge +9pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 58%3
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Under 6.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 4 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%4
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.73u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 59%ATL @ NO7:10 PM ET12 plays · 12 core
1
Herbert Jones NO — Over 2.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +1.10u core edge +14pp · 5 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 60%2
Jalen Johnson ATL — Under 9.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +0.89u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Karlo Matkovic NO — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 56%4
Zion Williamson NO — Under 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 63%5
Aaron Wiggins ATL — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +0.80u core edge +8pp · 5 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Derik Queen NO — Under 6.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 52%7
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +0.66u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 57%
58%
hit · ours
model 64%8
CJ McCollum ATL — Under 2.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +0.95u core edge +8pp · 5 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 57%9
Dyson Daniels ATL — Under 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +1.10u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 53%10
Saddiq Bey NO — Under 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 48%11
Luguentz Dort ATL — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 46%
46%
hit · ours
model 50%12
Jeremiah Fears NO — Over 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +0.80u core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 54%
54%
hit · ours
model 57%CLE @ MIL8:10 PM ET10 plays · 10 core · 2 held
1
Jarrett Allen CLE — Under 8.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 57%2
Myles Turner MIL — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 56%3
Kel'el Ware MIL — Over 7.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 10 · +1.25u core bench over edge +10pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 53%4
Evan Mobley CLE — Under 9.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +0.74u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 64%5
Kyle Kuzma MIL — Under 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.93u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 58%6
Tyler Herro MIL — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +1.05u core edge +8pp · 8 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%7
Ryan Rollins MIL — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.70u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 63%8
James Harden CLE — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 53%9
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL — Under 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%10
Donovan Mitchell CLE — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +1.13u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 46%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
11
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 6 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 59%12
Sam Merrill CLE — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 5 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 65%MIN @ SA8:10 PM ET9 plays · 9 core
1
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 58%2
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +14pp · 8 books · market 56%
59%
hit · ours
model 71%3
Keldon Johnson SA — Over 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 6 · +1.11u core bench over edge +6pp · 5 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 51%4
Devin Vassell SA — Over 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +0.65u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 57%
59%
hit · ours
model 63%5
Victor Wembanyama SA — Under 11.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +0.74u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 59%6
Dylan Harper SA — Over 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +0.88u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%7
De'Aaron Fox SA — Under 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%8
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.67u core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 57%
58%
hit · ours
model 61%9
Jaden McDaniels MIN — Over 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 46%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%SAC @ MEM8:10 PM ET9 plays · 9 core
1
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC — Over 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 5 · +1.07u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 59%2
Ty Jerome MEM — Under 2.5 Rebounds
VOID · not on the box score core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 41%
44%
hit · ours
model 52%3
Precious Achiuwa SAC — Over 7.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Cameron Boozer MEM — Under 8.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 64%5
Zach LaVine SAC — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 0 · +0.67u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 59%
60%
hit · ours
model 66%6
Domantas Sabonis SAC — Under 14.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 14 · +0.76u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 60%7
De'Andre Hunter SAC — Over 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 52%8
Cedric Coward MEM — Over 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +1.16u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 44%
45%
hit · ours
model 48%9
Zach Edey MEM — Under 7.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 6 · +1.30u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 43%
43%
hit · ours
model 46%OKC @ HOU8:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 1 held
1
Kenrich Williams OKC — Over 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 7 · +1.15u core bench over edge +13pp · 7 books · market 45%
48%
hit · ours
model 58%2
Amen Thompson HOU — Under 6.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +1.20u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 55%3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +0.74u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 65%4
Kevin Durant HOU — Over 5.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 8 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 52%5
Jared McCain OKC — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 48%6
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU — Over 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 9 · +0.87u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Alperen Sengun HOU — Under 8.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 53%8
Isaiah Hartenstein OKC — Over 9.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core bench over edge +3pp · 7 books · market 52%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Aday Mara OKC — Over 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 9 · +1.40u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 6 books · market 42%
47%
hit · ours
model 66%POR @ UTAH3:10 PM ET8 plays · 8 core
1
Scoot Henderson POR — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +0.87u core edge +31pp · 7 books · market 52%
63%
hit · ours
model 83%2
Deni Avdija POR — Under 6.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +1.15u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 45%
49%
hit · ours
model 56%3
Toumani Camara POR — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 0 · +1.02u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 57%4
Keyonte George UTAH — Under 6.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +0.74u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 55%
58%
hit · ours
model 65%5
Darryn Peterson UTAH — Over 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +0.70u core edge +9pp · 4 books · market 57%
60%
hit · ours
model 65%6
Ace Bailey UTAH — Over 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 39%
42%
hit · ours
model 47%7
Jaxson Hayes UTAH — Under 1.5 Assists
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 5 books · market 41%
43%
hit · ours
model 46%8
Damian Lillard POR — Under 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +1.30u core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 47%PHI @ CHA6:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core
1
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +1.50u core edge +22pp · 4 books · market 42%
50%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Naz Reid CHA — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +0.68u core edge +18pp · 6 books · market 58%
64%
hit · ours
model 76%3
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +1.10u core edge +17pp · 4 books · market 46%
52%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +15pp · 8 books · market 44%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%5
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 42%
46%
hit · ours
model 53%6
Jaylen Brown PHI — Under 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +0.74u core edge +7pp · 4 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 61%7
Sion James CHA — Over 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core bench over edge +4pp · 6 books · market 39%
41%
hit · ours
model 43%ATL @ NO7:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 1 held
1
Jalen Johnson ATL — Under 7.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +1.25u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 42%
47%
hit · ours
model 55%2
Saddiq Bey NO — Over 1.5 Assists
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 4 books · market 56%
61%
hit · ours
model 69%3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +0.68u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 57%
61%
hit · ours
model 68%4
Dyson Daniels ATL — Under 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +1.16u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 52%5
Derik Queen NO — Under 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 57%
59%
hit · ours
model 62%6
Zion Williamson NO — Under 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 53%7
Dejounte Murray NO — Over 6.5 Assists
VOID · not on the box score core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 46%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Jeremiah Fears NO — Over 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 7 · +1.34u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 6 books · market 42%
48%
hit · ours
model 59%CLE @ MIL8:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core
1
James Harden CLE — Under 7.5 Assists
WON · actual 7 · +0.66u core edge +17pp · 7 books · market 57%
63%
hit · ours
model 74%2
Donovan Mitchell CLE — Under 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +1.15u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 44%
49%
hit · ours
model 59%3
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +0.91u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Kyle Kuzma MIL — Under 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Ryan Rollins MIL — Under 4.5 Assists
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 45%
48%
hit · ours
model 52%6
Myles Turner MIL — Under 1.5 Assists
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 5 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%7
Tyler Herro MIL — Under 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +0.72u core edge +5pp · 8 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 60%MIN @ SA8:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Dylan Harper SA — Under 4.5 Assists
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Jaden McDaniels MIN — Over 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +0.77u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 55%
58%
hit · ours
model 65%3
Devin Vassell SA — Over 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 58%
62%
hit · ours
model 68%5
Stephon Castle SA — Under 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +1.10u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 53%6
LaMelo Ball MIN — Over 6.5 Assists
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 53%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Bones Hyland MIN — Over 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +1.16u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 5 books · market 44%
50%
hit · ours
model 63%SAC @ MEM8:10 PM ET9 plays · 9 core
1
Cameron Boozer MEM — Under 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +0.80u core edge +20pp · 6 books · market 53%
61%
hit · ours
model 74%2
Ty Jerome MEM — Under 5.5 Assists
VOID · not on the box score core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Jaylen Wells MEM — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 0 · +0.74u core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 55%
59%
hit · ours
model 65%4
Precious Achiuwa SAC — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +0.91u core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Cedric Coward MEM — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +1.24u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 50%6
Domantas Sabonis SAC — Under 6.5 Assists
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 53%
56%
hit · ours
model 60%7
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC — Under 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 5 · +1.15u core edge +5pp · 8 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 50%8
Zach LaVine SAC — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +0.59u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 60%
61%
hit · ours
model 63%9
De'Andre Hunter SAC — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 0 · +0.87u core edge +3pp · 5 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 55%OKC @ HOU8:40 PM ET5 plays · 5 core
1
Isaiah Hartenstein OKC — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 0 · +1.35u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 40%
44%
hit · ours
model 52%2
Kevin Durant HOU — Over 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +1.20u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 45%
48%
hit · ours
model 55%3
Alperen Sengun HOU — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 8 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%4
Ajay Mitchell OKC — Under 3.5 Assists
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 39%
41%
hit · ours
model 45%5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC — Under 5.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +0.94u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%POR @ UTAH3:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 1 held
1
Scoot Henderson POR — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +1.25u core edge +22pp · 7 books · market 42%
47%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Deni Avdija POR — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +18pp · 7 books · market 41%
44%
hit · ours
model 59%3
Ace Bailey UTAH — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +17pp · 7 books · market 56%
60%
hit · ours
model 73%4
Damian Lillard POR — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 40%
43%
hit · ours
model 52%5
Lauri Markkanen UTAH — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +0.77u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 66%6
Darryn Peterson UTAH — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.40u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 42%
43%
hit · ours
model 50%7
Donovan Clingan POR — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 34%
35%
hit · ours
model 40%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Toumani Camara POR — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 4 · +1.23u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +11pp · 8 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 56%PHI @ CHA6:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 3.5 Threes
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +22pp · 8 books · market 47%
52%
hit · ours
model 70%2
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +19pp · 4 books · market 41%
45%
hit · ours
model 60%3
Naz Reid CHA — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.95u core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 66%4
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.74u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 65%5
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 4 books · market 39%
40%
hit · ours
model 47%6
Sion James CHA — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core bench over edge +4pp · 6 books · market 39%
40%
hit · ours
model 43%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Anfernee Simons PHI — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 5 · +1.27u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +13pp · 3 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 56%ATL @ NO7:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 2 held
1
CJ McCollum ATL — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +0.59u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 59%
62%
hit · ours
model 74%2
Luguentz Dort ATL — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.80u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 67%3
Aaron Wiggins ATL — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 40%
41%
hit · ours
model 48%4
Jalen Johnson ATL — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.89u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Saddiq Bey NO — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL — Over 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +4pp · 7 books · market 59%
60%
hit · ours
model 63%7
Trey Murphy III NO — Over 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +3pp · 7 books · market 46%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%CLE @ MIL8:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core
1
Myles Turner MIL — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.85u core edge +18pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 70%2
Peyton Watson CLE — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.69u core edge +15pp · 6 books · market 56%
59%
hit · ours
model 71%3
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL — Under 0.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 38%
40%
hit · ours
model 48%4
Evan Mobley CLE — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.52u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 39%
41%
hit · ours
model 48%5
James Harden CLE — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Donovan Mitchell CLE — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Ryan Rollins MIL — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +1.34u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 42%
42%
hit · ours
model 45%MIN @ SA8:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 1 held
1
Ayo Dosunmu MIN — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.14u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 59%2
Keldon Johnson SA — Under 0.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +1.30u core edge +14pp · 5 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 55%3
Victor Wembanyama SA — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 41%
43%
hit · ours
model 51%4
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.36u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 49%5
Bones Hyland MIN — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core bench over edge +9pp · 4 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 52%6
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core bench over edge +7pp · 5 books · market 39%
41%
hit · ours
model 47%7
Dylan Harper SA — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.77u core edge +3pp · 8 books · market 35%
36%
hit · ours
model 38%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Julian Champagnie SA — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.45u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +21pp · 7 books · market 41%
45%
hit · ours
model 62%SAC @ MEM8:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core
1
De'Andre Hunter SAC — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +0.74u core edge +17pp · 7 books · market 55%
59%
hit · ours
model 72%2
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u core edge +17pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 68%3
Ty Jerome MEM — Under 2.5 Threes
VOID · not on the box score core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 64%4
Precious Achiuwa SAC — Over 0.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 4 books · market 31%
33%
hit · ours
model 39%5
Zach LaVine SAC — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +1.00u core edge +6pp · 8 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 54%OKC @ HOU8:40 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 1 held
1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +20pp · 8 books · market 43%
47%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Kenrich Williams OKC — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.94u core bench over edge +17pp · 6 books · market 34%
38%
hit · ours
model 51%3
Ajay Mitchell OKC — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.67u core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 57%
61%
hit · ours
model 73%4
Jared McCain OKC — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.80u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Kevin Durant HOU — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 62%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 6 · +1.62u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +8pp · 7 books · market 38%
40%
hit · ours
model 47%POR @ UTAH3:10 PM ET5 plays · 4 core · 5 held
1
Jaxson Hayes UTAH — Over 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 16 · -1.00u tracking edge +14pp · 6 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Toumani Camara POR — Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 18 · +1.15u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 45%
48%
hit · ours
model 59%3
Keyonte George UTAH — Under 34.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 15 · +0.80u core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 53%
56%
hit · ours
model 66%4
Donovan Clingan POR — Under 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 13 · +0.80u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 60%5
Darryn Peterson UTAH — Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 24 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 5 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 55%5 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Scoot Henderson POR — Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 18 · +0.89u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +32pp · 6 books · market 51%
57%
hit · ours
model 83%7
Damian Lillard POR — Under 32.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 31 · +0.95u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +25pp · 6 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 74%8
Lauri Markkanen UTAH — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 20 · +0.91u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 6 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 73%9
Ace Bailey UTAH — Over 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 17 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 7 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 67%10
Deni Avdija POR — Under 39.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 31 · +0.91u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 6 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 69%PHI @ CHA6:10 PM ET2 plays · 1 core · 5 held
1
Sion James CHA — Over 12.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u tracking bench over edge +14pp · 5 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 66%2
Jaylen Brown PHI — Under 34.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 24 · +0.87u core edge +11pp · 3 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 61%5 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
3
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 35.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 34 · +1.05u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +31pp · 6 books · market 48%
55%
hit · ours
model 80%4
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 39.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 46 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +27pp · 3 books · market 49%
55%
hit · ours
model 76%5
Naz Reid CHA — Under 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 21 · +1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +27pp · 6 books · market 50%
56%
hit · ours
model 77%6
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 21 · +0.95u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 3 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 74%7
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 14 · +1.10u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 66%ATL @ NO7:10 PM ET8 plays · 7 core · 1 held
1
Dyson Daniels ATL — Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 15 · +0.87u core edge +14pp · 5 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Derik Queen NO — Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 20 · +0.95u core edge +13pp · 5 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 63%3
CJ McCollum ATL — Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 18 · +1.05u core edge +12pp · 5 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%4
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 15 · +0.82u core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Zion Williamson NO — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 25 · +0.95u core edge +8pp · 5 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%6
Saddiq Bey NO — Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 32 · +0.89u tracking edge +5pp · 5 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Jeremiah Fears NO — Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 32 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 52%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%8
Kingston Flemings ATL — Under 13.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 20 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 4 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Jalen Johnson ATL — Under 39.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 24 · +1.05u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 6 books · market 47%
52%
hit · ours
model 71%CLE @ MIL8:10 PM ET10 plays · 10 core · 2 held
1
James Harden CLE — Under 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 26 · +0.98u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Jarrett Allen CLE — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 40 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 4 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Kyle Kuzma MIL — Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 20 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Ryan Rollins MIL — Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 19 · +1.05u core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Tyler Herro MIL — Under 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 20 · +0.92u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Evan Mobley CLE — Under 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 35 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 58%7
Donovan Mitchell CLE — Under 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 22 · +1.15u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 55%8
Peyton Watson CLE — Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 13 · +0.92u core edge +7pp · 4 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 57%9
Sam Merrill CLE — Under 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 13 · +0.83u core edge +5pp · 4 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%10
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 20 · +0.94u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
11
Myles Turner MIL — Under 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 19 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 6 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 71%12
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL — Under 13.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 11 · +1.05u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 6 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 62%MIN @ SA8:10 PM ET10 plays · 6 core
1
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 22 · +0.94u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Devin Vassell SA — Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 16 · -1.00u tracking edge +13pp · 6 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Jaden McDaniels MIN — Over 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 25 · +0.92u tracking edge +11pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Stephon Castle SA — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 9 · +1.05u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Bones Hyland MIN — Over 12.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u tracking bench over edge +10pp · 3 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 28 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 55%7
Rudy Gobert MIN — Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
VOID · not on the box score tracking edge +8pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 57%8
Victor Wembanyama SA — Under 38.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 54 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%9
Dylan Harper SA — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 38 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%10
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 9 · +0.78u core edge +6pp · 5 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 59%SAC @ MEM8:10 PM ET4 plays · 3 core · 5 held
1
Zach LaVine SAC — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 12 · +1.00u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 58%2
Cedric Coward MEM — Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 19 · +1.05u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 56%3
Jaylen Wells MEM — Under 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 6 · +0.84u core edge +6pp · 5 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%4
Domantas Sabonis SAC — Over 36.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 33 · -1.00u tracking edge +5pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 56%5 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
5
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 48 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +25pp · 6 books · market 44%
49%
hit · ours
model 69%6
Ty Jerome MEM — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
VOID · not on the box score held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 6 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 72%7
Precious Achiuwa SAC — Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 12 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 5 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 70%8
Cameron Boozer MEM — Under 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 39 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 5 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 71%9
De'Andre Hunter SAC — Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 22 · +0.90u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 5 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 66%OKC @ HOU8:40 PM ET5 plays · 4 core · 1 held
1
Jared McCain OKC — Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 16 · +1.05u core edge +15pp · 6 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 62%2
Ajay Mitchell OKC — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 14 · +0.95u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Kevin Durant HOU — Over 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 21 · -1.00u tracking edge +11pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 62%4
Amen Thompson HOU — Under 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 12 · +0.88u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%5
Alperen Sengun HOU — Under 34.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 34 · +0.80u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 58%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC — Under 39.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 33 · +0.89u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 6 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 74%PHI @ CHA6:10 PM ET1 play
1
Moussa Diabate CHA — Double-double — Yes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u tracking edge +4pp · 4 books · market 32%
34%
hit · ours
model 36%SAC @ MEM8:10 PM ET1 play
1
Precious Achiuwa SAC — Double-double — Yes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u tracking edge +8pp · 5 books · market 26%
30%
hit · ours
model 33%Props — Sun Nov 1
179 plays across 4 games · 1708 priced · graded 85–86 -5.04u
odds 2026-11-01T19:17
BOS @ ORL3:40 PM ET10 plays · 7 core · 1 held
1
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 26.5 Points
LOST · actual 32 · -1.00u core edge +19pp · 7 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 68%2
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 22.5 Points
WON · actual 14 · +0.88u core edge +18pp · 8 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 70%3
Derrick White BOS — Under 13.5 Points
WON · actual 12 · +1.05u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 62%4
Tristan da Silva ORL — Over 9.5 Points
WON · actual 23 · +0.81u tracking bench over edge +13pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 67%5
Paul George BOS — Under 17.5 Points
WON · actual 17 · +1.00u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%6
Jase Richardson ORL — Under 8.5 Points
WON · actual 4 · +0.94u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%7
Sam Hauser BOS — Over 7.5 Points
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u tracking edge +8pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 57%8
Anthony Black ORL — Under 13.5 Points
LOST · actual 23 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%9
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 19.5 Points
WON · actual 19 · +0.89u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%10
Payton Pritchard BOS — Over 14.5 Points
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u tracking edge +3pp · 7 books · market 51%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
11
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Over 11.5 Points
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 7 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 70%BKN @ IND5:10 PM ET10 plays · 5 core · 2 held
1
Julius Randle BKN — Under 20.5 Points
WON · actual 20 · +0.87u core edge +24pp · 7 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 75%2
Nolan Traore BKN — Under 11.5 Points
LOST · actual 16 · -1.00u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Pascal Siakam IND — Under 23.5 Points
WON · actual 17 · +0.91u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 65%4
Aaron Nesmith IND — Over 12.5 Points
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u tracking edge +13pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Obi Toppin IND — Over 12.5 Points
VOID · LOW BACK SORENESS tracking bench over edge +12pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Michael Porter Jr. BKN — Under 21.5 Points
LOST · actual 23 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 8 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%7
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND — Over 11.5 Points
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u tracking edge +10pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 58%8
Noah Clowney BKN — Over 7.5 Points
WON · actual 8 · +0.95u tracking edge +7pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 56%9
Keon Ellis BKN — Over 5.5 Points
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u tracking bench over edge +5pp · 6 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 60%10
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Under 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 15 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 61%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
11
Jarace Walker IND — Over 10.5 Points
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 7 books · market 46%
50%
hit · ours
model 69%12
Jay Huff IND — Over 7.5 Points
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 7 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 72%LAC @ GS8:40 PM ET9 plays · 6 core · 4 held
1
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Under 19.5 Points
LOST · actual 37 · -1.00u core edge +23pp · 7 books · market 45%
50%
hit · ours
model 69%2
Brandon Williams GS — Under 13.5 Points
LOST · actual 17 · -1.00u core edge +23pp · 7 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 69%3
Darius Garland LAC — Under 23.5 Points
WON · actual 15 · +0.85u core edge +20pp · 7 books · market 52%
56%
hit · ours
model 72%4
Rui Hachimura LAC — Under 15.5 Points
LOST · actual 24 · -1.00u core edge +20pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 70%5
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 8.5 Points
WON · actual 12 · +1.00u tracking edge +7pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%6
Keaton Wagler LAC — Under 12.5 Points
WON · actual 7 · +1.05u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 53%7
Brook Lopez LAC — Over 9.5 Points
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u tracking bench over edge +5pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%8
Isaiah Jackson LAC — Under 9.5 Points
WON · actual 5 · +0.77u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 59%9
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC — Over 10.5 Points
LOST · actual 9 · -1.00u tracking edge +4pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 57%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
Georges Niang GS — Over 8.5 Points
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +31pp · 7 books · market 48%
54%
hit · ours
model 79%11
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 16.5 Points
WON · actual 17 · +0.92u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +28pp · 8 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 78%12
Gui Santos GS — Over 10.5 Points
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 7 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 70%13
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 12.5 Points
WON · actual 21 · +0.95u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 68%TOR @ LAL9:10 PM ET9 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 22.5 Points
LOST · actual 29 · -1.00u core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 65%2
RJ Barrett TOR — Under 20.5 Points
LOST · actual 22 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%3
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 22.5 Points
WON · actual 19 · +0.98u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 58%4
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Under 17.5 Points
WON · actual 12 · +0.83u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 60%5
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR — Over 11.5 Points
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u tracking edge +8pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 57%6
Walker Kessler LAL — Under 12.5 Points
LOST · actual 16 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 8 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Jakob Poeltl TOR — Over 6.5 Points
VOID · LEFT SHOULDER tracking bench over edge +5pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%8
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL — Under 8.5 Points
LOST · actual 11 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 58%9
Luka Doncic LAL — Over 32.5 Points
WON · actual 45 · +0.88u tracking edge +3pp · 7 books · market 52%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
Ziaire Williams LAL — Over 9.5 Points
VOID · not on the box score held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 61%BOS @ ORL3:40 PM ET7 plays · 7 core
1
Tristan da Silva ORL — Under 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Under 7.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 10 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 55%3
Neemias Queta BOS — Under 7.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Payton Pritchard BOS — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 41%
42%
hit · ours
model 48%5
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +0.71u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 56%
57%
hit · ours
model 62%6
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 8.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +0.75u core edge +5pp · 8 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 60%7
Anthony Black ORL — Under 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 50%BKN @ IND5:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Noah Clowney BKN — Over 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Andrew Nembhard IND — Under 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.71u core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 56%
59%
hit · ours
model 68%3
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Under 7.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 13 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 55%4
Nolan Traore BKN — Under 2.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 2 · +0.70u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 56%
57%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Aaron Nesmith IND — Under 2.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 40%
41%
hit · ours
model 44%6
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND — Over 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 42%
43%
hit · ours
model 45%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Jarace Walker IND — Over 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 6 · +1.15u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 6 books · market 44%
49%
hit · ours
model 67%LAC @ GS8:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 3 held
1
Rui Hachimura LAC — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 57%2
Isaiah Jackson LAC — Under 6.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 42%
45%
hit · ours
model 55%3
Brook Lopez LAC — Over 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core bench over edge +12pp · 6 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 55%4
Darius Garland LAC — Under 2.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 0 · +1.00u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 8 · +1.00u core edge +9pp · 8 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 57%6
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC — Under 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 62%7
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Under 7.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 4 · +0.95u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 56%8
Gui Santos GS — Over 4.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core bench over edge +4pp · 7 books · market 53%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 6 · +0.91u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 7 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 73%10
Georges Niang GS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 4 books · market 39%
43%
hit · ours
model 58%11
Brandon Williams GS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 6 books · market 40%
43%
hit · ours
model 55%TOR @ LAL9:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core
1
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 7.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 6 · +0.74u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 55%
58%
hit · ours
model 70%2
Luka Doncic LAL — Under 7.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 15 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Ziaire Williams LAL — Over 2.5 Rebounds
VOID · not on the box score core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 54%4
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 5.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 3 · +0.89u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%5
RJ Barrett TOR — Over 4.5 Rebounds
WON · actual 10 · +0.63u core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 59%
60%
hit · ours
model 63%6
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR — Under 3.5 Rebounds
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%BOS @ ORL3:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core
1
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +1.04u core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 48%
54%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Derrick White BOS — Under 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 2 · +1.25u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 53%3
Anthony Black ORL — Under 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +1.14u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%4
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 12 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 41%
44%
hit · ours
model 50%5
Paul George BOS — Over 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 8 · +1.17u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 53%6
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 0 · +1.34u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 41%
43%
hit · ours
model 48%7
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 6.5 Assists
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 8 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%8
Jase Richardson ORL — Under 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 61%
62%
hit · ours
model 65%BKN @ IND5:10 PM ET10 plays · 10 core
1
Julius Randle BKN — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +24pp · 8 books · market 55%
63%
hit · ours
model 79%2
Nolan Traore BKN — Under 4.5 Assists
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 51%
56%
hit · ours
model 66%3
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Under 2.5 Assists
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 56%
61%
hit · ours
model 70%4
Jarace Walker IND — Over 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +1.28u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 53%5
Andrew Nembhard IND — Under 9.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +0.79u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 55%
58%
hit · ours
model 63%6
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +1.10u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 53%7
Michael Porter Jr. BKN — Under 1.5 Assists
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 47%8
Jay Huff IND — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 0 · +0.80u core edge +6pp · 3 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 59%9
Aaron Nesmith IND — Over 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +1.07u core edge +5pp · 4 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 52%10
Pascal Siakam IND — Under 4.5 Assists
LOST · actual 5 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 58%
60%
hit · ours
model 63%LAC @ GS8:40 PM ET7 plays · 7 core
1
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Under 4.5 Assists
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +21pp · 7 books · market 58%
65%
hit · ours
model 78%2
Darius Garland LAC — Under 7.5 Assists
WON · actual 7 · +0.77u core edge +9pp · 8 books · market 55%
58%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Keaton Wagler LAC — Over 3.5 Assists
WON · actual 4 · +1.46u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 40%
43%
hit · ours
model 46%4
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 4.5 Assists
WON · actual 8 · +1.10u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 52%5
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 47%6
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 3 · +0.79u core bench over edge +5pp · 6 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 58%7
Gui Santos GS — Under 2.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +0.91u core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%TOR @ LAL9:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core
1
Jakob Poeltl TOR — Under 1.5 Assists
VOID · LEFT SHOULDER core edge +10pp · 4 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%2
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +0.78u core edge +8pp · 4 books · market 55%
58%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 1.5 Assists
WON · actual 1 · +1.05u core edge +5pp · 5 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%4
Luka Doncic LAL — Over 7.5 Assists
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 47%5
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Under 5.5 Assists
LOST · actual 7 · -1.00u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 49%BOS @ ORL3:40 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.74u core edge +20pp · 7 books · market 56%
60%
hit · ours
model 75%2
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +1.00u core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Sam Hauser BOS — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 60%
62%
hit · ours
model 70%4
Derrick White BOS — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 39%
40%
hit · ours
model 46%5
Paul George BOS — Under 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 54%6
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Over 0.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.62u core edge +5pp · 5 books · market 59%
60%
hit · ours
model 64%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Tristan da Silva ORL — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 5 · +1.40u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +8pp · 7 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 48%BKN @ IND5:10 PM ET9 plays · 9 core · 1 held
1
Jarace Walker IND — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.12u core edge +18pp · 6 books · market 46%
50%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Julius Randle BKN — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +16pp · 8 books · market 54%
57%
hit · ours
model 70%3
Jay Huff IND — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core bench over edge +16pp · 5 books · market 37%
40%
hit · ours
model 53%4
Aaron Nesmith IND — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 56%
59%
hit · ours
model 71%5
Pascal Siakam IND — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.74u core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 55%
58%
hit · ours
model 69%6
Obi Toppin IND — Over 1.5 Threes
VOID · LOW BACK SORENESS core bench over edge +13pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 62%7
Nolan Traore BKN — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 64%
66%
hit · ours
model 75%8
Michael Porter Jr. BKN — Under 3.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +0.70u core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 67%9
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND — Over 0.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +0.47u core edge +7pp · 4 books · market 64%
66%
hit · ours
model 72%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
Andrew Nembhard IND — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 4 · +1.48u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +4pp · 7 books · market 39%
40%
hit · ours
model 43%LAC @ GS8:40 PM ET10 plays · 10 core · 1 held
1
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 6 · +0.88u core bench over edge +26pp · 7 books · market 52%
57%
hit · ours
model 78%2
Georges Niang GS — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core bench over edge +24pp · 7 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 72%3
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 1 · -1.00u core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 41%
44%
hit · ours
model 56%4
Gui Santos GS — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core bench over edge +12pp · 6 books · market 32%
34%
hit · ours
model 44%5
Darius Garland LAC — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +1.11u core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 53%6
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 6 · -1.00u core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 48%7
Brook Lopez LAC — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 1 · +0.64u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 58%
59%
hit · ours
model 63%8
Keaton Wagler LAC — Under 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +1.14u core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%9
Rui Hachimura LAC — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 4 · +0.57u core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 60%
61%
hit · ours
model 64%10
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 0 · -1.00u core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 34%
34%
hit · ours
model 37%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
11
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 2.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +15pp · 7 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 58%TOR @ LAL9:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 3 held
1
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 0.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +1.66u core edge +16pp · 5 books · market 36%
40%
hit · ours
model 52%2
Ziaire Williams LAL — Over 1.5 Threes
VOID · not on the box score core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 36%
39%
hit · ours
model 50%3
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 0.5 Threes
WON · actual 0 · +0.78u core edge +10pp · 5 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 64%4
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL — Under 0.5 Threes
LOST · actual 2 · -1.00u core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 34%
36%
hit · ours
model 43%5
Matisse Thybulle LAL — Over 1.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +1.43u core bench over edge +9pp · 6 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 49%6
RJ Barrett TOR — Under 1.5 Threes
LOST · actual 4 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%7
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 2 · +0.55u core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 62%
63%
hit · ours
model 67%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +1.24u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +14pp · 8 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 58%9
Luka Doncic LAL — Over 4.5 Threes
WON · actual 8 · +1.16u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +6pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 50%10
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Over 2.5 Threes
WON · actual 3 · +0.97u held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +4pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%BOS @ ORL3:40 PM ET6 plays · 5 core · 2 held
1
Derrick White BOS — Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 16 · +1.00u core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 17 · -1.00u tracking edge +13pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 22 · +0.96u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%4
Anthony Black ORL — Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 34 · -1.00u core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%5
Paul George BOS — Under 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 31 · -1.00u core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 53%6
Jase Richardson ORL — Under 13.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 8 · +0.98u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 41.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 43 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 6 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 67%8
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 35.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 32 · +0.87u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 6 books · market 53%
56%
hit · ours
model 70%BKN @ IND5:10 PM ET7 plays · 4 core · 4 held
1
Pascal Siakam IND — Under 35.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 27 · +0.87u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Aaron Nesmith IND — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 18 · +1.05u tracking edge +12pp · 5 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 59%3
Michael Porter Jr. BKN — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 35 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 62%4
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 14 · -1.00u tracking edge +11pp · 6 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 57%5
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 32 · -1.00u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Obi Toppin IND — Over 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
VOID · LOW BACK SORENESS tracking bench over edge +11pp · 5 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Andrew Nembhard IND — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 30 · +0.88u core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 51%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Jarace Walker IND — Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 15 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +29pp · 6 books · market 46%
52%
hit · ours
model 74%9
Julius Randle BKN — Under 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 31 · +0.93u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 6 books · market 50%
56%
hit · ours
model 77%10
Nolan Traore BKN — Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 24 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 6 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 65%11
Jay Huff IND — Over 13.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 3 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 4 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 67%LAC @ GS8:40 PM ET3 plays · 2 core · 5 held
1
Brandon Williams GS — Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 23 · -1.00u core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 62%2
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 18 · +0.97u tracking edge +13pp · 6 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Keaton Wagler LAC — Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 15 · +0.91u core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 50%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%5 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
4
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 33 · +0.89u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +28pp · 6 books · market 50%
56%
hit · ours
model 78%5
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 47 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 7 books · market 46%
51%
hit · ours
model 72%6
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 30 · +0.98u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 6 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 72%7
Darius Garland LAC — Under 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 22 · +0.91u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 6 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 72%8
Gui Santos GS — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 8 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 6 books · market 52%
56%
hit · ours
model 71%TOR @ LAL9:10 PM ET6 plays · 5 core · 1 held
1
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 26 · +1.10u core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 56%2
RJ Barrett TOR — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 37 · -1.00u core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%3
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 8 · +0.88u core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 25 · +0.94u core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%5
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL — Under 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
WON · actual 13 · +0.95u core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 50%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%6
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 17 · -1.00u tracking edge +3pp · 5 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 52%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 36.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
LOST · actual 40 · -1.00u held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 69%Props — Mon Nov 2
649 plays across 15 games · 6100 priced
odds 2026-11-02T22:32
OKC @ CLE7:10 PM ET10 plays · 9 core · 2 held
1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC — Under 29.5 Points
core edge +26pp · 7 books · market 46%
52%
hit · ours
model 72%2
Peyton Watson CLE — Under 12.5 Points
core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Ajay Mitchell OKC — Under 18.5 Points
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 66%4
Jared McCain OKC — Under 14.5 Points
core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 65%5
James Harden CLE — Under 18.5 Points
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 64%6
Sam Merrill CLE — Under 9.5 Points
core edge +9pp · 8 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%7
Donovan Mitchell CLE — Under 23.5 Points
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 62%8
Isaiah Hartenstein OKC — Under 9.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 47%
47%
hit · ours
model 51%9
Jarrett Allen CLE — Over 12.5 Points
tracking edge +4pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%10
Evan Mobley CLE — Under 16.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 50%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
11
Kenrich Williams OKC — Over 8.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +28pp · 7 books · market 47%
52%
hit · ours
model 74%12
Aday Mara OKC — Over 8.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 7 books · market 45%
50%
hit · ours
model 68%ATL @ IND7:40 PM ET10 plays · 10 core · 2 held
1
Jalen Johnson ATL — Under 21.5 Points
core edge +27pp · 7 books · market 52%
57%
hit · ours
model 78%2
Aaron Wiggins ATL — Under 12.5 Points
core edge +26pp · 7 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 73%3
Dyson Daniels ATL — Under 11.5 Points
core edge +21pp · 8 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 71%4
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL — Under 19.5 Points
core edge +21pp · 7 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 67%5
CJ McCollum ATL — Under 15.5 Points
core edge +20pp · 7 books · market 45%
49%
hit · ours
model 65%6
Onyeka Okongwu ATL — Under 13.5 Points
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 62%7
Obi Toppin IND — Under 17.5 Points
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 58%8
Jay Huff IND — Under 12.5 Points
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 54%9
Luguentz Dort ATL — Under 7.5 Points
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%10
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND — Under 16.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
11
Quenton Jackson IND — Over 16.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 5 books · market 52%
56%
hit · ours
model 71%12
Jarace Walker IND — Over 16.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 46%
50%
hit · ours
model 65%BKN @ NY7:40 PM ET11 plays · 8 core
1
Karl-Anthony Towns NY — Under 20.5 Points
core edge +19pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 69%2
Mikal Bridges NY — Under 10.5 Points
core edge +17pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 66%3
Josh Hart NY — Under 10.5 Points
core edge +17pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 65%4
Landry Shamet NY — Under 7.5 Points
core edge +14pp · 5 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Over 7.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +10pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Mikel Brown Jr. BKN — Under 11.5 Points
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 62%7
Julius Randle BKN — Under 18.5 Points
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%8
Noah Clowney BKN — Over 7.5 Points
tracking edge +8pp · 7 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 51%9
Miles McBride NY — Under 5.5 Points
core edge +7pp · 8 books · market 40%
41%
hit · ours
model 47%10
Nolan Traore BKN — Over 9.5 Points
tracking edge +7pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%11
OG Anunoby NY — Under 16.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%CHI @ PHI7:40 PM ET10 plays · 6 core
1
Caleb Wilson CHI — Under 19.5 Points
core edge +18pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 69%2
Anfernee Simons PHI — Over 10.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +14pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Norman Powell CHI — Under 19.5 Points
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Jalen Smith CHI — Under 11.5 Points
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%5
Matas Buzelis CHI — Under 14.5 Points
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 57%6
Tre Jones CHI — Over 8.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +8pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%7
Josh Giddey CHI — Under 12.5 Points
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 60%8
Joel Embiid PHI — Under 22.5 Points
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 60%9
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Over 12.5 Points
tracking edge +4pp · 7 books · market 50%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%10
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Over 25.5 Points
tracking edge +3pp · 8 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 55%DET @ CHA7:40 PM ET11 plays · 7 core
1
Cade Cunningham DET — Under 24.5 Points
core edge +29pp · 7 books · market 50%
56%
hit · ours
model 80%2
Ausar Thompson DET — Under 9.5 Points
core edge +21pp · 8 books · market 46%
50%
hit · ours
model 67%3
Naz Reid CHA — Under 15.5 Points
core edge +18pp · 7 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 66%4
John Collins DET — Under 11.5 Points
core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Grayson Allen CHA — Over 11.5 Points
tracking edge +14pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 67%6
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 22.5 Points
core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 62%7
Moussa Diabate CHA — Over 8.5 Points
tracking edge +13pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 58%8
Duncan Robinson DET — Under 13.5 Points
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 57%9
Daniss Jenkins DET — Over 9.5 Points
tracking edge +6pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 59%10
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 10.5 Points
core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%11
Paul Reed DET — Over 13.5 Points
tracking edge +5pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 58%WSH @ ORL7:40 PM ET9 plays · 3 core · 3 held
1
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 23.5 Points
core edge +28pp · 7 books · market 48%
54%
hit · ours
model 77%2
Jevon Carter ORL — Over 6.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +13pp · 6 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%3
Tre Johnson WSH — Over 8.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +11pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Anthony Davis WSH — Under 22.5 Points
core edge +10pp · 8 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 60%5
Jase Richardson ORL — Under 9.5 Points
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 56%6
Deandre Ayton WSH — Over 7.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +7pp · 4 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 60%7
Desmond Bane ORL — Over 20.5 Points
tracking edge +5pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%8
Trae Young WSH — Over 19.5 Points
tracking edge +3pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%9
Kyshawn George WSH — Over 13.5 Points
tracking edge +3pp · 7 books · market 52%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
Bilal Coulibaly WSH — Over 7.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +31pp · 7 books · market 51%
57%
hit · ours
model 82%11
Tristan da Silva ORL — Over 14.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 69%12
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Over 12.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 62%MIL @ MIN8:10 PM ET12 plays · 10 core
1
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 20.5 Points
core edge +29pp · 6 books · market 50%
56%
hit · ours
model 79%2
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 12.5 Points
core edge +21pp · 5 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 68%3
Myles Turner MIL — Under 9.5 Points
core edge +19pp · 7 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 68%4
Joan Beringer MIN — Over 8.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +13pp · 5 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%5
Rudy Gobert MIN — Under 10.5 Points
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 64%6
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL — Under 7.5 Points
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 65%7
Tyler Herro MIL — Under 20.5 Points
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 60%8
Ryan Rollins MIL — Under 13.5 Points
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%9
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 15.5 Points
core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 55%10
Kel'el Ware MIL — Over 9.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +4pp · 5 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%11
Kyle Kuzma MIL — Under 11.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%12
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL — Under 13.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 52%NO @ MEM8:10 PM ET11 plays · 9 core
1
Jeremiah Fears NO — Under 15.5 Points
core edge +15pp · 3 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Ty Jerome MEM — Under 21.5 Points
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Cameron Boozer MEM — Under 16.5 Points
core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Derik Queen NO — Under 10.5 Points
core edge +10pp · 3 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Cedric Coward MEM — Under 13.5 Points
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Zach Edey MEM — Under 9.5 Points
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 62%7
Jerami Grant MEM — Under 10.5 Points
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%8
Saddiq Bey NO — Over 13.5 Points
tracking edge +7pp · 4 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%9
Jaylen Wells MEM — Under 11.5 Points
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 60%10
GG Jackson MEM — Over 9.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +4pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%11
Trey Murphy III NO — Under 16.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 3 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%SAC @ DAL8:10 PM ET6 plays · 3 core · 1 held
1
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC — Under 23.5 Points
core edge +28pp · 7 books · market 47%
53%
hit · ours
model 75%2
Cooper Flagg DAL — Under 27.5 Points
core edge +22pp · 7 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 73%3
Zach LaVine SAC — Under 21.5 Points
core edge +21pp · 6 books · market 52%
56%
hit · ours
model 73%4
Domantas Sabonis SAC — Over 15.5 Points
tracking edge +14pp · 8 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Daniel Gafford DAL — Over 10.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +13pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 59%6
De'Andre Hunter SAC — Over 13.5 Points
tracking edge +3pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 58%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Precious Achiuwa SAC — Over 11.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 68%BOS @ HOU8:40 PM ET9 plays · 5 core · 2 held
1
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 26.5 Points
core edge +20pp · 7 books · market 45%
49%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Mitchell Robinson BOS — Over 6.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +15pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 60%3
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU — Over 14.5 Points
tracking edge +15pp · 8 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 66%4
Amen Thompson HOU — Under 15.5 Points
core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 64%5
Tari Eason HOU — Under 9.5 Points
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%6
Payton Pritchard BOS — Under 16.5 Points
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 62%7
Fred VanVleet HOU — Over 11.5 Points
tracking edge +6pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 58%8
Kevin Durant HOU — Under 21.5 Points
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 53%9
Alperen Sengun HOU — Over 17.5 Points
tracking edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
Marcus Smart HOU — Over 7.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 7 books · market 46%
51%
hit · ours
model 70%11
Neemias Queta BOS — Over 8.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 64%UTAH @ SA8:40 PM ET10 plays · 7 core · 3 held
1
Stephon Castle SA — Under 16.5 Points
core edge +23pp · 7 books · market 52%
56%
hit · ours
model 75%2
Keyonte George UTAH — Under 20.5 Points
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Lauri Markkanen UTAH — Under 19.5 Points
core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 64%4
Julian Champagnie SA — Over 9.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +13pp · 8 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%5
Keldon Johnson SA — Under 9.5 Points
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%6
Victor Wembanyama SA — Under 25.5 Points
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Dylan Harper SA — Under 16.5 Points
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%8
Devin Vassell SA — Over 11.5 Points
tracking edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%9
Darryn Peterson UTAH — Over 12.5 Points
tracking edge +4pp · 6 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%10
De'Aaron Fox SA — Under 15.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
11
Brice Sensabaugh UTAH — Over 9.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +25pp · 4 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 73%12
Ace Bailey UTAH — Over 13.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 65%13
Isaiah Collier UTAH — Over 7.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 65%POR @ DEN9:10 PM ET11 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Nikola Jokic DEN — Under 24.5 Points
core edge +22pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 71%2
Damian Lillard POR — Under 20.5 Points
core edge +20pp · 7 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 68%3
Scoot Henderson POR — Under 13.5 Points
core edge +18pp · 7 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 67%4
Donovan Clingan POR — Under 10.5 Points
core edge +16pp · 8 books · market 45%
49%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Christian Braun DEN — Over 12.5 Points
tracking edge +14pp · 7 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 62%6
Jamal Murray DEN — Over 23.5 Points
tracking edge +10pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 58%7
DeMar DeRozan DEN — Over 11.5 Points
tracking edge +10pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%8
Robert Williams III POR — Over 6.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +9pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 54%9
Deni Avdija POR — Under 22.5 Points
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%10
Jrue Holiday POR — Over 12.5 Points
tracking edge +4pp · 7 books · market 49%
49%
hit · ours
model 53%11
Aaron Gordon DEN — Under 14.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 58%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
12
Trevon Brazile DEN — Over 6.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +28pp · 7 books · market 51%
56%
hit · ours
model 79%MIA @ LAL10:10 PM ET10 plays · 6 core
1
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA — Under 29.5 Points
core edge +18pp · 7 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 66%2
Klay Thompson MIA — Over 8.5 Points
tracking edge +15pp · 6 books · market 53%
56%
hit · ours
model 68%3
Bobby Portis MIA — Under 10.5 Points
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Davion Mitchell MIA — Over 11.5 Points
tracking edge +9pp · 6 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Luka Doncic LAL — Over 32.5 Points
tracking edge +9pp · 8 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 63%6
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 23.5 Points
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%7
Jake LaRavia LAL — Under 6.5 Points
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%8
Pelle Larsson MIA — Under 11.5 Points
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 58%9
Walker Kessler LAL — Over 11.5 Points
tracking edge +5pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 58%10
Matisse Thybulle LAL — Under 7.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 52%PHX @ GS10:10 PM ET8 plays · 4 core · 5 held
1
Khaman Maluach PHX — Under 7.5 Points
core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Georges Niang GS — Over 8.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +15pp · 6 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Jordan Goodwin PHX — Over 6.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +11pp · 7 books · market 53%
56%
hit · ours
model 64%4
Devin Booker PHX — Under 23.5 Points
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 55%5
Stephen Curry GS — Under 26.5 Points
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%6
Miles Bridges PHX — Over 16.5 Points
tracking edge +5pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%7
Jalen Green PHX — Under 15.5 Points
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%8
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Over 18.5 Points
tracking edge +4pp · 8 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%5 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 11.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +34pp · 6 books · market 50%
56%
hit · ours
model 84%10
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 14.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 53%
57%
hit · ours
model 72%11
Brandon Williams GS — Over 10.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 5 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 66%12
Draymond Green GS — Over 5.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 65%13
Dillon Brooks PHX — Over 15.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 63%TOR @ LAC10:10 PM ET8 plays · 7 core · 2 held
1
Darius Garland LAC — Under 22.5 Points
core edge +26pp · 6 books · market 48%
54%
hit · ours
model 74%2
Keaton Wagler LAC — Under 15.5 Points
core edge +18pp · 5 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 70%3
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 10.5 Points
core edge +16pp · 5 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 64%4
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 22.5 Points
core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Isaiah Jackson LAC — Over 8.5 Points
tracking bench over edge +13pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 65%6
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Under 17.5 Points
core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 62%7
RJ Barrett TOR — Under 20.5 Points
core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 58%8
Jakob Poeltl TOR — Under 7.5 Points
core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 50%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 7.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 6 books · market 52%
56%
hit · ours
model 71%10
Brook Lopez LAC — Over 9.5 Points
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 5 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 67%OKC @ CLE7:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 2 held
1
Evan Mobley CLE — Under 8.5 Rebounds
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Peyton Watson CLE — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 60%3
Sam Merrill CLE — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Donovan Mitchell CLE — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%5
Jarrett Allen CLE — Under 7.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 41%
42%
hit · ours
model 45%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Aday Mara OKC — Over 6.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +27pp · 8 books · market 42%
48%
hit · ours
model 69%7
Kenrich Williams OKC — Over 4.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 7 books · market 50%
55%
hit · ours
model 76%ATL @ IND7:40 PM ET4 plays · 4 core · 5 held
1
CJ McCollum ATL — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Jay Huff IND — Under 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +11pp · 5 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Obi Toppin IND — Under 6.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%4
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND — Over 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 52%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%5 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
5
Jarace Walker IND — Over 6.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 6 books · market 54%
59%
hit · ours
model 77%6
Jalen Johnson ATL — Under 9.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 54%
58%
hit · ours
model 71%7
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL — Under 3.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 54%
57%
hit · ours
model 70%8
Onyeka Okongwu ATL — Under 7.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 59%9
Dyson Daniels ATL — Under 5.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 7 books · market 45%
48%
hit · ours
model 60%BKN @ NY7:40 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Over 7.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +10pp · 6 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 54%2
Michael Porter Jr. BKN — Over 6.5 Rebounds
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 56%3
Mikel Brown Jr. BKN — Over 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 52%4
Mikal Bridges NY — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 47%5
Jalen Brunson NY — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 39%
41%
hit · ours
model 45%6
Julius Randle BKN — Over 6.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 51%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Noah Clowney BKN — Over 3.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 6 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 60%CHI @ PHI7:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core
1
Tre Jones CHI — Over 2.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +12pp · 7 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 52%2
Norman Powell CHI — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 41%
44%
hit · ours
model 53%3
Anfernee Simons PHI — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +10pp · 4 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Matas Buzelis CHI — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 51%5
Jalen Smith CHI — Under 7.5 Rebounds
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 51%6
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Over 6.5 Rebounds
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 52%7
Josh Giddey CHI — Under 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 42%
43%
hit · ours
model 49%8
Jaylen Brown PHI — Under 6.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 59%DET @ CHA7:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core
1
Paul Reed DET — Under 7.5 Rebounds
core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%2
Cade Cunningham DET — Under 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +13pp · 8 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 66%3
Grayson Allen CHA — Over 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Duncan Robinson DET — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 63%5
Daniss Jenkins DET — Over 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +8pp · 5 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%6
Brandon Miller CHA — Over 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 50%7
Moussa Diabate CHA — Under 9.5 Rebounds
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%8
John Collins DET — Over 6.5 Rebounds
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 47%WSH @ ORL7:40 PM ET9 plays · 9 core
1
Trae Young WSH — Over 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +15pp · 6 books · market 56%
59%
hit · ours
model 71%2
Kyshawn George WSH — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 57%3
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 62%4
Jase Richardson ORL — Under 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 57%
59%
hit · ours
model 66%5
Anthony Davis WSH — Under 11.5 Rebounds
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 65%6
Deandre Ayton WSH — Over 6.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +7pp · 3 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Bilal Coulibaly WSH — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +5pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 59%8
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Under 8.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%9
Tristan da Silva ORL — Over 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 51%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%MIL @ MIN8:10 PM ET11 plays · 11 core · 1 held
1
Kel'el Ware MIL — Over 7.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +11pp · 4 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 58%2
Ayo Dosunmu MIN — Over 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%3
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 56%4
Tyler Herro MIL — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 58%5
Kyle Kuzma MIL — Under 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Jaden McDaniels MIN — Under 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%7
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL — Over 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 8 books · market 56%
57%
hit · ours
model 61%8
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 58%
58%
hit · ours
model 62%9
Myles Turner MIL — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 50%10
Joan Beringer MIN — Over 5.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +4pp · 5 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 57%11
Ryan Rollins MIL — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
12
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 5.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 6 books · market 46%
50%
hit · ours
model 67%NO @ MEM8:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 1 held
1
Jaylen Wells MEM — Under 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 67%2
Ty Jerome MEM — Under 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 58%
60%
hit · ours
model 69%3
Zion Williamson NO — Under 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +6pp · 3 books · market 56%
57%
hit · ours
model 62%4
Jerami Grant MEM — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 5 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Jeremiah Fears NO — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +3pp · 3 books · market 57%
58%
hit · ours
model 61%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Cameron Boozer MEM — Under 8.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 6 books · market 46%
50%
hit · ours
model 64%SAC @ DAL8:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core
1
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 60%2
Daniel Gafford DAL — Over 7.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +12pp · 8 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 58%3
Zach LaVine SAC — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +11pp · 5 books · market 45%
48%
hit · ours
model 57%4
P.J. Washington DAL — Over 7.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 51%5
Max Christie DAL — Over 2.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +4pp · 7 books · market 59%
60%
hit · ours
model 64%6
Cooper Flagg DAL — Under 6.5 Rebounds
core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 51%BOS @ HOU8:40 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 3 held
1
Payton Pritchard BOS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 37%
39%
hit · ours
model 45%2
Fred VanVleet HOU — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 50%3
Jayson Tatum BOS — Over 7.5 Rebounds
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 51%4
Derrick White BOS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 48%5
Kevin Durant HOU — Under 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 59%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Neemias Queta BOS — Over 5.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 6 books · market 47%
52%
hit · ours
model 73%7
Marcus Smart HOU — Over 2.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 5 books · market 39%
42%
hit · ours
model 57%8
Amen Thompson HOU — Under 6.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 68%UTAH @ SA8:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 2 held
1
Ace Bailey UTAH — Over 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 56%2
Keyonte George UTAH — Under 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%3
Stephon Castle SA — Under 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 56%
57%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Lauri Markkanen UTAH — Under 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 51%5
Keldon Johnson SA — Over 4.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +6pp · 7 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 53%6
Jaxson Hayes UTAH — Under 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%7
Devin Vassell SA — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 59%
60%
hit · ours
model 63%8
Darryn Peterson UTAH — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 58%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Isaiah Collier UTAH — Over 2.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 5 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 66%10
Victor Wembanyama SA — Under 11.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 66%POR @ DEN9:10 PM ET10 plays · 10 core · 1 held
1
Nikola Jokic DEN — Under 11.5 Rebounds
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Trevon Brazile DEN — Over 4.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +13pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Christian Braun DEN — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Donovan Clingan POR — Under 10.5 Rebounds
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 63%5
Toumani Camara POR — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 58%
60%
hit · ours
model 67%6
Scoot Henderson POR — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 54%7
Aaron Gordon DEN — Over 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 54%8
Cameron Johnson DEN — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 58%9
Jamal Murray DEN — Over 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 52%10
Damian Lillard POR — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 54%
54%
hit · ours
model 57%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
11
Deni Avdija POR — Under 6.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 42%
45%
hit · ours
model 57%MIA @ LAL10:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core
1
Walker Kessler LAL — Over 10.5 Rebounds
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 58%2
Andrew Wiggins MIA — Under 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 54%3
Matisse Thybulle LAL — Under 2.5 Rebounds
core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Luka Doncic LAL — Over 7.5 Rebounds
core edge +9pp · 8 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 54%5
Bobby Portis MIA — Under 6.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 61%6
Pelle Larsson MIA — Under 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 58%PHX @ GS10:10 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 2 held
1
Stephen Curry GS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 55%2
Devin Booker PHX — Under 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 52%3
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 51%4
Georges Niang GS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +8pp · 5 books · market 43%
44%
hit · ours
model 50%5
Draymond Green GS — Over 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 44%
45%
hit · ours
model 51%6
Jalen Green PHX — Under 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%7
Miles Bridges PHX — Over 6.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 8 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 51%8
Dillon Brooks PHX — Under 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 51%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 3.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +29pp · 5 books · market 46%
52%
hit · ours
model 75%10
Khaman Maluach PHX — Under 6.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 7 books · market 45%
48%
hit · ours
model 60%TOR @ LAC10:10 PM ET4 plays · 4 core · 4 held
1
Isaiah Jackson LAC — Over 7.5 Rebounds
core bench over edge +12pp · 6 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 56%2
Kris Dunn LAC — Under 4.5 Rebounds
core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 61%3
RJ Barrett TOR — Over 5.5 Rebounds
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%4
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR — Under 3.5 Rebounds
core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 51%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
5
Darius Garland LAC — Under 3.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +25pp · 4 books · market 58%
63%
hit · ours
model 83%6
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 6.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 5 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 73%7
Brook Lopez LAC — Over 4.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 4 books · market 44%
48%
hit · ours
model 67%8
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 7.5 Rebounds
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 5 books · market 54%
57%
hit · ours
model 70%OKC @ CLE7:10 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 2 held
1
Donovan Mitchell CLE — Under 4.5 Assists
core edge +19pp · 7 books · market 47%
53%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Isaiah Hartenstein OKC — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +18pp · 7 books · market 58%
65%
hit · ours
model 76%3
James Harden CLE — Under 6.5 Assists
core edge +14pp · 8 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 64%4
Jared McCain OKC — Over 1.5 Assists
core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 58%
61%
hit · ours
model 68%5
Evan Mobley CLE — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%6
Jarrett Allen CLE — Under 1.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%7
Kenrich Williams OKC — Over 1.5 Assists
core bench over edge +4pp · 5 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 52%8
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC — Under 5.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 56%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Aday Mara OKC — Over 1.5 Assists
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 4 books · market 45%
51%
hit · ours
model 62%10
Peyton Watson CLE — Over 1.5 Assists
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 5 books · market 58%
64%
hit · ours
model 74%ATL @ IND7:40 PM ET7 plays · 7 core
1
CJ McCollum ATL — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +19pp · 7 books · market 47%
54%
hit · ours
model 66%2
Onyeka Okongwu ATL — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +16pp · 6 books · market 42%
48%
hit · ours
model 58%3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 41%
46%
hit · ours
model 57%4
Dyson Daniels ATL — Under 4.5 Assists
core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 43%
48%
hit · ours
model 58%5
Jalen Johnson ATL — Under 7.5 Assists
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 53%
58%
hit · ours
model 67%6
Quenton Jackson IND — Under 5.5 Assists
core edge +12pp · 5 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 60%7
Jarace Walker IND — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 48%BKN @ NY7:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core
1
Mikal Bridges NY — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +18pp · 5 books · market 42%
48%
hit · ours
model 59%2
Jalen Brunson NY — Under 6.5 Assists
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 53%
58%
hit · ours
model 67%3
Julius Randle BKN — Under 4.5 Assists
core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Karl-Anthony Towns NY — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +9pp · 8 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Josh Hart NY — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 51%6
OG Anunoby NY — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 5 books · market 60%
62%
hit · ours
model 67%7
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 63%8
Mikel Brown Jr. BKN — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 55%CHI @ PHI7:40 PM ET10 plays · 10 core
1
Matas Buzelis CHI — Under 1.5 Assists
core edge +10pp · 5 books · market 40%
44%
hit · ours
model 51%2
Josh Giddey CHI — Over 7.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 53%3
Joel Embiid PHI — Over 4.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 50%4
Anfernee Simons PHI — Under 1.5 Assists
core edge +5pp · 4 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 47%5
Tyrese Maxey PHI — Under 4.5 Assists
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 43%
45%
hit · ours
model 48%6
Norman Powell CHI — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 60%
62%
hit · ours
model 65%7
Tre Jones CHI — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%8
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Over 3.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 39%
40%
hit · ours
model 43%9
Caleb Wilson CHI — Over 2.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 5 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 51%10
Jalen Smith CHI — Under 1.5 Assists
core edge +3pp · 5 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 56%DET @ CHA7:40 PM ET7 plays · 7 core
1
Cade Cunningham DET — Under 8.5 Assists
core edge +26pp · 7 books · market 50%
59%
hit · ours
model 76%2
Paul Reed DET — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 59%
64%
hit · ours
model 73%3
Naz Reid CHA — Under 1.5 Assists
core edge +13pp · 5 books · market 37%
41%
hit · ours
model 49%4
Duncan Robinson DET — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 59%
61%
hit · ours
model 67%5
Grayson Allen CHA — Over 2.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 5 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%6
Dennis Schroder CHA — Over 4.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 59%7
Ausar Thompson DET — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 46%WSH @ ORL7:40 PM ET5 plays · 5 core
1
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +22pp · 7 books · market 43%
51%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Jase Richardson ORL — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 40%
45%
hit · ours
model 54%3
Kyshawn George WSH — Over 3.5 Assists
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Under 1.5 Assists
core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 52%5
Trae Young WSH — Under 9.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 52%MIL @ MIN8:10 PM ET9 plays · 9 core
1
Ayo Dosunmu MIN — Under 4.5 Assists
core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Tyler Herro MIL — Under 4.5 Assists
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 55%
59%
hit · ours
model 65%3
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 6.5 Assists
core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 45%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%4
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 53%
56%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL — Over 2.5 Assists
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 57%
60%
hit · ours
model 65%6
Ryan Rollins MIL — Over 4.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 55%7
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 63%8
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +5pp · 4 books · market 56%
57%
hit · ours
model 60%9
Myles Turner MIL — Over 1.5 Assists
core edge +3pp · 5 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 48%NO @ MEM8:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core
1
Cameron Boozer MEM — Under 5.5 Assists
core edge +22pp · 7 books · market 56%
63%
hit · ours
model 77%2
Ty Jerome MEM — Under 6.5 Assists
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 56%
61%
hit · ours
model 70%3
Cedric Coward MEM — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 45%
48%
hit · ours
model 54%4
Trey Murphy III NO — Over 3.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 3 books · market 39%
42%
hit · ours
model 46%5
Zion Williamson NO — Over 2.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 3 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 51%SAC @ DAL8:10 PM ET4 plays · 4 core
1
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC — Under 5.5 Assists
core edge +8pp · 8 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 54%2
Zach LaVine SAC — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 5 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 51%3
Domantas Sabonis SAC — Under 6.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 57%4
Cooper Flagg DAL — Under 6.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 54%BOS @ HOU8:40 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 1 held
1
Marcus Smart HOU — Over 2.5 Assists
core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 45%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%2
Amen Thompson HOU — Under 4.5 Assists
core edge +10pp · 8 books · market 57%
61%
hit · ours
model 67%3
Derrick White BOS — Under 4.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%4
Fred VanVleet HOU — Under 5.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 62%5
Alperen Sengun HOU — Over 5.5 Assists
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%6
Kevin Durant HOU — Over 3.5 Assists
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 52%7
Jayson Tatum BOS — Over 6.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 51%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU — Over 1.5 Assists
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 5 books · market 48%
55%
hit · ours
model 69%UTAH @ SA8:40 PM ET7 plays · 7 core
1
Keyonte George UTAH — Under 5.5 Assists
core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 45%
51%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Stephon Castle SA — Under 5.5 Assists
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 45%
50%
hit · ours
model 59%3
Dylan Harper SA — Under 4.5 Assists
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Isaiah Collier UTAH — Over 5.5 Assists
core bench over edge +9pp · 7 books · market 43%
46%
hit · ours
model 52%5
Darryn Peterson UTAH — Over 2.5 Assists
core edge +8pp · 5 books · market 59%
62%
hit · ours
model 67%6
Ace Bailey UTAH — Over 1.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 5 books · market 56%
59%
hit · ours
model 63%7
Lauri Markkanen UTAH — Under 1.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 5 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 52%POR @ DEN9:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 1 held
1
Scoot Henderson POR — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +25pp · 8 books · market 58%
67%
hit · ours
model 83%2
Deni Avdija POR — Under 6.5 Assists
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 56%
60%
hit · ours
model 68%3
Toumani Camara POR — Under 1.5 Assists
core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Nikola Jokic DEN — Under 9.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 56%5
Aaron Gordon DEN — Over 2.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Cameron Johnson DEN — Over 1.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 61%
63%
hit · ours
model 67%7
Christian Braun DEN — Over 2.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 35%
37%
hit · ours
model 39%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
DeMar DeRozan DEN — Over 2.5 Assists
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 6 books · market 54%
61%
hit · ours
model 74%MIA @ LAL10:10 PM ET4 plays · 4 core
1
Walker Kessler LAL — Over 1.5 Assists
core edge +14pp · 4 books · market 37%
42%
hit · ours
model 51%2
Pelle Larsson MIA — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%3
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA — Under 5.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 50%4
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 5.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%PHX @ GS10:10 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 2 held
1
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 4.5 Assists
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 42%
45%
hit · ours
model 51%2
Miles Bridges PHX — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 52%3
Collin Gillespie PHX — Over 4.5 Assists
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 48%4
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 51%5
Jalen Green PHX — Under 2.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 48%6
Devin Booker PHX — Over 5.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%7
Stephen Curry GS — Over 4.5 Assists
core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 52%8
Dillon Brooks PHX — Over 2.5 Assists
core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 39%
40%
hit · ours
model 42%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 2.5 Assists
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 4 books · market 39%
46%
hit · ours
model 58%10
Draymond Green GS — Over 6.5 Assists
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 43%
49%
hit · ours
model 59%TOR @ LAC10:10 PM ET9 plays · 9 core
1
Jakob Poeltl TOR — Under 1.5 Assists
core edge +14pp · 3 books · market 44%
49%
hit · ours
model 58%2
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 1.5 Assists
core edge +11pp · 3 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 54%3
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 4.5 Assists
core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 60%4
Keaton Wagler LAC — Over 3.5 Assists
core edge +7pp · 5 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 60%5
Darius Garland LAC — Over 6.5 Assists
core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%6
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Under 5.5 Assists
core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 41%
43%
hit · ours
model 46%7
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR — Over 1.5 Assists
core edge +4pp · 4 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 55%8
Jamal Shead TOR — Over 4.5 Assists
core edge +3pp · 4 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 58%9
RJ Barrett TOR — Under 3.5 Assists
core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 42%
43%
hit · ours
model 45%OKC @ CLE7:10 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 1 held
1
Jared McCain OKC — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +18pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 69%2
Peyton Watson CLE — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +18pp · 6 books · market 54%
58%
hit · ours
model 72%3
Ajay Mitchell OKC — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +14pp · 8 books · market 62%
64%
hit · ours
model 75%4
Sam Merrill CLE — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 58%
60%
hit · ours
model 71%5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 42%
45%
hit · ours
model 55%6
James Harden CLE — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%7
Evan Mobley CLE — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 41%
43%
hit · ours
model 50%8
Donovan Mitchell CLE — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Kenrich Williams OKC — Over 1.5 Threes
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +32pp · 7 books · market 40%
46%
hit · ours
model 71%ATL @ IND7:40 PM ET11 plays · 11 core
1
Jarace Walker IND — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +27pp · 5 books · market 59%
64%
hit · ours
model 86%2
Quenton Jackson IND — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +23pp · 4 books · market 47%
52%
hit · ours
model 71%3
Luguentz Dort ATL — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +17pp · 7 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 65%4
CJ McCollum ATL — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 61%
64%
hit · ours
model 75%5
Aaron Wiggins ATL — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 58%
61%
hit · ours
model 72%6
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL — Under 3.5 Threes
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 59%
61%
hit · ours
model 70%7
Jalen Johnson ATL — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 64%8
Onyeka Okongwu ATL — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%9
Obi Toppin IND — Over 1.5 Threes
core bench over edge +8pp · 5 books · market 61%
62%
hit · ours
model 68%10
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +7pp · 8 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%11
Jay Huff IND — Over 1.5 Threes
core bench over edge +5pp · 5 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 60%BKN @ NY7:40 PM ET8 plays · 8 core
1
Mikel Brown Jr. BKN — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 56%2
OG Anunoby NY — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 35%
37%
hit · ours
model 43%3
Miles McBride NY — Over 1.5 Threes
core bench over edge +7pp · 6 books · market 40%
42%
hit · ours
model 47%4
Noah Clowney BKN — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +7pp · 4 books · market 64%
65%
hit · ours
model 70%5
Nolan Traore BKN — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 35%
36%
hit · ours
model 41%6
Mikal Bridges NY — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 59%7
Josh Hart NY — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 50%8
Landry Shamet NY — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +4pp · 4 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 51%CHI @ PHI7:40 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Joel Embiid PHI — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 66%
68%
hit · ours
model 80%2
Norman Powell CHI — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%3
Josh Giddey CHI — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 35%
36%
hit · ours
model 43%4
Matas Buzelis CHI — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +6pp · 7 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Jalen Smith CHI — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%6
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +4pp · 8 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Anfernee Simons PHI — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +18pp · 5 books · market 39%
43%
hit · ours
model 58%DET @ CHA7:40 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 1 held
1
Naz Reid CHA — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 59%
61%
hit · ours
model 70%2
Daniss Jenkins DET — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +11pp · 8 books · market 37%
39%
hit · ours
model 48%3
Cade Cunningham DET — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 61%
63%
hit · ours
model 72%4
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 3.5 Threes
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%5
Duncan Robinson DET — Under 3.5 Threes
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 59%
60%
hit · ours
model 67%6
Dennis Schroder CHA — Under 0.5 Threes
core edge +5pp · 5 books · market 35%
36%
hit · ours
model 40%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Grayson Allen CHA — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +20pp · 6 books · market 40%
44%
hit · ours
model 60%WSH @ ORL7:40 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 2 held
1
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 57%
60%
hit · ours
model 73%2
Jevon Carter ORL — Over 1.5 Threes
core bench over edge +12pp · 3 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 57%3
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Over 0.5 Threes
core bench over edge +11pp · 5 books · market 55%
58%
hit · ours
model 66%4
Bilal Coulibaly WSH — Over 0.5 Threes
core bench over edge +9pp · 5 books · market 59%
61%
hit · ours
model 68%5
Trae Young WSH — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 60%
61%
hit · ours
model 67%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Tristan da Silva ORL — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +23pp · 6 books · market 51%
56%
hit · ours
model 74%7
Desmond Bane ORL — Over 3.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +15pp · 7 books · market 41%
44%
hit · ours
model 56%MIL @ MIN8:10 PM ET8 plays · 8 core · 1 held
1
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 3.5 Threes
core edge +21pp · 6 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 69%2
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +14pp · 5 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 60%3
Myles Turner MIL — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 55%
58%
hit · ours
model 69%4
Kyle Kuzma MIL — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 35%
36%
hit · ours
model 43%5
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 53%6
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL — Over 0.5 Threes
core edge +7pp · 5 books · market 64%
65%
hit · ours
model 71%7
Ayo Dosunmu MIN — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 55%
56%
hit · ours
model 61%8
Jaden McDaniels MIN — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Tyler Herro MIL — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +6pp · 8 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 54%NO @ MEM8:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core
1
Ty Jerome MEM — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Jaylen Wells MEM — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 52%3
GG Jackson MEM — Over 1.5 Threes
core bench over edge +9pp · 6 books · market 33%
35%
hit · ours
model 42%4
Jerami Grant MEM — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Jeremiah Fears NO — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +5pp · 3 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 59%6
Cameron Boozer MEM — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 41%
42%
hit · ours
model 46%7
Cedric Coward MEM — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%SAC @ DAL8:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core
1
Cooper Flagg DAL — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +22pp · 7 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 70%2
Zach LaVine SAC — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +16pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 67%3
De'Andre Hunter SAC — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 57%
59%
hit · ours
model 67%4
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 54%5
Max Christie DAL — Over 1.5 Threes
core bench over edge +3pp · 8 books · market 56%
56%
hit · ours
model 59%BOS @ HOU8:40 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 1 held
1
Marcus Smart HOU — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +18pp · 7 books · market 36%
40%
hit · ours
model 54%2
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +15pp · 7 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 66%3
Tari Eason HOU — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +13pp · 8 books · market 65%
68%
hit · ours
model 78%4
Kevin Durant HOU — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 50%5
Payton Pritchard BOS — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 61%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +14pp · 7 books · market 41%
44%
hit · ours
model 55%UTAH @ SA8:40 PM ET9 plays · 9 core · 1 held
1
Brice Sensabaugh UTAH — Over 1.5 Threes
core bench over edge +22pp · 3 books · market 44%
48%
hit · ours
model 66%2
Ace Bailey UTAH — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 56%
58%
hit · ours
model 67%3
Darryn Peterson UTAH — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +11pp · 5 books · market 45%
47%
hit · ours
model 56%4
Keyonte George UTAH — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +11pp · 7 books · market 59%
61%
hit · ours
model 70%5
Victor Wembanyama SA — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 40%
41%
hit · ours
model 49%6
Lauri Markkanen UTAH — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 55%
57%
hit · ours
model 64%7
De'Aaron Fox SA — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +8pp · 8 books · market 57%
59%
hit · ours
model 65%8
Dylan Harper SA — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 36%
37%
hit · ours
model 40%9
Stephon Castle SA — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 54%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
Julian Champagnie SA — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +19pp · 7 books · market 43%
47%
hit · ours
model 62%POR @ DEN9:10 PM ET6 plays · 6 core · 3 held
1
Nikola Jokic DEN — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +28pp · 6 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 77%2
Scoot Henderson POR — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +17pp · 8 books · market 41%
45%
hit · ours
model 58%3
Christian Braun DEN — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +16pp · 7 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 61%4
Damian Lillard POR — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +14pp · 7 books · market 39%
42%
hit · ours
model 53%5
Deni Avdija POR — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 58%6
Cameron Johnson DEN — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 57%
58%
hit · ours
model 61%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Jamal Murray DEN — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +17pp · 7 books · market 56%
60%
hit · ours
model 73%8
Toumani Camara POR — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +8pp · 7 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 56%9
Jrue Holiday POR — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +4pp · 7 books · market 36%
36%
hit · ours
model 40%MIA @ LAL10:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 2 held
1
Bam Adebayo MIA — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 63%
65%
hit · ours
model 76%2
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 57%
59%
hit · ours
model 65%3
Davion Mitchell MIA — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 47%
48%
hit · ours
model 52%4
Pelle Larsson MIA — Under 0.5 Threes
core edge +3pp · 5 books · market 39%
39%
hit · ours
model 42%5
Andrew Wiggins MIA — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 53%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Klay Thompson MIA — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +18pp · 6 books · market 44%
48%
hit · ours
model 62%7
Luka Doncic LAL — Over 4.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +13pp · 8 books · market 47%
50%
hit · ours
model 60%PHX @ GS10:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 3 held
1
Jordan Goodwin PHX — Over 1.5 Threes
core bench over edge +14pp · 7 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 60%2
Georges Niang GS — Over 1.5 Threes
core bench over edge +14pp · 6 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Dillon Brooks PHX — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +10pp · 7 books · market 58%
60%
hit · ours
model 68%4
Jalen Green PHX — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +9pp · 7 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 53%5
Yaxel Lendeborg GS — Over 1.5 Threes
core edge +7pp · 7 books · market 59%
60%
hit · ours
model 66%6
Devin Booker PHX — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +4pp · 7 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%7
Miles Bridges PHX — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +3pp · 7 books · market 43%
43%
hit · ours
model 46%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 1.5 Threes
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +38pp · 5 books · market 51%
58%
hit · ours
model 89%9
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +8pp · 8 books · market 38%
40%
hit · ours
model 46%10
Stephen Curry GS — Over 3.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +7pp · 7 books · market 54%
56%
hit · ours
model 61%TOR @ LAC10:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 1 held
1
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 0.5 Threes
core edge +22pp · 5 books · market 34%
38%
hit · ours
model 56%2
Keaton Wagler LAC — Under 1.5 Threes
core edge +10pp · 5 books · market 42%
44%
hit · ours
model 52%3
Darius Garland LAC — Under 2.5 Threes
core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%4
Jamal Shead TOR — Over 0.5 Threes
core edge +8pp · 4 books · market 58%
60%
hit · ours
model 66%5
Brook Lopez LAC — Over 1.5 Threes
core bench over edge +3pp · 5 books · market 41%
42%
hit · ours
model 44%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR — Over 2.5 Threes
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail edge +16pp · 6 books · market 44%
47%
hit · ours
model 59%OKC @ CLE7:10 PM ET7 plays · 7 core · 3 held
1
James Harden CLE — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Donovan Mitchell CLE — Under 32.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Ajay Mitchell OKC — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +12pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Isaiah Hartenstein OKC — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 63%5
Peyton Watson CLE — Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +9pp · 5 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 59%6
Evan Mobley CLE — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%7
Jared McCain OKC — Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +8pp · 6 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
8
Kenrich Williams OKC — Over 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +35pp · 5 books · market 42%
49%
hit · ours
model 77%9
Aday Mara OKC — Over 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +31pp · 5 books · market 44%
51%
hit · ours
model 76%10
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC — Under 38.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 6 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 68%ATL @ IND7:40 PM ET7 held
7 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
1
Jalen Johnson ATL — Under 37.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +29pp · 6 books · market 48%
54%
hit · ours
model 77%2
Jarace Walker IND — Over 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +28pp · 5 books · market 49%
55%
hit · ours
model 78%3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 6 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 73%4
Dyson Daniels ATL — Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 6 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 72%5
CJ McCollum ATL — Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 6 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 71%6
Onyeka Okongwu ATL — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 7 books · market 46%
50%
hit · ours
model 66%7
Quenton Jackson IND — Over 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 3 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 67%BKN @ NY7:40 PM ET9 plays · 6 core · 2 held
1
Josh Hart NY — Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 64%2
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN — Over 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking bench over edge +10pp · 6 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 63%3
Julius Randle BKN — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +8pp · 5 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%4
OG Anunoby NY — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%5
Miles McBride NY — Under 10.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +7pp · 3 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 59%6
Mikel Brown Jr. BKN — Under 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +7pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%7
Michael Porter Jr. BKN — Over 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +5pp · 6 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%8
Nolan Traore BKN — Over 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +4pp · 6 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 53%9
Jalen Brunson NY — Under 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
10
Mikal Bridges NY — Under 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +20pp · 6 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 67%11
Karl-Anthony Towns NY — Under 35.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 7 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 64%CHI @ PHI7:40 PM ET9 plays · 6 core
1
Caleb Wilson CHI — Under 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +15pp · 6 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 66%2
Norman Powell CHI — Under 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Matas Buzelis CHI — Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 47%
49%
hit · ours
model 58%4
Anfernee Simons PHI — Over 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking bench over edge +11pp · 5 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Jalen Smith CHI — Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Tre Jones CHI — Over 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking bench over edge +9pp · 6 books · market 44%
46%
hit · ours
model 53%7
VJ Edgecombe PHI — Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +8pp · 6 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 55%8
Josh Giddey CHI — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%9
Joel Embiid PHI — Under 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 45%
46%
hit · ours
model 49%DET @ CHA7:40 PM ET5 plays · 2 core · 4 held
1
Moussa Diabate CHA — Over 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +11pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Brandon Miller CHA — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +10pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%3
Daniss Jenkins DET — Over 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +9pp · 5 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 58%4
Duncan Robinson DET — Under 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +8pp · 7 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 54%5
Coby White CHA — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking bench over edge +4pp · 3 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
Cade Cunningham DET — Under 38.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +34pp · 6 books · market 49%
56%
hit · ours
model 83%7
Naz Reid CHA — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 6 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 69%8
Grayson Allen CHA — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 5 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 66%9
Ausar Thompson DET — Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 6 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 67%WSH @ ORL7:40 PM ET4 plays · 3 core · 2 held
1
Jase Richardson ORL — Under 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 62%2
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL — Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking bench over edge +12pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Anthony Davis WSH — Under 36.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%4
Desmond Bane ORL — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
5
Bilal Coulibaly WSH — Over 13.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +29pp · 6 books · market 48%
54%
hit · ours
model 77%6
Franz Wagner ORL — Under 36.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 6 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 73%MIL @ MIN8:10 PM ET5 plays · 5 core · 3 held
1
Jonathan Kuminga MIN — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +13pp · 5 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Tyler Herro MIL — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL — Under 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +12pp · 6 books · market 56%
59%
hit · ours
model 68%4
Kyle Kuzma MIL — Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +5pp · 6 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 57%5
Jaden McDaniels MIN — Under 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 57%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
LaMelo Ball MIN — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +28pp · 6 books · market 48%
54%
hit · ours
model 76%7
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN — Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 4 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 67%8
Myles Turner MIL — Under 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +15pp · 5 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 66%NO @ MEM8:10 PM ET3 plays · 3 core · 2 held
1
Jeremiah Fears NO — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +11pp · 3 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%2
Cedric Coward MEM — Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 52%
54%
hit · ours
model 61%3
Trey Murphy III NO — Under 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +3pp · 3 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 55%2 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
4
Cameron Boozer MEM — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 5 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 72%5
Ty Jerome MEM — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 7 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 68%SAC @ DAL8:10 PM ET2 plays · 3 held
1
Domantas Sabonis SAC — Over 35.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +12pp · 7 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%2
P.J. Washington DAL — Over 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +5pp · 4 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 55%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
3
Darius Acuff Jr. SAC — Under 32.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 6 books · market 45%
50%
hit · ours
model 69%4
Zach LaVine SAC — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 5 books · market 52%
56%
hit · ours
model 74%5
Cooper Flagg DAL — Under 40.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +21pp · 6 books · market 48%
52%
hit · ours
model 69%BOS @ HOU8:40 PM ET6 plays · 3 core · 4 held
1
Jayson Tatum BOS — Under 41.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +13pp · 7 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 63%2
Mitchell Robinson BOS — Over 13.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking bench over edge +9pp · 3 books · market 53%
55%
hit · ours
model 62%3
Alperen Sengun HOU — Over 32.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +5pp · 6 books · market 48%
49%
hit · ours
model 53%4
Fred VanVleet HOU — Over 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +5pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 55%5
Payton Pritchard BOS — Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +4pp · 6 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%6
Kevin Durant HOU — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 53%
54%
hit · ours
model 57%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Marcus Smart HOU — Over 12.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +28pp · 6 books · market 45%
51%
hit · ours
model 73%8
Neemias Queta BOS — Over 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 3 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 71%9
Amen Thompson HOU — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 6 books · market 51%
55%
hit · ours
model 69%10
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU — Over 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 68%UTAH @ SA8:40 PM ET6 plays · 3 core · 4 held
1
Victor Wembanyama SA — Under 41.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 65%2
Lauri Markkanen UTAH — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +14pp · 6 books · market 50%
53%
hit · ours
model 64%3
Julian Champagnie SA — Over 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking bench over edge +11pp · 5 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%4
Dylan Harper SA — Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 58%5
Darryn Peterson UTAH — Over 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +5pp · 5 books · market 49%
50%
hit · ours
model 54%6
Devin Vassell SA — Over 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +4pp · 6 books · market 49%
49%
hit · ours
model 53%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Stephon Castle SA — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +23pp · 6 books · market 49%
54%
hit · ours
model 73%8
Ace Bailey UTAH — Over 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 6 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 70%9
Isaiah Collier UTAH — Over 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 6 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 67%10
Keyonte George UTAH — Under 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 6 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 68%POR @ DEN9:10 PM ET8 plays · 3 core · 3 held
1
DeMar DeRozan DEN — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +15pp · 6 books · market 46%
49%
hit · ours
model 61%2
Deni Avdija POR — Under 35.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +13pp · 6 books · market 48%
50%
hit · ours
model 61%3
Donovan Clingan POR — Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +11pp · 6 books · market 48%
51%
hit · ours
model 60%4
Christian Braun DEN — Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +11pp · 6 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 63%5
Jamal Murray DEN — Over 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +10pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%6
Toumani Camara POR — Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%7
Jrue Holiday POR — Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +5pp · 6 books · market 46%
47%
hit · ours
model 51%8
Cameron Johnson DEN — Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +4pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 54%3 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
9
Scoot Henderson POR — Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 6 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 71%10
Nikola Jokic DEN — Under 45.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 7 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 70%11
Damian Lillard POR — Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 6 books · market 49%
52%
hit · ours
model 66%MIA @ LAL10:10 PM ET6 plays · 3 core · 1 held
1
Walker Kessler LAL — Over 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +10pp · 4 books · market 51%
54%
hit · ours
model 62%2
Austin Reaves LAL — Under 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +10pp · 5 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 61%3
Pelle Larsson MIA — Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 58%4
Luka Doncic LAL — Over 48.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +9pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 59%5
Davion Mitchell MIA — Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +6pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 58%6
Bam Adebayo MIA — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +3pp · 6 books · market 54%
55%
hit · ours
model 57%1 held play — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
7
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA — Under 47.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +17pp · 5 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 64%PHX @ GS10:10 PM ET5 plays · 2 core · 4 held
1
Dillon Brooks PHX — Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +13pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 62%2
Jordan Goodwin PHX — Over 13.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking bench over edge +7pp · 6 books · market 51%
52%
hit · ours
model 58%3
Devin Booker PHX — Under 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +6pp · 6 books · market 50%
52%
hit · ours
model 57%4
Miles Bridges PHX — Over 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
tracking edge +5pp · 6 books · market 50%
51%
hit · ours
model 56%5
Jalen Green PHX — Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +5pp · 7 books · market 52%
53%
hit · ours
model 56%4 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
6
De'Anthony Melton GS — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +38pp · 5 books · market 49%
57%
hit · ours
model 87%7
Draymond Green GS — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 6 books · market 47%
53%
hit · ours
model 73%8
Brandin Podziemski GS — Over 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +22pp · 6 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 72%9
Georges Niang GS — Over 13.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +19pp · 3 books · market 47%
51%
hit · ours
model 66%TOR @ LAC10:10 PM ET3 plays · 3 core · 5 held
1
Keaton Wagler LAC — Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +14pp · 4 books · market 52%
55%
hit · ours
model 66%2
Immanuel Quickley TOR — Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +10pp · 5 books · market 49%
51%
hit · ours
model 59%3
RJ Barrett TOR — Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
core edge +9pp · 6 books · market 51%
53%
hit · ours
model 60%5 held plays — withheld for the reason on each row: a model/book gap of 15 points or more, or a dated hold
4
Darius Garland LAC — Under 33.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +26pp · 4 books · market 52%
57%
hit · ours
model 77%5
Brook Lopez LAC — Over 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +25pp · 4 books · market 52%
57%
hit · ours
model 77%6
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR — Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +24pp · 3 books · market 48%
53%
hit · ours
model 72%7
Kris Dunn LAC — Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +18pp · 5 books · market 49%
53%
hit · ours
model 67%8
Scottie Barnes TOR — Under 36.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
held — model/book gap 15pp+ edge +16pp · 5 books · market 50%
54%
hit · ours
model 66%SAC @ DAL8:10 PM ET1 play
1
Daniel Gafford DAL — Double-double — Yes
tracking bench over edge +7pp · 5 books · market 21%
25%
hit · ours
model 28%BOS @ HOU8:40 PM ET1 play
1
Jayson Tatum BOS — Double-double — Yes
tracking edge +4pp · 5 books · market 35%
38%
hit · ours
model 40%MIA @ LAL10:10 PM ET1 play
1
Walker Kessler LAL — Double-double — Yes
tracking edge +5pp · 5 books · market 46%
48%
hit · ours
model 51%First basket — who scores first
Our chance each starter scores the game's first field goal, next to the best Yes price. For fun; graded nightly — the units track the GAME TOP only, 1u per game.
tracking
Record6 nightsboard: game top 7/40 · per team 12/80staked 5/36 vs 14% neededper team priced 10/71 vs 13% neededgame top median +600game top -3.50u on 36u · -10%
OKC @ CLE19:00 · CLE scores first 60% · Hartenstein wins the tip 40% · Allen wins the tip 71%
OKC scores first 40%
top pick Ajay Mitchell13%ours+970draftkings · implied 9% · +3.6pp
Isaiah Hartenstein jumps10%ours+1000fanduel · implied 9% · +1.2pp
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander8%ours+700fanduel · implied 12% · -4.9pp
CLE scores first 60%
game top Evan Mobley15%ours+525betmgm · implied 16% · -0.8pp
Jarrett Allen jumps15%ours+575betmgm · implied 15% · +0.2pp
Donovan Mitchell11%ours+650fanduel · implied 13% · -1.9pp
DET @ CHA19:30 · CHA scores first 47% · Collins wins the tip 41% · Diabate wins the tip 38%
DET scores first 53%
top pick John Collins jumps15%ours+800betrivers · implied 11% · +3.4pp
Paul Reed13%ours+650betmgm · implied 13% · -0.5pp
Cade Cunningham11%ours+525betmgm · implied 16% · -5.0pp
CHA scores first 47%
game top Brandon Miller15%ours+600fanduel · implied 14% · +1.1pp
Naz Reid13%ours+900betrivers · implied 10% · +2.9pp
Moussa Diabate jumps8%ours+1000betmgm · implied 9% · -1.2pp
ATL @ IND19:30 · IND scores first 48% · Okongwu wins the tip 44% · Huff wins the tip 52%
ATL scores first 52%
game top Onyeka Okongwu jumps12%ours+900fanduel · implied 10% · +2.2pp
CJ McCollum11%ours+800betmgm · implied 11% · -0.5pp
Dyson Daniels10%ours+1000fanduel · implied 9% · +1.3pp
IND scores first 48%
top pick Kelly Oubre Jr.11%ours+850mybookieag · implied 11% · +0.2pp
Andrew Nembhard10%oursno price
Pascal Siakam10%oursno price
BKN @ NY19:30 · NY scores first 58% · Sharpe wins the tip 38% · Towns wins the tip 45%
BKN scores first 42%
top pick Michael Porter Jr.10%ours+550fanduel · implied 15% · -5.1pp
Julius Randle10%ours+750fanduel · implied 12% · -2.1pp
Day'Ron Sharpe jumps9%ours+1000fanduel · implied 9% · +0.2pp
NY scores first 58%
game top Jalen Brunson21%ours+450betmgm · implied 18% · +2.3pp
Karl-Anthony Towns jumps12%ours+558draftkings · implied 15% · -3.3pp
Mikal Bridges11%ours+970draftkings · implied 9% · +1.4pp
WSH @ ORL19:30 · ORL scores first 53% · Davis wins the tip 57% · Jr. wins the tip 63%
WSH scores first 47%
top pick Anthony Davis jumps12%ours+575betmgm · implied 15% · -3.1pp
Alex Sarr11%oursno price
AJ Dybantsa10%ours+750fanduel · implied 12% · -2.2pp
ORL scores first 53%
game top Wendell Carter Jr. jumps15%ours+800betmgm · implied 11% · +3.9pp
Desmond Bane12%ours+600betmgm · implied 14% · -2.8pp
Franz Wagner11%ours+680draftkings · implied 13% · -1.5pp
CHI @ PHI19:30 · PHI scores first 60% · Smith wins the tip 33% · Embiid wins the tip 56%
CHI scores first 40%
top pick Jalen Smith jumps10%ours+1000fanduel · implied 9% · +0.8pp
Caleb Wilson9%ours+930draftkings · implied 10% · -1.0pp
Norman Powell9%ours+1000fanduel · implied 9% · -0.5pp
PHI scores first 60%
game top Jaylen Brown15%ours+550betmgm · implied 15% · -0.6pp
Joel Embiid jumps14%ours+475betmgm · implied 17% · -3.1pp
Tyrese Maxey13%ours+700betrivers · implied 12% · +0.9pp
SAC @ DAL20:00 · DAL scores first 55% · Sabonis wins the tip 34% · Gafford wins the tip 40%
SAC scores first 45%
game top De'Andre Hunter13%ours+1100fanduel · implied 8% · +5.0pp
Zach LaVine9%ours+900fanduel · implied 10% · -0.7pp
Domantas Sabonis jumps8%ours+690mybookieag · implied 13% · -4.3pp
DAL scores first 55%
top pick P.J. Washington13%ours+800fanduel · implied 11% · +1.7pp
Cooper Flagg12%ours+500fanduel · implied 17% · -4.8pp
Daniel Gafford jumps11%ours+750betmgm · implied 12% · -0.3pp
NO @ MEM20:00 · MEM scores first 59% · Williamson wins the tip 44% · Edey wins the tip 68%
NO scores first 41%
top pick Dejounte Murray10%ours+1200draftkings · implied 8% · +2.4pp
Jeremiah Fears9%ours+1150mybookieag · implied 8% · +1.1pp
Trey Murphy III8%ours+900fanatics · implied 10% · -1.9pp
MEM scores first 59%
game top Ty Jerome20%ours+476draftkings · implied 17% · +2.2pp
Cedric Coward15%ours+700fanduel · implied 12% · +2.5pp
Zach Edey jumps10%ours+650betmgm · implied 13% · -3.6pp
MIL @ MIN20:00 · MIN scores first 59% · Turner wins the tip 34% · Gobert wins the tip 51%
MIL scores first 41%
top pick Kyle Kuzma10%ours+1200betrivers · implied 8% · +2.1pp
Myles Turner jumps9%ours+1080draftkings · implied 8% · +0.1pp
Ryan Rollins8%ours+1200fanduel · implied 8% · +0.4pp
MIN scores first 59%
game top LaMelo Ball16%ours+550betmgm · implied 15% · +0.1pp
Jaden McDaniels14%ours+700betrivers · implied 12% · +1.4pp
Jonathan Kuminga12%ours+600fanduel · implied 14% · -2.1pp
BOS @ HOU20:30 · HOU scores first 52% · Queta wins the tip 43% · Sengun wins the tip 42%
BOS scores first 48%
top pick Paul George15%oursno price
Neemias Queta jumps12%oursno price
Jayson Tatum9%ours+460fanatics · implied 18% · -9.1pp
HOU scores first 52%
game top Alperen Sengun jumps16%ours+650betmgm · implied 13% · +2.8pp
Kevin Durant12%ours+900fanduel · implied 10% · +1.9pp
Amen Thompson9%ours+1100draftkings · implied 8% · +0.3pp
UTAH @ SA20:30 · SA scores first 63% · Hayes wins the tip 56% · Wembanyama wins the tip 76%
UTAH scores first 37%
top pick Ace Bailey10%ours+1200betrivers · implied 8% · +2.1pp
Lauri Markkanen9%ours+900fanduel · implied 10% · -1.5pp
Jaxson Hayes jumps8%ours+1600fanduel · implied 6% · +2.0pp
SA scores first 63%
game top Victor Wembanyama jumps22%ours+333betmgm · implied 23% · -1.4pp
De'Aaron Fox14%ours+675betmgm · implied 13% · +1.3pp
Devin Vassell12%ours+850fanduel · implied 11% · +1.3pp
POR @ DEN21:00 · DEN scores first 54% · Clingan wins the tip 49% · Jokic wins the tip 55%
POR scores first 46%
top pick Scoot Henderson14%ours+800draftkings · implied 11% · +2.7pp
Damian Lillard10%ours+825betmgm · implied 11% · -1.0pp
Deni Avdija8%ours+650fanduel · implied 13% · -4.8pp
DEN scores first 54%
game top Jamal Murray17%ours+500fanduel · implied 17% · +0.1pp
Nikola Jokic jumps12%ours+550fanduel · implied 15% · -3.0pp
Cameron Johnson10%ours+1200betrivers · implied 8% · +2.5pp
PHX @ GS22:00 · GS scores first 45% · Maluach wins the tip 60% · Green wins the tip 39%
PHX scores first 55%
game top Jalen Green13%ours+650betmgm · implied 13% · +0.0pp
Devin Booker13%ours+550fanduel · implied 15% · -2.3pp
Dillon Brooks11%ours+700fanduel · implied 12% · -1.2pp
GS scores first 45%
top pick Draymond Green jumps11%ours+1300betmgm · implied 7% · +3.5pp
Yaxel Lendeborg10%ours+800betrivers · implied 11% · -1.5pp
Georges Niang9%ours+1400fanduel · implied 7% · +2.3pp
TOR @ LAC22:00 · LAC scores first 46% · Jackson-Davis wins the tip 38% · Jackson wins the tip 30%
TOR scores first 54%
game top RJ Barrett13%ours+600fanduel · implied 14% · -1.2pp
Scottie Barnes12%ours+650betmgm · implied 13% · -1.2pp
Trayce Jackson-Davis jumps11%oursno price
LAC scores first 46%
top pick Rui Hachimura11%oursno price
Darius Garland10%ours+1040draftkings · implied 9% · +1.3pp
Derrick Jones Jr.10%oursno price
MIA @ LAL22:00 · LAL scores first 50% · Adebayo wins the tip 68% · Kessler wins the tip 63%
MIA scores first 50%
top pick Bam Adebayo jumps16%ours+610draftkings · implied 14% · +1.9pp
Giannis Antetokounmpo11%ours+475betmgm · implied 17% · -6.9pp
Andrew Wiggins9%ours+1400betrivers · implied 7% · +2.3pp
LAL scores first 50%
game top Luka Doncic18%ours+500betmgm · implied 17% · +1.0pp
Austin Reaves10%ours+700fanatics · implied 12% · -2.8pp
Walker Kessler jumps9%ours+725betmgm · implied 12% · -2.9pp
First basket of the game. The books disagree on free throws: FanDuel and Caesars settle on the first POINTS (a free throw counts); DraftKings, BetMGM and Fanatics settle on the first FIELD GOAL. Our number is the field-goal version — the majority rule — and the two differ on about 7% of games. The chance is the team's chance of scoring first — from the two jumpers' tip-win rates and the fact that the tip winner scores first 64% of the time — times the player's share of his team's first scores and first shots. Starters only: the first basket has never gone to a bench player in 4,000 games. Backtested calibrated but thin, and the market is sharp — treat a green price as a small lean, not an edge. Best price across the books posting the market; "jumps" marks the likely jumper.
Parlays — place and forget
Two slips from tonight's surest legs, drawn only from prop-and-side groups whose graded record is positive. A leg's chance is the market plus a fifth of our disagreement; "our chance" is the product with a same-team haircut. Tap a slip for the legs.
tracking
Main+117our chance 49% · fair +1063 legs · 1u
Nikola JokicDEN · POR @ DEN
Double-double Yes
84%−518 DraftKings
Domantas SabonisSAC · SAC @ DAL
Double-double Yes
78%−298 DraftKings
Giannis AntetokounmpoMIA · MIA @ LAL
Double-double Yes
74%−275 BetMGM
Lotto · fun+689our chance 14% · fair +6144 legs · 0.25u
Domantas SabonisSAC · SAC @ DAL
Double-double Yes
78%−298 DraftKings
Jonathan KumingaMIN · MIL @ MIN
Under 2.5 Assists
55%−116 BetOnline.ag
Kasparas JakucionisMIL · MIL @ MIN
Under 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
59%−137 BetRivers
Isaiah HartensteinOKC · OKC @ CLE
Under 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
55%−120 BetMGM
Round robin — one assist leg per gameMon Nov 2prices as of 5:32 pm ET
Slip record8 nights+57.60u on 115u+50% ROIat Bovada
1Scoot Henderson PORPortland Trail Blazers @ Denver NuggetsUnder 3.5 Assists67%oursmodel 83%58%market−160Bovada
2Isaiah Hartenstein OKCOklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland CavaliersUnder 3.5 Assists65%oursmodel 76%58%market−165Bovada
3Cade Cunningham DETDetroit Pistons @ Charlotte HornetsUnder 8.5 Assists59%oursmodel 76%50%market−110Bovada
4Jabari Smith Jr. HOUBoston Celtics @ Houston RocketsOver 1.5 Assists55%oursmodel 69%48%market+105Bovada
5CJ McCollum ATLAtlanta Hawks @ Indiana PacersUnder 3.5 Assists54%oursmodel 66%47%market+105Bovada
6Desmond Bane ORLWashington Wizards @ Orlando MagicUnder 3.5 Assists51%oursmodel 65%43%market+105Bovada
7Keyonte George UTAHUtah Jazz @ San Antonio SpursUnder 5.5 Assists51%oursmodel 61%45%market+125Bovada
21 two-leg combinations · 21u at 1u each
Henderson + Hartenstein+161
Henderson + Cunningham+210
Henderson + Jr.+233
Henderson + McCollum+233
Henderson + Bane+233
Henderson + George+266
Hartenstein + Cunningham+207
Hartenstein + Jr.+229
Hartenstein + McCollum+229
Hartenstein + Bane+229
Hartenstein + George+261
Cunningham + Jr.+291
Cunningham + McCollum+291
Cunningham + Bane+291
Cunningham + George+330
Jr. + McCollum+320
Jr. + Bane+320
Jr. + George+361
McCollum + Bane+320
McCollum + George+361
Bane + George+361
Previous nights
2026-11-01 · legs 1-2 · combos 0-3-3.00u on 3u
2026-10-31 · legs 5-0 · combos 10-0+24.54u on 10u
2026-10-30 · legs 3-3 · combos 6-15-7.77u on 21u
2026-10-28 · legs 5-2 · combos 10-11+12.56u on 21u
2026-10-27 · legs 1-2 · combos 0-3-3.00u on 3u
2026-10-26 · legs 4-3 · combos 6-15+0.71u on 21u
2026-10-25 · legs 4-2 · combos 10-11+13.90u on 21u
2026-10-24 · legs 5-1 · combos 10-5+19.64u on 15u
These legs are for the Mon Nov 2 slate. One leg from each game, the biggest assist disagreement we have with the book in that game, taken from the plays the sheet withholds. Books build the round robin from the legs, so every pair is from different games by construction. Tracking — a short record, graded at the price shown.
Results
Every shown play graded at the line and price on its row, flat one unit. Voids (did not play) excluded.
since 2026-10-20
Record
1528–1456
Hit rate
51%
Units
+1.12u
ROI
+0.0%
Held plays
469–379 · +89.25u
By prop and side — shown vs held (core = qualifies on the graded record)
Prop and sideShownHeld
Assists under core221–187 · +22.94u37–21 · +14.64u
Pts+Reb+Ast under core195–164 · +19.11u95–79 · +11.97u
Points under core241–217 · +10.11u80–72 · +6.72u
Rebounds under core245–222 · +6.80u48–45 · +2.00u
Rebounds over core99–96 · +3.85u20–19 · +1.52u
Threes under core192–171 · +2.86u40–28 · +9.34u
Double-double4–2 · +1.35u0–1 · -1.00u
Double-double1–8 · -6.89u—
Assists over core72–83 · -7.42u13–7 · +8.68u
Points over106–116 · -14.98u56–45 · +8.28u
Pts+Reb+Ast over74–85 · -15.13u20–25 · -5.60u
Threes over core78–105 · -21.49u60–37 · +32.70u
All plays1528–1456 · +1.12u469–379 · +89.25u
Last night — Sun Nov 1: what hit and missed71–71 · -4.80u
What each prop and side did — shown vs held
Prop and sideShownHeld
Assists over6–2 · +4.87u—
Pts+Reb+Ast under10–6 · +3.47u3–4 · -1.30u
Threes under10–7 · +2.06u—
Assists under11–10 · +0.96u—
Pts+Reb+Ast over2–3 · -0.98u2–3 · -1.13u
Points under12–12 · -0.99u—
Threes over6–7 · -1.91u5–1 · +5.25u
Rebounds over2–4 · -2.37u2–2 · +0.06u
Points over4–8 · -4.36u2–5 · -3.13u
Rebounds under8–12 · -5.55u—
All plays71–71 · -4.80u14–15 · -0.24u
Held plays cleared the filters but were withheld — a model/book gap of 15 points or more, a threes over at 2.5 or higher (our tail runs hot there), or a dated hold. They are graded so each rule can be judged on its own record; they are not in the record above.
Hit · 71
De'Anthony Melton GS Over 1.5 Threes · −114 · edge +26ppactual 6 · +0.88u
Julius Randle BKN Under 20.5 Points · −115 · edge +24ppactual 20 · +0.87u
Darius Garland LAC Under 23.5 Points · −118 · edge +20ppactual 15 · +0.85u
Franz Wagner ORL Under 1.5 Threes · −135 · edge +20ppactual 1 · +0.74u
Jarace Walker IND Over 1.5 Threes · +112 · edge +18ppactual 2 · +1.12u
Franz Wagner ORL Under 22.5 Points · −114 · edge +18ppactual 14 · +0.88u
Desmond Bane ORL Under 3.5 Assists · +104 · edge +16ppactual 1 · +1.04u
Scottie Barnes TOR Under 0.5 Threes · +166 · edge +16ppactual 0 · +1.66u
Scottie Barnes TOR Under 7.5 Rebounds · −135 · edge +15ppactual 6 · +0.74u
Derrick White BOS Under 22.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · +100 · edge +14ppactual 16 · +1.00u
Derrick White BOS Under 13.5 Points · +105 · edge +14ppactual 12 · +1.05u
Pascal Siakam IND Under 1.5 Threes · −135 · edge +14ppactual 0 · +0.74u
Pascal Siakam IND Under 23.5 Points · −110 · edge +14ppactual 17 · +0.91u
Kris Dunn LAC Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −103 · edge +13ppactual 18 · +0.97u
Pascal Siakam IND Under 35.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −115 · edge +13ppactual 27 · +0.87u
Jayson Tatum BOS Under 2.5 Threes · +100 · edge +13ppactual 1 · +1.00u
Tristan da Silva ORL Over 9.5 Points · −124 · edge +13ppactual 23 · +0.81u
Andrew Nembhard IND Under 3.5 Rebounds · −141 · edge +12ppactual 3 · +0.71u
Aaron Nesmith IND Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · +105 · edge +12ppactual 18 · +1.05u
Darius Garland LAC Under 2.5 Rebounds · +100 · edge +11ppactual 0 · +1.00u
Austin Reaves LAL Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · +110 · edge +11ppactual 26 · +1.10u
Paul George BOS Under 17.5 Points · +100 · edge +11ppactual 17 · +1.00u
Michael Porter Jr. BKN Under 3.5 Threes · −142 · edge +10ppactual 3 · +0.70u
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR Under 0.5 Threes · −129 · edge +10ppactual 0 · +0.78u
Austin Reaves LAL Under 22.5 Points · −102 · edge +10ppactual 19 · +0.98u
Matisse Thybulle LAL Over 1.5 Threes · +143 · edge +9ppactual 2 · +1.43u
Derrick White BOS Under 4.5 Assists · +125 · edge +9ppactual 2 · +1.25u
Brandin Podziemski GS Over 5.5 Rebounds · +100 · edge +9ppactual 8 · +1.00u
Anthony Black ORL Under 3.5 Assists · +114 · edge +9ppactual 3 · +1.14u
Darius Garland LAC Under 7.5 Assists · −130 · edge +9ppactual 7 · +0.77u
Jarace Walker IND Over 2.5 Assists · +128 · edge +9ppactual 3 · +1.28u
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL Under 1.5 Assists · −129 · edge +8ppactual 1 · +0.78u
Desmond Bane ORL Under 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −104 · edge +8ppactual 22 · +0.96u
Andrew Nembhard IND Under 9.5 Assists · −127 · edge +8ppactual 4 · +0.79u
Immanuel Quickley TOR Under 17.5 Points · −121 · edge +8ppactual 12 · +0.83u
Jase Richardson ORL Under 8.5 Points · −106 · edge +8ppactual 4 · +0.94u
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR Under 5.5 Rebounds · −113 · edge +8ppactual 3 · +0.89u
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND Over 0.5 Threes · −213 · edge +7ppactual 2 · +0.47u
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND Under 1.5 Assists · +110 · edge +7ppactual 1 · +1.10u
Paul George BOS Over 3.5 Assists · +117 · edge +7ppactual 8 · +1.17u
Kris Dunn LAC Over 8.5 Points · +100 · edge +7ppactual 12 · +1.00u
Darius Garland LAC Under 2.5 Threes · +111 · edge +7ppactual 1 · +1.11u
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL Under 1.5 Assists · +134 · edge +7ppactual 0 · +1.34u
Noah Clowney BKN Over 7.5 Points · −105 · edge +7ppactual 8 · +0.95u
Desmond Bane ORL Under 4.5 Rebounds · −140 · edge +7ppactual 2 · +0.71u
Yaxel Lendeborg GS Under 7.5 Rebounds · −105 · edge +6ppactual 4 · +0.95u
Keaton Wagler LAC Over 3.5 Assists · +146 · edge +6ppactual 4 · +1.46u
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR Under 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −114 · edge +6ppactual 8 · +0.88u
Jay Huff IND Under 1.5 Assists · −125 · edge +6ppactual 0 · +0.80u
Austin Reaves LAL Under 2.5 Threes · −182 · edge +6ppactual 2 · +0.55u
Keaton Wagler LAC Under 12.5 Points · +105 · edge +5ppactual 7 · +1.05u
Jayson Tatum BOS Under 8.5 Rebounds · −134 · edge +5ppactual 4 · +0.75u
Collin Murray-Boyles TOR Under 1.5 Assists · +105 · edge +5ppactual 1 · +1.05u
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL Over 0.5 Threes · −160 · edge +5ppactual 1 · +0.62u
Jase Richardson ORL Under 13.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −102 · edge +5ppactual 8 · +0.98u
Aaron Nesmith IND Over 1.5 Assists · +107 · edge +5ppactual 4 · +1.07u
Immanuel Quickley TOR Under 26.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −106 · edge +5ppactual 25 · +0.94u
Brandin Podziemski GS Over 4.5 Assists · +110 · edge +5ppactual 8 · +1.10u
Nolan Traore BKN Under 2.5 Rebounds · −142 · edge +5ppactual 2 · +0.70u
Brook Lopez LAC Under 1.5 Threes · −156 · edge +5ppactual 1 · +0.64u
De'Anthony Melton GS Over 2.5 Assists · −127 · edge +5ppactual 3 · +0.79u
Isaiah Jackson LAC Under 9.5 Points · −130 · edge +4ppactual 5 · +0.77u
Keaton Wagler LAC Under 1.5 Threes · +114 · edge +4ppactual 0 · +1.14u
Gui Santos GS Under 2.5 Assists · −110 · edge +4ppactual 1 · +0.91u
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL Under 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −105 · edge +4ppactual 13 · +0.95u
Desmond Bane ORL Under 19.5 Points · −113 · edge +4ppactual 19 · +0.89u
Rui Hachimura LAC Over 1.5 Threes · −175 · edge +4ppactual 4 · +0.57u
RJ Barrett TOR Over 4.5 Rebounds · −158 · edge +4ppactual 10 · +0.63u
Keaton Wagler LAC Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −110 · edge +3ppactual 15 · +0.91u
Andrew Nembhard IND Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −114 · edge +3ppactual 30 · +0.88u
Luka Doncic LAL Over 32.5 Points · −114 · edge +3ppactual 45 · +0.88u
Missed · 71
Julius Randle BKN Under 5.5 Assists · −130 · edge +24ppactual 6 · -1.00u
Georges Niang GS Over 1.5 Threes · +100 · edge +24ppactual 1 · -1.00u
Yaxel Lendeborg GS Under 19.5 Points · +115 · edge +23ppactual 37 · -1.00u
Brandon Williams GS Under 13.5 Points · +110 · edge +23ppactual 17 · -1.00u
Yaxel Lendeborg GS Under 4.5 Assists · −155 · edge +21ppactual 6 · -1.00u
Rui Hachimura LAC Under 15.5 Points · −107 · edge +20ppactual 24 · -1.00u
Jayson Tatum BOS Under 26.5 Points · +100 · edge +19ppactual 32 · -1.00u
Julius Randle BKN Under 1.5 Threes · −130 · edge +16ppactual 4 · -1.00u
Jay Huff IND Over 1.5 Threes · +165 · edge +16ppactual 0 · -1.00u
Scottie Barnes TOR Under 22.5 Points · −103 · edge +16ppactual 29 · -1.00u
Nolan Traore BKN Under 4.5 Assists · −114 · edge +16ppactual 6 · -1.00u
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC Over 1.5 Threes · +138 · edge +15ppactual 1 · -1.00u
Nolan Traore BKN Under 11.5 Points · +100 · edge +15ppactual 16 · -1.00u
Tristan da Silva ORL Under 3.5 Rebounds · +118 · edge +15ppactual 10 · -1.00u
Aaron Nesmith IND Over 1.5 Threes · −138 · edge +14ppactual 0 · -1.00u
Rui Hachimura LAC Under 4.5 Rebounds · +122 · edge +14ppactual 7 · -1.00u
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN Under 2.5 Assists · −144 · edge +14ppactual 4 · -1.00u
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL Over 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −110 · edge +13ppactual 17 · -1.00u
Aaron Nesmith IND Over 12.5 Points · +105 · edge +13ppactual 11 · -1.00u
Brandon Williams GS Under 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · +105 · edge +13ppactual 23 · -1.00u
Isaiah Jackson LAC Under 6.5 Rebounds · +125 · edge +13ppactual 8 · -1.00u
Noah Clowney BKN Over 3.5 Rebounds · −120 · edge +13ppactual 3 · -1.00u
Brook Lopez LAC Over 4.5 Rebounds · +121 · edge +12ppactual 2 · -1.00u
Gui Santos GS Over 1.5 Threes · +199 · edge +12ppactual 0 · -1.00u
Nolan Traore BKN Under 1.5 Threes · −198 · edge +12ppactual 4 · -1.00u
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN Under 7.5 Rebounds · +125 · edge +11ppactual 13 · -1.00u
RJ Barrett TOR Under 20.5 Points · +100 · edge +11ppactual 22 · -1.00u
Michael Porter Jr. BKN Under 21.5 Points · −102 · edge +11ppactual 23 · -1.00u
Michael Porter Jr. BKN Under 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −115 · edge +11ppactual 35 · -1.00u
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · +105 · edge +11ppactual 14 · -1.00u
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −113 · edge +11ppactual 32 · -1.00u
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND Over 11.5 Points · +110 · edge +10ppactual 11 · -1.00u
Wendell Carter Jr. ORL Under 7.5 Rebounds · +115 · edge +10ppactual 10 · -1.00u
Neemias Queta BOS Under 7.5 Rebounds · −110 · edge +10ppactual 8 · -1.00u
Sam Hauser BOS Over 1.5 Threes · −170 · edge +10ppactual 1 · -1.00u
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL Under 0.5 Threes · +190 · edge +9ppactual 2 · -1.00u
Luka Doncic LAL Under 7.5 Rebounds · −130 · edge +9ppactual 15 · -1.00u
Franz Wagner ORL Under 5.5 Assists · +140 · edge +9ppactual 12 · -1.00u
Sam Hauser BOS Over 7.5 Points · −102 · edge +8ppactual 3 · -1.00u
Derrick White BOS Under 1.5 Threes · +145 · edge +8ppactual 2 · -1.00u
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR Over 11.5 Points · −103 · edge +8ppactual 11 · -1.00u
Anthony Black ORL Under 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · +110 · edge +8ppactual 34 · -1.00u
RJ Barrett TOR Under 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −106 · edge +7ppactual 37 · -1.00u
Michael Porter Jr. BKN Under 1.5 Assists · +140 · edge +7ppactual 3 · -1.00u
Payton Pritchard BOS Under 2.5 Rebounds · +135 · edge +7ppactual 7 · -1.00u
Walker Kessler LAL Under 12.5 Points · −105 · edge +7ppactual 16 · -1.00u
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC Under 4.5 Rebounds · −136 · edge +7ppactual 7 · -1.00u
RJ Barrett TOR Under 1.5 Threes · −115 · edge +6ppactual 4 · -1.00u
Paul George BOS Under 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · +110 · edge +6ppactual 31 · -1.00u
Paul George BOS Under 2.5 Threes · +104 · edge +6ppactual 3 · -1.00u
Keon Ellis BKN Over 5.5 Points · −133 · edge +5ppactual 0 · -1.00u
Day'Ron Sharpe BKN Under 9.5 Points · −135 · edge +5ppactual 15 · -1.00u
Yaxel Lendeborg GS Under 1.5 Threes · +131 · edge +5ppactual 6 · -1.00u
Brook Lopez LAC Over 9.5 Points · −114 · edge +5ppactual 7 · -1.00u
Anthony Black ORL Under 13.5 Points · +100 · edge +5ppactual 23 · -1.00u
Pascal Siakam IND Under 4.5 Assists · −154 · edge +5ppactual 5 · -1.00u
Anthony Black ORL Under 3.5 Rebounds · +112 · edge +5ppactual 8 · -1.00u
Jayson Tatum BOS Under 6.5 Assists · −104 · edge +5ppactual 7 · -1.00u
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL Under 8.5 Points · −125 · edge +5ppactual 11 · -1.00u
Kris Dunn LAC Over 5.5 Assists · +130 · edge +5ppactual 4 · -1.00u
Gui Santos GS Over 4.5 Rebounds · −125 · edge +4ppactual 3 · -1.00u
Luka Doncic LAL Over 7.5 Assists · +125 · edge +4ppactual 6 · -1.00u
Aaron Nesmith IND Under 2.5 Rebounds · +140 · edge +4ppactual 3 · -1.00u
Immanuel Quickley TOR Under 5.5 Assists · +111 · edge +4ppactual 7 · -1.00u
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC Over 10.5 Points · −124 · edge +4ppactual 9 · -1.00u
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR Under 3.5 Rebounds · −109 · edge +4ppactual 4 · -1.00u
Payton Pritchard BOS Over 14.5 Points · −106 · edge +3ppactual 7 · -1.00u
Ja'Kobe Walter TOR Over 17.5 Pts+Reb+Ast · −103 · edge +3ppactual 17 · -1.00u
Jase Richardson ORL Under 2.5 Assists · −178 · edge +3ppactual 3 · -1.00u
Kris Dunn LAC Over 1.5 Threes · +194 · edge +3ppactual 0 · -1.00u
Kelly Oubre Jr. IND Over 4.5 Rebounds · +132 · edge +3ppactual 2 · -1.00u
Earlier nights are also on the Props tab as their own chips, every row marked WON or LOST at the line and price it was shown with.
By night
2026-11-0171–71 · -4.80u · held -0.24u
2026-10-31152–104 · +41.20u · held +15.00u
2026-10-30177–155 · +13.86u · held +7.56u
2026-10-2956–63 · -11.63u · held +0.51u
2026-10-28159–187 · -37.41u · held +15.81u
2026-10-2772–53 · +13.27u · held -1.27u
2026-10-26138–131 · -0.33u · held +9.59u
2026-10-25101–84 · +10.74u · held +1.98u
2026-10-2496–114 · -22.24u · held -13.56u
2026-10-23166–146 · +16.25u · held +45.77u
2026-10-2239–23 · +13.05u · held +8.10u
2026-10-21255–274 · -26.12u
2026-10-2046–51 · -4.72u
A group becomes core only on its graded record: at least 20 plays, positive in all but one graded week, hit rate above the break-even its prices imply. Reviewed on the record, last 2026-10-20. Everything else shows as tracking.
Labels on the sheet
Every badge, and what the two numbers on a row mean.
core A prop-and-side group is tagged core only after at least 20 graded plays, positive in all but one week, above its implied break-even. Core is earned by the record, never assigned.
tracking Everything else that cleared the filters. Shown so the record can form in the open; not yet a group we vouch for.
held — model/book gap 15pp+ Our number and the book's differ by 15 points or more. The book usually knows something (a role change, a minutes limit), so the play is withheld, folded under the game with the reason, and graded like the rest. Groups are released from this hold once their record earns it — assists unders since 2026-10-27, points unders, threes unders and threes overs since 2026-10-31 — but a release stops at a 30-point gap: above that the play is still withheld, for every group. The biggest gaps are where our number is furthest off, not where the edge is biggest — held rows at a 15-30 point gap have returned +8.6% while those above 30 points have returned −27%.
held — overs at 2.5+ · model runs hot in the tail An over on THREES at a line of 2.5 or higher. Over the first nine nights these went 17-32 (34.7%) where our model said 54% and the market said 43% — while threes overs at 1.5 and under went 52.5% and made money. Our distribution over-projects the top of the threes range, so those rungs are withheld until that is re-fitted. They keep grading.
held — dated hold A whole group withheld while a known cause plays out (opening-week cold shooting held threes overs and bench overs). Dated, reviewed, released when the record says so.
top pick / game top On the First basket board, top pick marks each team's likeliest first scorer and game top marks the likeliest of all ten starters in that game. They are nested -- the game top is his team's top too -- so one badge replaces the other rather than stacking. They are separated because the backtest separates them: over 1,314 games the game top hits 16.6% and the per-team pick 13.6%. Tracked nightly; still for fun. The units and ROI on the record row follow the GAME TOP only — 1 unit on one pick per game, at the best price. The per team figures beside it are a hit rate for context, never a staked record: nothing is bet on them. They are shown against the chance their own prices needed, because a team top is quoted longer than a game top (a median +700 against +600), so the two cannot be read on one break-even. The 16.6% is the backtest, not the live record, and the live sample cannot yet confirm it. The staked chip is the one to read — the picks that actually had a price, against the chance those prices needed. At one bet per game a longshot record swings wildly: it would take roughly 70 nights before even a 20% return stood clear of chance, so treat every reading here, good or bad, as too early to mean anything.
bench over An over on a player outside his team's top six by projected minutes. The group was withheld for its first week and released on 2026-10-27 at 40-22; the label stays so you can follow it on its own.
WON · LOST · PUSH · VOID Earlier nights carry the result on every row: the actual stat, the units at the price shown, PUSH on an exact integer landing, VOID with the reason when the player did not play (books return the stake).
ours vs model The big number is our calibrated chance: one part model to four parts book (assists about half and half), because graded against results the raw model runs hot at both ends. The raw model number sits under it, smaller.
edge · books · market Edge is our calibrated chance minus the de-vigged market. The book count is how many books list the player at any line; a lone line is usually stale, not generous. The chip is the best price we found and taps open to every book.
Generated 2026-11-02 22:33 UTC · 6100 lines priced, 649 cleared the filters · odds pulled 2026-11-02T22:32:31+00:00 · conditional on participation.
Not affiliated with the NBA or any sportsbook. For entertainment; bet responsibly.
Not affiliated with the NBA or any sportsbook. For entertainment; bet responsibly.
The Tonight tab
Game cards, the sim strip and the rotation.
One card per game. Tip time, the line, who is out and who absorbs their minutes, the sim strip, the top plays, and the rotation.
Sim strip. Win split, favourite covers, over the total, blowout 15+ and overtime chances, and the most likely final. The sim is anchored to the market's number and adds shape around it — it is never a side on the spread or total.
strong · lean · toss-up. The winner label on the favourite's win chance: strong from 75% (raised from 65% on 2026-10-27 — favourites said 75%+ had gone 11-0 while 65-75% went 7-6), lean 55-75%, toss-up under 55% is no play. Strong is about winning, not covering.
Top plays. The game's four best shown plays by edge, with ours vs market and the price chip. Held plays never appear here.
First basket. Each team's likeliest first scorer with our chance and the best Yes price; the full board, with the jumpers' tip rates and three names a side, is a chip on the Props tab. Books disagree on whether a free throw counts — ours is the first FIELD GOAL, which is how DraftKings, BetMGM and Fanatics settle it; FanDuel and Caesars pay on the first points instead. For fun — the market is sharp — and graded nightly for its own record.
Out → who benefits. When a rotation player is ruled out, minutes and usage are redistributed to specific teammates from how that team has actually played without him. The rotation table shows minutes ± spread, the change from the redistribution with the usage multiplier, the points / rebounds / assists range, S for a projected starter, and DD for the double-double chance.
The Props tab
Where the action is.
One tab per stat, one fold per game, tip-off order. Rows are ranked by edge inside the game. Points, rebounds, assists, threes, points+rebounds+assists and double-double.
Held fold. Each game's withheld plays sit in a fold at the bottom with the reason on every row.
Earlier nights. The chips before tonight are the last three slates, every row marked with its result at the line and price it was shown with.
My picks. Tap the price chip to keep a play; the My picks tab collects them and grades them with the sheet.
Line shopping. The chip shows the best price and the book; tapping it lists every book's price at that line.
First basket chip. Who scores the game's first field goal: the team's chance of scoring first (from the two jumpers' tip-win rates — the tip winner scores first 64% of the time) times each starter's share of his team's first scores and first shots. Three names a side with the best price, the implied chance and our edge in points; green means our chance beats the implied. Starters only. Fun, not a value claim. The record row stakes the GAME TOP only — 1u per game — so its units are not a record of every name on the board.
The Results tab
The record that decides what is shown.
Season tiles are shown plays only. Record, units and ROI over every play that reached the sheet. Held plays have their own tile.
Last night — what hit and missed. Hits then misses in edge order, with the actual and the units; and what each prop and side did, shown vs held.
By prop and side. The season table, shown vs held, sorted by shown units so the best group is on top. This is the table that decides core and the holds.
By night. Each slate's record with the held units as a muted suffix.
Parlays and the round robin
Tickets, legs and the slip record.
Two tickets a night. Main and Lotto, built only from prop-and-side groups whose graded record is positive. That record is counted from 2026-10-22, not from opening night: on 20 and 21 October most teams were playing their first game of the season on last summer's roster moves, and those two nights are unlike anything since. So a group can read negative on the Results tab, which shows the whole season, and still be allowed a leg here — points overs are the live example, −12.84u over those two nights and +1.62u on everything after. Each leg's chance is blended toward the market (one part model to four parts book) and same-team legs take a correlation haircut; the fair price and the expected value are printed on every ticket. Safe and Mid were retired on 2026-10-28: Safe could only ever find one qualifying leg (a single bet at -700, which books rarely post), and Mid stacked five-plus legs out of the same games and went 0-6.
Round robin — one assist leg per game. The best assist play from each game among those with a 15-point model/book gap, both sides pooled, ranked by model chance, capped at seven legs. Books build every two-leg pair from the legs. The date chip says which slate and when the prices were frozen; a void leg drops out and its pairs pay as singles.
Slip record. Every past slip re-scored against the graded results, so the round robin has its own record separate from the sheet. It is priced at ONE book — the chip says which — not at the best of the eight we shop, because the record should be what was collectable where the bet was placed. A leg that book did not post stays in at the price it was frozen at. Best-of-eight would read about four units better over the slips so far.
The Players explorer
One card per player.
The list. Every priced player for the prop, with the posted line, our calibrated chance and the model's, the likely range and the tier. Filter to players with a teammate out tonight; sort by edge, chance or the redistribution bump.
The card. Chance to clear the book's line (calibrated, with the model's number and the book's beside it), likely range, minutes with the usage multiplier, and the double-double chance.
Ladder and any line. Our chance over each line around the posted one, with the best price at each rung from the books' alternate lines; rungs a book prices are calibrated against it, rungs none prices are greyed and show the raw model number. A stepper checks any line against the game log.
Game log, splits and defence. Last 15 games judged against the line you chose, home and away, with and without each teammate, what tonight's opponent allows the position, the drivers, and the shot chart.
Glossary
The words the sheet uses.
Edge (pp). Percentage points between our chance and the de-vigged market's.
De-vigged market. The consensus two-way price with the book's margin removed — what the market really thinks, not what it charges.
Implied. The win rate a price needs to break even. A group only earns core by hitting above it.
Units and ROI. One unit risked per play at the price shown; ROI is units won per unit risked.
Conditional on playing. Every probability assumes the player plays. Books void and refund when he does not; a late scratch voids the play rather than losing it.
Model/book gap. How far our raw number sits from the market's. Above 15 points the play is held unless its group has been released.
Rank bucket. A player's place in his team's projected minutes: 1-3, 4-6 or 7+ (the bench).
Calibrated. Shrunk toward the market by a factor fitted on the graded record, so a chance we print is one we would stand behind.